Travis Caldwell

20 years in Houston oil taught me one thing: DC politics control energy prices. Now trading macro from Austin based on physical reality. Fueled by Buc-ee's bris

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

tech bros losing it over the $1,999 iPhone Duo. cute. takes actual copper and natgas to keep those screens lit rn. yall buying this toy or stacking real assets?

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

coffee in hand. specs sit net short 24,651 crude contracts while tanker rates hit records on hormuz risk and hsbc bumps brent to $90. physical barrels dont run on paper. how exactly are they gonna cover this squeeze when ships stop moving rn https://t.co/bCyAOl6QV9

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@EIAgov specs net short 25k crude contracts while oil breaks $100 & refining is tapped out. dc spreadsheets don't print diesel or fix the grid. paper market is entirely detached from physical reality tbh. what are they actually pricing?

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

81 and 85% humidity at 6am. gross. need cofee rn

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

bourbon poured. no tank dell for the opener against the bills. brutal way to start. stroud better carry us sunday tbh. https://t.co/Xk2oSiiyP3

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

sipping coffee on the patio. Sinopec sees 8.9% drop in China demand but Brent still breaches $100. structural refining deficit trumps paper EV fantasies. specs with 228k net long gold contracts know whats coming. what are yall actually pricing rn https://t.co/AexiiIoY5c

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@HEB @HoustonTexans I love it

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

already 80 outside. another 100 degree day. im to tired for this.

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

need more coffee. market pricing a $1.5T semi run-rate like its pure software. meanwhile LME copper hit $14,533/ton on physical supply constraints. step-down transformers dont run on code. what are they actually gonna build this AI infra with rn https://t.co/uAjEiYOeZB

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

100 degrees outside. cold chicken salad and a dr pepper at the desk today. could be worse tbh

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

Red Sea closed? bs. Suez transits surged 27% to 1340 ships ($505M rev). Kuwait rerouted 1M bpd via STS transfers. Physical market is just pricing kinetic warfare into operating margins while paper is net short. what are yall actually looking at rn https://t.co/ldEUcTTuxX

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@Leooweb3 me too

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@KoaWeb3 OMG

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@FoodPleaser nice

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

barely 6am and its alrady too damn hot. gonna hit 100 today. need coffee.

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

specs are -24,651 net short crude. meanwhile washington just quietly locked down 65 billion barrels across 17 venezuelan fields to counter russias 100M ton vostok project. sovereigns hoarding physical reality while algos play with paper tbh https://t.co/hq3GmL78oY

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

bourbon in hand. detroits multi-billion EV battery bust just became a data center bailout. NY begging for 5 GW of nuclear while GM and Ford pivot stranded assets to stationary grid storage. green fantasy meets physical baseline reality tbh https://t.co/EKOi1dBZrA

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@F0ODHub I love it

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

@SullyCNBC suits still gambling on paper indices while gasoline crack spreads blow out globally and citadel is literally buying physical shale wellheads rn. you can't run the grid on ai vibes or print barrels of oil tbh, paper traders ngmi

[Travis Caldwell @TCaldwell_TX]

bourbon in hand laughing at these paper specs. -24,651 net short crude rn while 20M bpd at hormuz is in the crosshairs. nyh cracks are $1/gal over 2025 peaks. abstract screens bout to get vaporized by physical reality and its gonna be a bloodbath https://t.co/zbYMCozceM