🚨 I believe the Islamic Republic in Iran will surrender and announce its dissolution sooner than most people expect.
It did not collapse after the January 8–9 protests (when millions of people were in the streets) or after the decapitation that removed Ali Khamenei and much of the senior leadership, because of more than just repression. A large rentier class of IRGC-linked managers, contractors, and foundation insiders kept the administration and economy running.
They were not the main targets of Israeli and U.S. strikes, so their privileges continued and they pushed the hardliners to resist.
That is changing under the sustained economic pressure led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (operation economic D-Day 😉) . Unlike previous rounds of sanctions, this one has been far more effective at cutting the flow of oil money and contracts that this class depends on. Rentier networks flip for self-interest once the rents stop.
Loyalty at the top was personal to Ali Khamenei, not to the office. His successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, has never rebuilt the same bonds, and the small circle that controlled access to privileges is now fragmented.
If the remaining hardliners ( IRGC elites) still sitting above that class are removed or neutralized, the rentier layer has strong incentive to dissolve itself and join a transition.
We saw the same pattern in Syria: once Russia did not intervene, Hezbollah and Russian forces were occupied elsewhere, and the Islamic Republic stopped sending money and support, Assad’s system broke with almost no resistance. He fled, and his prime minister, a bureaucrat, announced the dissolution of the regime and said he was prepared to hand power to a transitional government.
Assad’s system was way more brutal, yet it collapsed quickly when the external resources and protection ended. I’m sure President @realDonaldTrump will take care of Russia and China to cut their supports here as well.
I do not expect a full-scale invasion. I expect that the IRGC elites and clerics ( power holders) to be eliminated by Israeli operations. I expect remnants of the system to cooperate with a transitional arrangement while probably US military quietly secure nuclear sites ( in Pickaxe mountain) and residual armed individuals whose command chain has already been disrupted.
The regime’s staying power was material. When the money and the old personal loyalty disappear, the incentives reverse. Iran will be liberated soon and Pahlavis will return.
خونة خونة و عملاء للموساد
الفضيحة بدأت تظهر.. وستكبر مهما حاول #حزب_الله إخفاءها
معلومات الآن عن إلقاء القبض على عدد من عملاء الموساد المنتمين إلى حزب الله في بلدة جبشيت
البلدة نفسها التي خرج منها قادة سابقون كبار في الحزب، منهم الشيخ راغب حرب والشيخ عبد الكريم عبيد.
الحزب الإيراني المخروق يحاول التستر على الخرق .. لكن الفضيحة تكبر، والحقيقة تخرج رغم أنفه.
🚨 LEBANON ARRESTS TWO HEZBOLLAH SUSPECTS WITH 500 KG OF EXPLOSIVES
Lebanese security forces intercepted a Beirut-bound vehicle near the Syrian border, seizing 250 kg of TNT and 250 kg of C4.
One suspect is reportedly the son of a Hezbollah official. The explosives’ destination remains unknown.
The same lie keeps getting repeated: that sanctions are the main reason Iranians are
struggling.
For over 47 years under the Islamic
Republic, people in Iran have become poorer not because the country lacks money, but because of how that money is used.
Instead of improving people's lives, the government has spent billions on foreign conflicts, proxy groups, and controlling its own citizens.
Iran is a rich country with vast resources. The problem isn't a lack of wealth it's a leadership that hasn't focused on its own people.
Thread 🧵
إذا نفّذ #حزب_الله أي عملية اغتيال أو تفجير في لبنان،
فقد تتصاعد المطالبات بإخراج النازحين من بيئته من مناطق المسيحيين والسنّة والدروز،
و احتمال كبير ان يحدث ردود فعل انتقامية تستهدف الموالين للحزب بكل الأراضي اللبنانية .
Security Alert: U.S. Mission Saudi Arabia (October 10, 2026)
The U.S. Mission is aware of attacks on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh on October 10 and strongly recommends all U.S. citizens avoid this airport and surrounding areas.
U.S. government employees working in Saudi Arabia require special authorization to use the King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh.
U.S. citizens should be aware of potential flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions. We recommend checking your flight departure status directly with the airline and with the airport.
U.S. Government Employee Travel Restrictions:
U.S. government employees working in Saudi Arabia require special authorization to use the King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh. U.S. government employees working in Saudi Arabia are not allowed to travel within 20 miles of the Yemen border due to safety risks and need special authorization for travel to the provinces of Jizan, Asir, Najran, and the cities of Qatif, Yanbu, and Taif.
Read more: https://t.co/uBrNoUIE3W
I'm an Iranian
I'm an ex-muslim
And I believe the Palestinian entity has been built to fight Israel only. There is nothing else to it.
Fight Islamist Ideology and make the world safer for non-Muslims.
My entire timeline is full of people who are not Jewish and not from Israel but proudly announcing that they are Zionists and that they stand with the Jewish people and the State of Israel. I can’t explain in words how heartwarming it is to see this. God bless all of you. 🇮🇱❤️🙏
When you’re friends with the Trump administration and you get front row seats next to the boss man!!!!
I love you PRESIDENT TRUMP!!!!
Thank you sooooo much!!❤️❤️❤️❤️
#MAGA