CPI did knock $BTC. "Under $74k for the first time in days" is wrong.
- Oct CPI +0.4% m/m, core +0.3% (BLS)
- 14:30 CET minute: $74.8k high, $73.4k low
- Sunday's low: $73.4k too (Kraken)
My read: the wick bounced, but Tuesday evening hit $72.6k.
Not advice.
@AshCrypto Farside's Nov 10 split: IBIT -$78M, FBTC -$37M, MSBT +$20M. Net -$95M, the fourth red day in a row.
My read: that's holders redeeming, not BlackRock making a call. And the daily outflow is down almost 80% from -$430M on Nov 5. I'm watching whether today turns green.
FLASH: Deutsche Bank's crypto custody is live for paying clients.
- $BTC, ETH, USDC, EURC, EURAU
- Institutions and corporates in Europe
(Source: Reuters)
My read: a big name for EU institutions. No client count or assets disclosed, so price impact can stay small.
Not advice.
Tokenized RWAs issued by Ondo total $4.0B in market cap, followed by Sky at $3.9B and Securitize at $3.4B
Together, they account for 22.5% of the $50.3B sector
Ondo's "$4B TVL" is three products added up.
- USDY $2.39B, Ondo Stocks $1.45B, OUSG $0.32B (Ondo)
- Sector: $50B (Token Terminal) or $40B (RWA xyz)
- Stocks and USDY: not for US persons
My read: $4B is real, from Ondo's own lines. Compare issuers on one tracker.
Not advice.
FLASH: US CPI (Oct) came in hot.
- Headline: +0.4% m/m (0.3% expected, CNBC)
- Core: +0.3% m/m (0.2% expected)
- No y/y published (BLS data gap)
- $BTC: $74.3K at 14:29 CET, $73.7K now (Kraken)
(Source: BLS)
My read: firm core may keep Fed hike odds alive.
Not advice.
MARA's $1.1B bitcoin sale is real. Tying it to Monday's lag is a stretch.
- 13,597 BTC sold after Sep 30, avg ~$81k
- Monday's high: ~$75.5k (Kraken)
- Disclosed after Monday's close
(MARA Q3 letter)
My read: most coins likely sold weeks ago. More sales may follow.
Not advice.
@WatcherGuru Five years on, $BTC sits near $74.6k on Kraken. That's only ~8% above the 2021 peak and ~41% under the ~$126k high from October 2025.
My read: anyone who bought that 2021 top is up single digits after five years. Entry timing mattered more than the cycle did.
NEW: @OlympusDAO has deprecated its legacy bridge & fully migrated to Chainlink CCIP as the canonical cross-chain infra for $280M+ of OHM.
Every OHM transfer across all seven supported chains runs on CCIP.
The great Chainlink CCIP migration continues.
Two projects swapped LayerZero for Chainlink CCIP. $LINK shrugged.
- ApeChain: migration announced (Nov 4)
- Olympus: $280M+ OHM now on CCIP (Nov 5)
- $LINK ~$10.61, -3.7% since Nov 3 (Kraken)
My read: usage grows, price lags. US CPI at 14:30 CET may matter more.
Not advice.
FLASH: $LINK is now tradable on Schwab Crypto.
- SOL, AVAX and LINK added today
- 0.75% per trade; not in NY or Louisiana
- $LINK ~+3% on the day (Kraken)
(Source: Schwab)
My read: a $13T broker lists LINK. No volume data yet, so the price effect may stay small.
Not advice.
$BTC starts the week near $73.7k, down ~4.5% last week.
- Last week: ~$73.4k (Sun) to ~$81.2k (Kraken)
- US CPI Tue, PPI Fri, 14:30 CET (BLS)
- No Fed meeting; next Dec 8-9
My read: closed near the week's low. A hot CPI could add pressure; a cool one could help.
Not advice.
How US jobs can move $BTC.
- Oct: payrolls +165k, unemployment 4.1%
- Weaker than expected: cut odds can rise and yields fall, which can help crypto
- Hotter than expected: the reverse can happen
My read: not automatic. Recession fears can hurt risk assets too.
Not advice.
Weekend after a rough flush.
- bitcoin:native ~$75.9k, up slightly today (Kraken)
- Spot ETFs -$1.28B for the week (Farside)
- Sunday: how a jobs print reaches bitcoin:native
My read: Saturday's bounce is small. Sunday covers the jobs-to-crypto mechanism.
Not advice.
FLASH: FinCEN cuts MEXC off U.S. bank rails.
- §9714: U.S. FIs barred from MEXC transfers
- ≥$16B illicit flows May 2021–May 2026
- Live 30 days after Federal Register
(Source: Treasury)
My read: Bank-rail cutoff, not OFAC SDN. Contagion if partners derisk early.
Not advice.