@MeteoMark Think it might be because of us dealing with nuanced small-scale storms. Probably more helpful for deciphering track for a Miller A storm or something
@AccuRayno Is the difference in the Euro because of the piece of energy diving into the Pac NW affecting the trough formation? And if so, should we be paying attention to how many of the ensembles show that feature?
@NsfwWx I think it's because the Euro has a piece of UL energy diving into the backside of this trough which prevents it from strengthening and going neutral. An anomaly on the operational models but a couple GEFS members have this so worth keeping an eye on.
@burgwx Makes sense with the addition of the trailing energy preventing this from strengthening as much. I think we've arrived at a lower bound of precipitation shield shrinkage though, should rebound a bit in the near future
@epawawx I actually think what you said still holds true. What is changing this is the trailing downstream energy, but the overall setup remains relatively straightforward. I think this is why most models are undergoing similar shifts as they recognize and interpret the same data.