How to look for low-risk short setups in stocks at the very top? Here is a possible example if the Breakout short setup confirms at the close.
$BAC
I will also want the industry to remain weak at the close. So far, the Diversified Banks industry is weak in CUE Edge, and 100% of peer stocks are down in CUE Vital.
1) Most of the sector-industry-stocks are up.
However, $QQQ, $SPY, and $IWM are down.
2) 67% of the stocks in the S&P 1500 are above the mid-Bollinger Band. That is bullish.
3) More than 27% are above the upper-Bollinger Band. That is becoming so overbought that a pullback is likely.
Some people would say this Bucket Analysis works like clockwork. Will it work this time?
We will find out soon enough.
I don't bet against it.
In the weekend video, I shared the buy idea in $IP.
It was up yesterday, Monday.
Today, it opened with a gap-up and is up more than 5% now.
There is a resistance trendline nearby. That may be a reasonable target.
CUE Edge's Bucket Analysis shows that the market is getting overbought.
If I bought the stock, I would make sure not to let this profitable trade turn into a loss in case the stock reverses.
$FUTU has weekly trendline support. Daily trendline support and a possible Flow setup in the daily if it closes at the current or better price.
In terms of candle patterns, it looks to have a Doji Best Friend.
The weekend market recap video is now live on YouTube.
https://t.co/IJRkGH7UHu
Last week's trade closed with a profit. That was a shorting idea, a 360-degree trade, not only a technical trade. That is probably why it closed with a profit in an indecisive market.
This week I share another 360-degree trade idea with detailed analysis across industry, fundamentals, and technicals. It is a buying idea in an undervalued, dividend-paying stock that insiders are buying. It is in one of the strongest industries that is sharply bucking the market trend. And it has a technical Breakout buy setup with a candlestick buy pattern and massive bullish momentum.
Won't you be interested in that?
What is not to like in the chart pattern of $T?
Plus, it pays a 4.8% dividend yield, and funds are accumulating.
Isn't that something that may interest you?
Yesterday, $CDE was showing a possible Breakout buy setup during the day. However, that did not confirm at/near the close. One would stand aside.
And that would be a good decision, as $CDE fell with the market today.
That again shows the importance of discipline in trading.
Market breadth (internal health) is extremely bearish today.
Considering that, it is amazing that multiple ETFs ($RSP, $IWM, $DIA) did not breach the Early Range Low pivot (marked 1, 2, 3 respectively) on the 10-min charts.
On the right are $NASDAQ and $NYSE. Adv-Dec is very negative. Up-Down Vol continues to tilt down.
A recovery from such weak breadth may be difficult (nothing is impossible, though in the market).
Trading profitably is not an end in itself for me. It is a means to be free from endless compulsions. To slow down and soak in the beautiful life unfolding around me every day.
https://t.co/8S3IbiOqiy
Gold mining is one of the strongest industries today. It is up by a massive 5+%.
$CDE has high earnings and revenue growth (it is a Box stock too). It has short squeeze potential. 100% of peer stocks are up.
The stock is moving up from an oversold condition with strong bullish momentum. Yesterday it created a spinning top best friend, and today it is breaking trendline resistance after a gap-up open.
I am comfortable buying low and shorting the top.
Here is an example of the latter.
Two days ago, $CBU, a regional bank stock, displayed the unique Headwind reversal signal at the very top.
Because that candle had a lower tail, I waited to see if the low breached. It did so, and right then I shared it as a potential shorting candidate.
Today, it is giving a Breakout short setup as the stock is falling below the trendline support.
I like it when my shorting candidate falls like that.
$PFE
After making a higher high on the daily chart, it pulled back and stopped right where one would expect.
It is up today from multiple support lines.
Pays almost a 7% dividend yield and is undervalued.
80% of peer stocks are up.
Its industry is one of the strongest and most accelerating.
I consider such stocks candidates for buying and for short puts (cash-secured puts) as well.
In the weekend video, I shared only one trading idea, a shorting idea on $RYAAY.
The stock had a Gap + Breakdown short setup. (1)
Today it gapped down again. It is below the trendline support. (2).
If it regains the trendline support (2), it may be a valid decision to close the trade with a nice profit in one day.
If it decisively closes below the trendline support (2), one may decide whether to hold a partial or full position.
Such exit decisions may be easier if you check out its industry peers and industry score too. You would do that anyway, wouldn't you?