Adam Sherman 🔸

Full-time prediction market trader. Dad.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@admcrlsn Some prediction market traders are very smart and actually adjust for factors that have changed that you haven't notice. Similar to how pollsters can make adjustments that are more or less accurate.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ Men will literally buy this rotting garbage then go to therapy

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@GaetenD Inshallah.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@aosipovich @JeongHaeju @bubblemaps @Andrey_10gwei CFTC will pay out an award on whistleblowing over polymarket international?

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@TheStalwart @Polymarket Not in the Esports streets I see!

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@NathanMeininger I would have made far more than $98 if the degenerate wasn't in the market! GET HIM!

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@mbwheats @NathanpmYoung Vancouver has the highest concentration of artists per capita among major Canadian cities, with artists making up 2.7% of its municipal labour force. Toronto (2.0%) and Montreal (1.9%) follow closely. This is my google AI results. You can use weird to win this, but idk.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Eltonma Get over Diao, you are ruining your life through this attachment, is this relationship doomed is a bond my boy. Onwards and upwards.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@penguin_pmkt

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

The Plan: Bet against the least qualified candidate for Governor ignoring all California political history. By, losing $50,000 and cementing yourself as the worst political PM trader in the process, you guarantee your name will live through the ages.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@semaforben it's not.

[Nathan 🔎 @NathanpmYoung]

30k followers.

I’m Nathan. I run Goodheart Labs. We maintain public goods.

We have a top AI note-writer on X, which has written 40m views of community notes so far.

If you have a software public good you’d like to exist, dm me.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ Yes, but there's also a whole lot of retrofitting, colocation. Public companies own datacenters the GPUS they bought would show up in their inventory reports if there were 2 million GPUs sitting in their inventory unused. You don't need a new data center for a new GPU.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ You can just think he underestimates colocation and lease capacity. and his blackwell math is shaky because it assumes all needs new capacity, the bill and hold claim does not have evidence in companies which would report the inventory. Big absence of evidence guy!

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ Im confident we have a semantic disagreement on opinions and opining and ill drop it!

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ These are good and interesting takes! I just think you shouldn't start them with im not close enough to opine.

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ "my guess from just electricity demand alone is most GPUs currently actually sold are basically in warehouses waiting to be switched on for future data centers. So we've already pre-committed years ahead in revenue" is this an opinion?

[Adam Sherman 🔸 @Squee451]

@Merridew__ Not close enough to opine on it. Opines on it.