Swifttt Picks

Tracker:
link if I helped:

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Wimbledon Picks
Alexander Muller +9.5 vs Tommy Paul + Bartunkova ML vs Stearns 2U @ 2.4
Paul/Muller Both to win a set 1U @ 3.25
Nicolas Mejia vs A. D. Vallejo 1U @ 2.2
Bouzas Maneiro ML vs Potapova 1.5U @ 2.2
Ofner ML vs Medjedovic 0.5u @ 2.75

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@puresinnema Usually agree with you, but can't see Mpetshi under +200. Bublik has a neq found affinity for vulturing 250s. The serve bot angle on Bublik is interesting, especially as he gets discouraged when struggling to return, but GMP has seemed too vulnerable on serve this tournament.

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Ruud back to a normal level, whilst safiullin is struggling, should be game over

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@DanPickz2 I personally like Swiatek out in the quarters at +550, don't see Svitolina losing before then and she's already beaten her in Rome.

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Also crazy double fault and unforced error combo from him to get broken after restarting play

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What was Ivashka just complaining to the ump about against stewart?

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Crazy point by Santillan at 4-2 in the tie-break, never seen a forward roll lob like that

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I know he's been horrible so far but Comesaña at +550 vs Struff, despite the latter redlining is still worth 0.5u.

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WTA Madrid
Dalma Galfi +6.5 Games Handicap vs Mirra Andreeva -125 (2u)

Galfi has not yet lost a set in her first four matches in Madrid. She's been serving well, and Andreeva did not seem dominant on return in R2 against a much weaker server in Udvardy.

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@lamarzinn @ballerbooboo I agree it's weird, and maybe you're right. I'll just give them the benefit of the doubt as they are pretty unserious players

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Really weird parallels in the Jubb - Giustino Match.
First set Jubb blows a double break lead, to then win the tie-break 7-0. Second set, Giustino blows the double break lead, to then win the tie-break 7-0.

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@lamarzinn @ballerbooboo Maybe I'm naive but if you were fixing the match why come back from a double break down, and why would Giustino play such high risk tennis.
I think they are just both players that rely heavily on momentum to remain motivated.

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@ballerbooboo Jubb did have two pretty bad unforced errors in the first two points, but he does have a wildly inconsistent game. Rest of the tie-break Giustino just played really well

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Diane Parry wins in 3 Venus, now waiting on Zheng

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Indian Wells
Michael Zheng ML vs Vit Kopriva + Diane Parry ML vs Venus Williams @ 2.2 (1.25u)
Antonina Ruzic ML vs Jennifer Brady + Peyton Sierra ML vs Solana Sierra @ 1.75 (1u)

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@GaelenBet Don't understand how Arnaldi is a dog here, only thing might be fitness concerns, but if he's healthy he should be a strong favourite.

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@TennisProfits Despite his resurgence on hard, I really like Tseng to beat Baez at 3.4

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Indian Wells
Michael Zheng ML vs Vit Kopriva + Diane Parry ML vs Venus Williams @ 2.2 (1.25u)
Antonina Ruzic ML vs Jennifer Brady + Peyton Sierra ML vs Solana Sierra @ 1.75 (1u)

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Going to start posting bets more frequently on here, with more sound reasoning.

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Really hope Kopriva beats Etcheverry as seeing him in a 500 final would be comical.

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Interesting how a player like Oliynykova who serves likes she's holding a serving tray, has been able to save 12 bps in 3 games against Wang.