This is a dangerous new rung on the escalation ladder.
Since the beginning of the conflict, Tehran appears to have deliberately hesitate using its Khalij Fars anti-ship ballistic missiles against U.S. aircraft carriers, likely out of concern that such an attack could trigger a major American response and push the confrontation beyond the informal rules of engagement that have constrained it so far.
Yesterday attack suggests that another threshold in Iranian decision-making has been crossed. That matters far beyond the tactical details of the incident. It indicates that Tehran is becoming increasingly willing to accept risks it previously sought to avoid, including directly threatening some of the most important U.S. military assets in the region.
I am highly skeptical that CENTCOM’s response will restore deterrence. The more important takeaway is that Iran’s escalation calculus appears to be changin and in the current environment, breaking another previously respected threshold creates a dangerous precedent.
The trajectory is increasingly clear: Tehran is preparing to escalate, not back down.
#IranWar
@Blavertron@LSREnergy Yeah, this is what I was thinking. It is one of the reasons why Iran wasn't blasting at every vessel leaving. "If Iran can't export oil, no one in the region will export oil" - or something like that.
Yesterday, @Parodyjeffx posted a screenshot showing Grok admitting Israel is committing genocide.
It went viral.
Then X permanently banned his account.
Iran, Hezbollah, and the Axis of Resistance will kick the genocidal Zionist regime out of Lebanon. Have patience. The inevitable US defeat in the Strait of Hormuz will lead to great change across the region.
🔥🔥russia is having a very bad morning.
Ukraine’s Defense Forces reportedly hit a russian S-400 air defense system and an oil depot in Sochi.
Meanwhile, the Sterlitamak petrochemical plant in Bashkortostan is burning after a drone attack.