Sumit Kumar

Global Investing, market trends, financial wisdom.
Sometimes serious. Sometimes sarcastic. Always curious.
No financial advice.
#finance #markets #investing

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

#AI capex is the biggest driver justifying valuations of these companies right now. It is also pushing the discount rates higher causing the future valuations of said companies to compress.

That should makes sense and give you a headache at the same time.
#yields
$NVDA

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

The 5-year Treasury just yielded 5% for the first time since 2007, and every growth stock on $Nasdaq suddenly remembered it has a cost of capital.

#markets #yield #finance #stocks

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

Diversification is just a polite way of admitting you don't actually know which of your ten convictions is wrong.

#finance #markets #investing #stocks

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

Trump: I am the boss.

Also Trump, on the tarmac waiting for Xi to arrive.

Sometimes the optics speak louder than the chest-thumping.

#Trump #USA #China #diplomacy

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

Yesterday, bank stocks sold off because an app that books your dinner reservation might one day also refinance your mortgage.
Feels efficient, feels overdue, and yet every bank still charges you $35 for this privilege.
#AI

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

@Kalshi saw its valuations double to $22B in March, 2026. By Aug, it was reportedly doing another round of funding pushing its valuation to $40B ahead of a potential IPO.
Writing it's own future via predictions.
@Dream11 crying in a corner.
#markets #finance #IPO #investing

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

The market started 2026 pricing an ~84% chance of a hold and a 16% chance of a cut, with a hike literally not priced at all.
Today, it's pricing a hike at the very next meeting, and roughly 40% odds of two hikes before year end. Interesting times!
#markets #investing #finance

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

@AMD just crossed a trillion dollars in market value, the fourth chipmaker to hit that number. Companies and economies are now competing together.
Companies are winning. #markets #finance #stocks #AMD #investing

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

People read every ingredient on a ₹100 cookie before buying it, then drop rent money on a stock because some guy on YouTube said "trust me."
#investing #markets #finance #stocks

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

The Fed raised rates on inflation last Wednesday. The Nasdaq hit a record high on AI stocks the following Monday.
Markets heard the warning and decided it was for someone else. #stocks #markets #finance

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

At the start of this year, every desk had rate cuts penciled in for 2026. The Fed just hiked again, 12-0, citing inflation.
Forecasting is the only profession where being unanimously wrong together counts as due diligence.
#finance #investing #markets

[Sumit Kumar @SumitKumar_2108]

History is a great teacher. #trading