Super Prorata💰

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[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Top quartile posts for achievertons that generate superior outcomes.

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[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

You want:

Fidelity
Capital Group
T. Rowe
sovereign funds
pension funds

holding the stock.

Investment banks spend decades building these relationships.

That's not easily replicated.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Distribution matters

A lot.

The public sees an IPO as:

"selling stock"

Institutions see it as:

"placing stock with the right owners."

You don't want:

fast-money hedge funds
momentum traders
IPO flippers

owning the entire float.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Or in one sentence:

The highest-return opportunities often come from being right about the long term while everyone else is obsessed with the short term.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

The article's core lesson is not:

"Fundamentals always win."

A better interpretation is:

Markets are dominated by short-term incentives and psychology, which regularly push expectations away from reality.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

The best investors:

Understand the narrative.
Understand the fundamentals.
Understand incentives and flows.
Identify where expectations and reality diverge.
Have the patience and capital structure to wait for convergence.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

You win by designing experiments that extract the maximum information from each observation.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Each question reduces uncertainty.

The goal isn't asking questions.

The goal is maximizing information gained per question.

The coin puzzle is exactly that.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Investing Analogy

Suppose you meet a startup founder.

A beginner investor asks:

Should I invest?

A stronger investor asks:

What question can I ask that gives me the most information?

For example:

customer retention
founder references
sales efficiency

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

The deeper intuition

Most beginners think:

What action should I take?

Experts think:

What information will this action produce?

The action is secondary.

The information is primary.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

The deepest intuition

Entropy is not really “things becoming messy.”

It is:

Systems naturally moving toward states that can happen in vastly more ways.

That statistical asymmetry is what gives the universe its apparent direction of time.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Most physicists today would also say the Moon exists when nobody looks.

The real issue is subtler:

For certain microscopic properties, quantum mechanics may not allow a definite value before interaction.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Why Einstein disliked this

Einstein believed reality should exist independently of observation.

His famous question was:

Does the Moon exist only when someone looks at it?

He thought the answer should obviously be "no."

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Many Worlds Interpretation

Proposed by Hugh Everett III.

Nothing collapses.

Instead:

every possible outcome occurs
reality branches

You see one branch.

The universe contains all branches.

Many physicists find this disturbing.

Others find it elegant.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Copenhagen Interpretation

Historically the most famous.

Before measurement:

properties are not definite.

Measurement:

one outcome becomes real.

This is the version most popular science books describe.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

What does "measurement" mean?

This is where physicists start arguing.

Everyone agrees on the experimental results.

Not everyone agrees on what they mean.

There are several major interpretations.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

When you place detectors at the slits to determine which slit the electron used, the interference disappears.

This is one of the most experimentally verified results in all of physics.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Double-slit experiment

Fire electrons one at a time toward two slits.

You might expect each electron to choose:

left slit
right slit

Like tiny bullets.

Instead, you get an interference pattern.

The pattern looks as though each electron somehow explored both possibilities.

[Deep philosophy @DeepPhilo_HQ]

"Nature does not punish the evil, it punishes the weak."

- Nietzsche

[theficouple @theficouple]

Reminder for all young parents:

You only get:
- 1 Summer with your baby
- 3 with your toddler
- 9 with your child
- 5 with your teenager

This time is precious. Don’t rush it.

[Super Prorata💰 @SuperProrata]

Premise 1:

All birds can fly.

Premise 2:

Penguins are birds.

Deduction:

Penguins can fly.

The logic is perfect.

The conclusion follows necessarily from the premises.

The problem is that Premise 1 is false.

So a flawless deduction produced a false statement about reality.