Spoon Does Baseball

MLB Betting Picks + Analysis. Australian 🇦🇺. Podcast 🎙️ @baseballexpats

All main plays 1U and Top Ups 0.25U, unless stated otherwise

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How many first pitch, momentum killing groundouts is that for Acuna in the postseason?

Get him out of the 2 hole, yesterday.

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When will teams learn to trust their aces?

Vogt pulls a dominant Williams in favour of a bullpen arm, who blows the lead.

Nobody has learned from Boston's Wild Card series.

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@baseballexpats That's all for Saturday, best of luck and enjoy the baseball!

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The final Super Saturday of 2026.

Pirates @ Tigers:
- Chandler/Jobe 5+ Ks Each, 1.5U @ 3.25 (B365)
- Top Up 6+ Each, 0.5U @ 7.00 (B365)

My Best Value of the day, discussed in depth on @baseballexpats Weekend Pickoff

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Angels @ Mariners:
- Detmers/Miller 6+ Ks Each, 1.5U @ 2.1 (SB)
- Top Up 8+ Each, 0.5U @ 7.5 (SB)

Excited to watch these two pitch one last time in 2026. We've had mixed results with Miller at times this season, but he now gets the best matchup in baseball with an Angels team on the road striking out at a very high clip.

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Padres @ Dodgers:
- Glasnow 7+ Ks/Dodgers Win, 1.5U @ 2.37 (SB)

The Dodgers out-hit the Padres last night, but couldn't come through in crucial situations, including just managing one run from a bases loaded, no out situation when the game was 2-0. Glasnow is now at full speed afer a disrupted start to his 2026 campaign, fanning 10 Giants last start and managing 98 pitches, his highest on the year. He has hit the 7+ mark in four of his last five, and given the mismatch on paper tonight, this is my best value.

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Brewers @ Phillies:
- Brewers O3.5 TT, 1.75U @ 1.9 (SB)

The Brewers offence get their best matchup of the series against Painter tonight. With an ERA north of 5.5, Painter has struggled with effectiveness and consistency in 2026. This Milwaukee lineup will need to keep the foot down to claim the #1 seed in the NL.

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Astros @ Athletics:
- Lambert 5+ Ks, 1.5U @ 2.14 (SB)
- Top Up 7+ Ks, 0.5U @ 6.00 (SB)

Lambert has been one of the better reclamation projects in 2026, as Houston have transformed him from a struggling Rockies starter a few years ago into a pitcher set to post nearly 3.5 WAR on the year. He has a consistent K rate of nearly one per inning, and has hit the 5+ mark in four of his last five starts. He has actually been better on the road this year, with a higher K rate and lower ERA (just 3.19) when travelling.

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That'll do us for Thursday, stoked to be back, remember to follow along with the tracker at https://t.co/c8NuFKudMY

Counting down the hours until Postseason Baseball!

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Back on deck after three weeks overseas made getting these out impossible.

Let's have a huge final five days of the regular season as we head into the Postseason!

Brewers @ Phillies:
- Brewers Win, 1.5U @ 1.8 (Lads/Neds)

Massive mismatch in pitching here, and the Brewers are still locked in a battle for the #1 seed in the NL with the Dodgers, so plenty to play for. Late pitching collapse cost Milwaukee last night, I expect this one to have a more comfortable cushion.

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Angels @ Athletics:
- Urena 5+ Ks, 1.75U @ 1.75 (Lads/Neds)
- Top Up 7+ Ks, 0.5U @ 4.5 (SB)

Urena has had one of the most underrated rookie seasons of 2026. With an ERA below 3, he has showcased electric stuff, with one of the best fastballs from a starter in the league this year. The strikeout tallies took a while to eventuate, but he now has 7+ in three of his last four, including a monster 9 K outing against the Twins last start. Line should have been 5.5, very happy at the 4.5.