POTD ANGEL REESE UNDER 16.5 POINTS🎯 Heres why👇🏽
I’m taking the UNDER on Reese tonight vs PHX 📉
• H2H: 14.0 PPG across 7 games vs PHX
• 2026 vs PHX: 15.5 PPG
• Last 5: 13.6 PPG
• Last 10: 14.0 PPG
• Forwards against PHX 8/15 games have stayed UNDER 16.5
• PHX allows just 9 PPG to forwards — 7th in the WNBA
• PHX is 6th in Last 10 at 9.5 allowed
• Her shot profile is heavily paint-dependent — 85% of made shots come in the paint vs PHX
The H2H trend is the biggest thing for me. Reese has averaged 14.0 PPG in 7 matchups, putting her 2.5 points below the 16.5 line.
With PHX limiting forward scoring and Reese relying heavily on interior scoring, I don’t see a great path to 17+ unless her efficiency or volume spikes.
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POTD KAYLA MCBRIDE UNDER 2PT ATTEMPTS🍀
The data is pointing UNDER 👀
📉 4.2 season avg
📉 4.1 last 10
📉 3.9 avg vs WAS
🔴 8/10 H2H UNDER
🛡️ WAS allows just 4.2 2-PT attempts to guards
📊 Only 2/10 H2H cleared 5.5
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POTD KAYLA MCBRIDE UNDER 2PT ATTEMPTS🍀
The data is pointing UNDER 👀
📉 4.2 season avg
📉 4.1 last 10
📉 3.9 avg vs WAS
🔴 8/10 H2H UNDER
🛡️ WAS allows just 4.2 2-PT attempts to guards
📊 Only 2/10 H2H cleared 5.5
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Paige Bueckers OVER 5.5 Assists 🎯
Paige has been under this number recently, finishing with 2, 2, 2, 4, and 4 assists over her last five games. While that trend may scare some people away, this matchup presents a solid opportunity for a bounce-back.
GSV has been a decent matchup for opposing guards, ranking 15th in assists allowed (2.8 per game). More importantly, opposing guards have gone over their assist line in 9 of 12 games against the Valkyries this season.
Bueckers has also had success in this matchup historically, clearing 5.5 assists in 4 of her last 5 meetings against Golden State. With Dallas relying on her to initiate the offense, she should have plenty of chances to create for her teammates.
I’m backing Paige Bueckers OVER 5.5 Assists. 🎯📈 #PrizePicks |#Parlay l
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WNBA POTD COLLIER OVER 19.5 POINTS🎯🔒
Love this spot. Collier is 3/3 over 19.5 points vs Indiana, averaging 29.7 PPG in those matchups (31, 26, 32). She scores 82% of her points inside the arc, and Indiana’s interior defense is much softer than its perimeter defense, making this a favorable matchup. With Indiana’s fast pace, this projects as a high-scoring game with plenty of possessions. 19.5 feels too low. 🔥
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