StocksCryptoTrader

20+ yrs mastering stocks & crypto trades | Daily TA, swing/long setups for true financial freedom | Investor & educator | DM for collabs | Not advice |

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

My Live Stock Trade Journal – Official Baseline 2026 Real Capital. Full Transparency. Exact Entries + Live Returns. Updated Daily.

20+ years of skin in the game. These are my actual stock positions with my own money — exact entries, cost basis, current price, % return, charts, and reasoning shown without fluff.

Important note: I am constantly trimming huge winning positions on strength to keep position sizing balanced and never let any single name become an oversized portion of the portfolio. $TSLA and $NVDA are in my never sell Long-term portfolio.

This pinned thread is the permanent master timeline. All future updates will be clean numbered replies to this thread only.

Core Long-Term Holds (Opened 2017 – My Most Famous Trades)

#LT1 $TSLA – Opened 2017 One of my most famous trades ever. Full-stack AI, autonomy, robotics, energy. Current price $371.75 | Over 100x return — letting the winner run with full conviction (regular trims taken on strength).

#LT2 $NVDA – Opened 2017 My other most famous trade. AI infrastructure king. Current price $172.85 | Over 100x return — fully positioned and compounding (regular trims taken).

Major Positions Opened 2025 – Still Open & Active in 2026

#1 $TER – Robotics / Semiconductor Test (Bought Nov 26, 2025 at $168.50) Current price $296.46 | +76.0% return — strong gains carried into 2026 (regular trims taken).

#2 $LITE – Optical Networking / AI (Position built throughout 2025) True outlier on volume + AI-system confirmation. Cost basis $122.05 Current price $702.15 | +475% return — blowing past every target (regular trims taken on strength).

#3 $MU – AI Memory Leader (Position built 2025) Entered at $186.25 + added more at $201. Blended cost basis $192.80 Current price $337.80 | +75.2% return — still positioned with regular trims on strength.

#4 $MRVL – AI Semiconductor / Infrastructure (Position built 2025, added ~$99 in March 2026) Current price $99.05 | +100%+ return — core AI stack holding (regular trims taken).

#5 $VRT – Data Center Cooling / AI Power (Position built 2025) Current price $251.40 | +142% return — high conviction name (regular trims taken).

#6 $RKLB – Space / Defense Tech (Position built 2025) Cost basis low $40s Current price $63.85 | +55% return — long-term compounder.

#7 $PL – Planet Labs (Position built 2025) Cost basis $18.18 Current price $27.95 | +53.7% return — trimmed significantly when it reached 1x return (doubled) to manage position size. Still holding the remaining core position.

#8 $PLTR – AI Software / Data Platform (Position built 2025, added at $34.10 + $149.57 in March 2026) One of my largest and highest conviction long-term AI plays. Blended cost basis low 30’s Current price $146.20 | +329% return — still fully positioned (regular trims taken).

#9 $STX – Storage / AI Infrastructure (Position built 2025) Current price $387.60 | +100%+ return (regular trims taken).

#10 $MSFT – AI + Cloud Leader (Position built 2025) Current price $368.35 | +100%+ return — core holding (regular trims taken).

#11 $COHR – Optics / AI Hardware (Position built 2025) Cost basis $160.38 Current price $238.15 | +48.5% return (regular trims taken).

Recent 2026 Positions
#12 $OBDC – Private Credit / BDC (60,000+ shares) Bought March 26 at $11.20 → added March 30 dip → current cost basis $11.14• 27% discount to $14.81 NAV • 13.7% dividend yield • Base case ~30% total return by 12/31/2026 (60% prob) Current price $11.03 | -1.0% from cost basis — fear = opportunity.

#13 $SOC – Oil & Gas (Bought March 18, 2026 at $17.20 pre-market) Strong AH move on Chevron Santa Ynez restart. Roth PT $24. Current price $16.56 | -3.7% from entry — still fully positioned.

#14 $CE – Short-term Swing Rotation (Entered March 29, 2026) Rotated drone profits into this name. Current price $66.10 — broke above entry with conviction. On track for 15-25% move.

#15 $GEVO – Biofuel / Renewable Energy (Position built March 2026) Bought at $2.34 + added at $2.38. Blended cost basis $2.36 Current price $2.73 | +15.7% return — still fully positioned (winning trade).

My Trading Rules (Forged Over 20+ Years)
Let big winners run with real size while constantly trimming on strength to manage position sizing

Cut losers fast, no hope

Discipline over hope. Always.

Only add fresh capital when my system and setup line up perfectly

New updates, adds, exits, charts, and live return math will be posted exclusively as numbered replies to this master thread.

Bookmark + turn on notifications if you want to follow my actual book in real time.

Discipline over hope. We prosper together. 🚀

Not financial advice • DYOR always • Serious stock traders welcome

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

It’s more than just short-term deleveraging. A lot of AI names needed a healthy reset after the parabolic runs.

When people don’t use risk management, margin calls end up doing the resetting for them — and the damage can be severe i.e. stocks down over 70%. We’re also heading into a tougher seasonal window, and mid-term election years historically bring elevated chop even for the strongest themes.

I’d personally look for better low-risk setups closer to October rather than forcing entries here. Even if SOXX finds support at the 100-day and gets a follow-through day, most of the individual charts still need time to form proper bases for position trades you don’t have to manage day by day. This is still a hard environment for easy money.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

Update on $SIVE
I sold near my cost basis. The stock will bounce but it is not for me right now.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE update: Final post today. I gave it a tad more leash so did not sell all at my cost basis. NN See chart below.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE update: Final post today. I gave it a tad more leash so did not sell all at my cost basis. NN See chart below.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE Update - I sold more shares on this limp d$&@ pop at 33.66. I'll sell the whole enchilada if it hits my cost basis 30.42. I don't mess around and round trip profits and neither should you. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE Update - I sold more shares on this limp d$&@ pop at 33.66. I'll sell the whole enchilada if it hits my cost basis 30.42. I don't mess around and round trip profits and neither should you. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE - It bounced off my cost basis as I planned it would and I added way more size. I'm no longer thinking that the two hyperscalers spending increases will move this stock. Good news the stock is down more than 70% and the market is terribly oversold so mean reversion should happen.

I'm affraid $SIVE lovers Wallstreet could sell off more of this stock the next two months as they head out to their beach front properties. The DAQ listing won't happen until the fourth quarter at the soonest more than likely. I'm selling on the next mean reversion pop. Eating popcorn and watching. My gal doesn't like me Posting on X on vacation so probably no more posts until October. Stay safe and don't hold things just because your favorite KOL holds - You know what they may not hold at all. bye bye for now.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

I haven’t been this excited about $ETH in years.

Weekly chart: The multi-year base after the 2025 peak is still intact. Major accumulation zones held. This is the kind of structure that has preceded the biggest ETH moves in the past.

Daily chart: Price has been making higher lows since the June bottom and is now working through resistance. A clean break and hold above the $2,100–$2,280 zone would open the next leg higher.
Big moves still look possible in the second half of 2026 and into 2027.

For those who prefer stocks over native crypto:
• $ETHA → Cleanest and best Ethereum ETF
• $BMNR and $SBET → High-beta treasury plays, but both carry dilution risk I’m not a fan of

My preference remains simple: Native $ETH or $ETHA.
NFA
#ETH #Ethereum #ETHA #Crypto

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

For my crypto friends - my new trade over my vacation is $ETH. I bought this spot at the Lows and big leverage trade with hard stops to not lose money.

I expect $ETH to outperform $BTC through next year. I have pretty high targets for it. I bought this in a crypto retirement account by transferring cash from a retirement account to my crypto retirement account. I’ll let it sit there and print though next year maybe into 2028. Cash out tax free. The best thing you can do and I have done is to trade in Roth IRA’s tax free. I have posts in my timeline on this. NFA
$ETH

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

Curious why you’re not giving any attention to the Gram / TON side of things.

Telegram has ~1 billion users. Robinhood has tens of millions.

Pavel just announced a native non-custodial Gram wallet rolling out to every Telegram app this summer with zero-fee transfers. That distribution advantage is on a completely different scale.

If 2026/27 is about a major chain creating generational wealth opportunities, why dismiss the one that already has the largest consumer distribution in crypto by an order of magnitude? Genuinely interested in your take.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

@maxsot9125 Not really looking for broad oil & gas growth before October. I’m in $VG as an asymmetric LNG trade and short-term on $SOC. Specific setups, not a sector call.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$VG update

Still holding through part of 2027. The chart speaks for itself.

I won’t be posting much between now and October.
In October I’m back loading up on AI and other asymmetric setups.

Late September I’ll drop my full plan with planned entries for the Q4 2026 – Q1 2027 move. Be sure to follow.

Also still in the high-dividend names ( $OBDC, $SLVO, $JEPI) through October.

NFA
$VG #LNG #Stocks #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #SwingTrading

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

@Timing_Markets For a scalp if the market mean reverts and it busts through $230. The best way to lose money is to trade during chop no matter how good someone thinks they are - chop wins.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

If I were trading, which I’m not, I would buy a short-term trade through next week - $NBIS and $CRDO. This assumes the market is moving up. The better of the two $NBIS. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

Ok last post she's giving me the eye.... lol I won't hold if it invalidates my cost basis. My AI will sell. I'm up big on the tuesday pop. You don't want to take a lot of risk as these Wallstreet guys take their vacations and tell there analysts to sell and that's in a good market. We right now are in a corrective market. Look at my Nasdaq post. My first reset level could fall to the second reset level. stay safe out there.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE - It bounced off my cost basis as I planned it would and I added way more size. I'm no longer thinking that the two hyperscalers spending increases will move this stock. Good news the stock is down more than 70% and the market is terribly oversold so mean reversion should happen.

I'm affraid $SIVE lovers Wallstreet could sell off more of this stock the next two months as they head out to their beach front properties. The DAQ listing won't happen until the fourth quarter at the soonest more than likely. I'm selling on the next mean reversion pop. Eating popcorn and watching. My gal doesn't like me Posting on X on vacation so probably no more posts until October. Stay safe and don't hold things just because your favorite KOL holds - You know what they may not hold at all. bye bye for now.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE update:

Needs to hold my cost basis. If it gets down there again and bounces, I will add. Same plan, I'll sell into strength next week. Market is way over sold so expect a bounce. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

@S7VENTrading When I make 55% or higher on my cost basis 30.42 - Tuesday I sold the pop - took 30% off the table. I reckon that profit will pay the rest of my vacation. My AI will take it from here because I can't post anymore or no more fun if you know what I mean.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

My final post of a buy I did made. I sold my $SOC before I went on vacation and I'm glad I did. I'm back in it for an automated trade and tight stop. If it wins a good 60% payoff. If not, I'll sell for minimal loss. Could work but the stock, company, and it's execution is a risk. Stay safe out there a worse reset for tech is building. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

@Timing_Markets I’m looking for a 45% -55% pop from my 30.42 cost basis. I already took 30% off the table on 35% pop.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE update:

Needs to hold my cost basis. If it gets down there again and bounces, I will add. Same plan, I'll sell into strength next week. Market is way over sold so expect a bounce. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$SIVE update:

Buyers stepped into the accumulation zone I marked (Specifically near the $29.58 area I notated last week) — sharp 23% bounce.

Sold 30% yesterday into the strength.

All eyes on $GOOGL earnings tonight. If they confirm or beat 2026 and especially 2027 CapEx guidance, I expect $SIVE to rocket higher tomorrow. Same catalyst for $META and $AMZN next week.

Clear plan:
• Sell into strength on each pop
• Probably exit outright remaining position before weakest part of the months for stocks - Aug and Sept
• Exit outright on negative CapEx guidance

Risk management first. NFA
$SIVE or $SIVEF

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

I'm in trouble with someone… this might be my last post for a bit.

If you took $VG with me, you’re sitting pretty right now.

Cost basis $10.63 → currently working higher.

There will be a TACO moment coming — a buyable dip.

I’m starting to take some profits, especially as we approach $16.80.

Still love the longer-term setup, but I’m locking in gains here.

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

$VG update

Still holding through part of 2027. The chart speaks for itself.

I won’t be posting much between now and October.
In October I’m back loading up on AI and other asymmetric setups.

Late September I’ll drop my full plan with planned entries for the Q4 2026 – Q1 2027 move. Be sure to follow.

Also still in the high-dividend names ( $OBDC, $SLVO, $JEPI) through October.

NFA
$VG #LNG #Stocks #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #SwingTrading

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

Since I’m already looking at $SIVE, here’s another name I’m planning to get aggressive on later…

$HOOD in October. Not now.

In 2025 I made 1.85x on it. Next year I expect the same or better.

Right now $HOOD is just resting and building a base.

They already have 27.6 million funded customers. The real catalysts are still ahead:

$ Expansion of prediction markets / event contracts
$ Their own L1 and deeper crypto integration
$ A broader retail + crypto recovery cycle
$ CEO is making fantastic move. Execution next

I’m waiting for the base to mature and plan to pile in around October. NFA

[StocksCryptoTrader @StkCryptoTrd]

In early June I stopped trading and went on vacation.

Here’s exactly what I saw before the chop started.

Clear bearish divergence at the highs on the Nasdaq daily, combined with extended structure. When price is that stretched and momentum fails to confirm, chop and time correction become the higher probability outcome.

I chose to step aside instead of forcing trades in a low-edge environment.

Chop always wins.

Same process that helped me catch big winners like $SIVE, $SNDK, $MU, and $VRT is the same process that told me to sit on my hands here. I’m planning to return in October when the structure and Easy Dollar Market Environment conditions look cleaner.

Protecting capital > forcing activity. Education over ego.

#Nasdaq #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #BearishDivergence #RiskManagement #SIVE #SNDK #MU #VRT #Patience #TradingPsychology