My charting software is CoinMarketCap
My perp platform is Jupiter
My buy signal is headlines
My setup has outmanoeuvred most “sophisticated” traders
Don’t overcomplicate it
Long when prices are up
Short when they’re down
Take profits
Trend is your friend
'Advice for guys in their 20's' -
Most dudes nowadays hit rock bottom in one way or another around age 27.
This is where you lose touch with all the "automatic" friend groups you had in HS and college (which were easy to form due to proximity - you were around them all day long)...
This is where your poor nutrition catches up with you...
This is where you notice the first signs of aging...
This is where you start really doing a normie job long-term for the first time and realize how soul-destroying it is...
As a result, this age often serves as a demarcation point for dudes.
The vast majority will fall into a life of "normal" choices and resulting misery from that point onward.
But a small % will completely reject this paradigm and go into schizo berserker mode instead and create an incredible life for themselves through sheer grit and determination.
The biggest paradox you need to internalize, however, is that the formula for a 'good life' at age 30 or 40 is going to be the exact OPPOSITE as at age 20.
You can do all the 'normal', societally-prescribed things today and have a genuinely awesome life at age 20 - go to school, play sports, hang out with your friends, go to parties, etc.
But if you do all the 'normal', societally-prescribed things from age 25 or so onward nowadays you will very likely have a miserable life.
You will end up 40 years old, significantly overweight, depressed, on multiple medications, 50% chance of divorce, in a job you hate under blue fluorescent lights all day, drowning in debt, and earning less than your father or grandfather did at the same age comparatively.
This is the sad reality of modern life (at least in the West).
The upside though is that there is more opportunity than ever before IF you are willing to be a contrarian and reject the normal choices and life path and look really weird and potentially even crazy to a lot of normies...
Embrace self-sovereign income, quit eating normie foods, count your calories, lift weights religiously, do combat sports or mountain climbing or some other sport that keeps you fit and gives you a community of like-minded dudes to hang out with, reject the pozzed insanity of modern politics and culture, utterly refuse to engage in the 'humiliation rituals' of modern life, read voraciously, go down rabbit holes, get into crypto or AI or etc, spend less than you earn, build wealth, and leave a legacy upon this earth.
Make the decision that you would rather fail 1000 times trying to lead a great life than to choose a life of shallow mediocrity and fear, and thereby insult your ancestors who sacrificed everything so you could be here, and insult the 8 year old version of you that dreamed of one day doing great things...
The top is not in.
The market is not over.
Anyone who is parroting this does not understand the macro and global liquidity situation.
We have been in a deep liquidity constricting environment for years, and Crypto has not pushed overall because it is a vehicle of that liquidty we have not had.
BTC has pushed on institutional adoption and global acceptance.
Stocks are only pushing because of AI.
GOLD has been pushing because of financial and trade uncertainty.
There has not been an overall bull market. It is only BTC and a select few others, and the exact same in the stock market.
Most stocks, like most crypto, are under-performing...
And that is because of how the macro has been for years.
BUT that is literally about to change, and we are leaving the liquidity constricting phase and re-entering expansion.
Let me explain guys.
- TGA is at $1tn(the highest in 4 years).
As soon as the US Gov reopens a lot of this will be emptied into the reserves, increasing liquidity and lending, pushing M2 about $1tn, adding large fuel for risk assets. If we were entering a bear market this would be bottoming out, not peaking.
- ON RRP is at near zero
The Overnight Reverse Repo is at near zero which shows us that all money is parked in private markets. If we were entering a bear market and a liquidity constricting environment this would be accelerating aggressively, just like it did in 2021/22, as Money market funds stop fucking with treasuries and seek safe haven from liquidity constriction.
- QT is ending
The FED has been reducing their balance sheet for 4 years, from $9tn to $6.5tn, reducing liquidity and stifling lending, which fucks growth entirely. December 1st this stops and liquidity begins to enter expansion again. $25bn/mo stops falling off the balace sheet/reserves. If we were entering a bear marker this would not be happening.
- Interest rates are coming down
Interest rates coming down makes lending cheaper, promotes business and growth and increases liquidity in risk markets. If we were entering a bear market, rates would not be coming down alongside all these other factors.
- China and Japan stimulating
China have been stimulating all year, and Japan have announced a further $93bn fiscal package and are keeping interest rates at 0.50%. This Yen stimulus enables the Yen carry trade to continue which creates a risk on environment, funelling capital straight into riskier assets.
You CANNOT compare this current market to 2021 in any way shape or form it is worlds apart.
You cannot compare it to 2019 either... the financial landscape was in crisis then and the FED stopped QT because liquidity was getting so low SOFR rates were hitting 10% and the system was cracking.
Right now the financial situation is controlled and easing, and the liquidity is about to flow in a big way.
We literally have a super cocktail of liquidity on the very near horizon, better than anything we have had in years.
The markets are not going to enter a bear market just as they are about to receive huge liquidity injections.
It's impossible.
And this is all happening whilst BTC is about to hit its 1W 50SMA and everyone is capitulating.
Coincidence? No.
Understand where we are, understand the macro, and understand how this game works.
You are being shaken out on the eve of liquidity xmas and no one is looking at it properly.
The ONLY thing that matters for Crypto is liquidity, and we have been in a liquidity starved environment for years.
This is why Alts have suffered so greatly... they are the highest risk asset in the world, and need positive liquidity to run.
This cycle has played out longer because this process has ben delayed and the FED have held rates too high for too long...
But it has to change, and it is about to change.
Don't fuck it up here.
M2 money supply going off the charts and #Bitcoin not catching up...yet.
Bullish PPI news yesterday followed by strong #CPI data and US 🇺🇸 interest rate cuts next week could fuel this rocket!
#BTC Dominance just did something wonderful for us!
It had a double top, then broke below the area where it ran from to its highs, bearish retested it & went lower.
Theres nothing that id love to see more than what just happened.
I know its rough days now but just wait, everything is playing out. All the stars are aligning.
🚨BREAKING: @Solana is set to further raise block capacity from 60M to 100M CUs under SIMD-0286, a 66% increase. This follows yesterday's 20% jump to 60M at epoch 822. According to core engineer @anza_xyz, the upgrade could be implemented today
I don't think anyone realizes the insane demand for block space coming from TradFi... stablecoins TAM is in the many $ trillions and volumes a massive multiple of that.... and that's just the start.
Oh, and that doesn't include the Web3 demand from web2 conversion that will follow over time.
6 to 8 years to $100trn as an asset class for crypto....
BLACKROCK IS NOW BUYING MORE ETH THAN BTC
BlackRock just bought $158M ETH, while only buying $125M BTC.
Their ETH buys have now FLIPPED their Bitcoin buys!
$MYRO higher low complete ✅
Volume has surged 50% today while price is up 13%.
LTF downtrend has broken with a new higher high.
Macro chart outlook is insanely strong.
Can you smell it?
🚨 JUST IN: BITCOIN MINING COMPANY @BITMINING_BTCM HAS ANNOUNCED IT IS RAISING ~$300M TO ACQUIRE $SOL TO ITS TREASURY STRATEGY, AND RUN A SOLANA VALIDATOR.
THE FUTURE OF CRYPTO IS BTC AND SOLANA.
#SOLANA ⚡️
🚨BREAKING: $SSK, the first-ever @Solana staking ETF, has surpassed $74M in assets under management (AUM) in just 5 days, with $33M added yesterday alone.