Here’s the full recap of ALL #MLB season #PlayerProps bets I posted over the last 4 weeks — search my page for write ups/reasoning.
A total of 25 player props & 5 season stat leaders.
This is the final list — get caught looking! 👀⬇️
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Luis Matos (SF) UNDER 0.5 strikeouts +100 (Fliff)
• 7-3 on the mark this year
• super low 7.9% K% between the Minors & MLB this year
• Batting 8th for home team minimizes AB’s
• ARI SP Nelson 6.13 K/9 is well below league average
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Harold Ramirez (TB) OVER 1.5 total bases -105 (Fliff)
• 2 for 4 w/2B vs LH Lynch who is definitely not a pitcher to fear
• Career .314 AVG vs LHP & .389 this year — one of the best in the league vs LHP
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#MLB Sunday HR parlay fun 🤷🏽♂️ (0.2 units)
• Vlad & OAK SP Medina both w/reverse splits — Vlad HR in L2
• Turner hitting LH well & strong wind blowing out to LF vs CHW SP Banks
• Ohtani in Coors vs LH Gomber who has been bombed by LHB this year
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Tanner Banks (CHW) UNDER 3.5 strikeouts -110 (Fliff)
• Huge contact pitcher when used as an SP in Minors
• 62 pitches last time opening, so 65-75 is prob the max
• BOS 5th lowest K% vs LH
• Strong winds to LF could mean earlier exit
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Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) UNDER 5.5 strikeouts -120 (Fliff)
• Velocity dipped 4 starts in a row w/last start being over 2 MPH below his season avg — claims it was mechanical & fixed but NYY is better than avg in K% vs RH also, so it’s worth a go
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Tyler Glasnow (TB) UNDER 8.5 strikeouts -135 (Fliff)
• 4-0 on the mark coming back from injury w/velo ⬇️ & TB seems to be being a bit careful w/his pitch counts
• KC has K’d a lot vs RHP but been respectable lately
• Umpire suppresses K’s
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Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OVER 1.5 total bases +100 (Fliff)
• Excellent fastball hitter & CHW RH Lynn throws a combo of 4-seamer, cutter, & sinker 85% of the time
• Lynn getting destroyed by LH bats w/.348 AVG allowed this year
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Eddie Rosario (ATL) OVER 1.5 total bases +120 (Fliff)
• Has been hot going 14-5 on the mark in L19
• His best hitting in his career has been vs groundball pitching (.305 AVG) like CIN RH Ashcraft is & is in good hitting environment
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Luis Severino (NYY) OVER 5.5 hits allowed +105 (Fliff)
• Has gone over in L4 & is just not looking sharp overall
• Now gets TEX who has the #1 AVG in the league vs RHP
• Umpire is one of the highest AVG boost umpires in the league
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Ezequiel Duran (TEX) OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI +100 (Fliff)
• 28-21 (57%) on the mark in starts (& that’s after a slow 4-7 start)
• Strong .313 AVG vs RHP & NYY RH Severino is struggling w/RH bats (.294 AVG & .396 wOBA allowed) & not looking sharp
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Tommy Pham (NYM) OVER 1.5 total bases +135 (Fliff)
• Hitting well in June w/.305 AVG & 10-5 on the mark
• Baseball Savant profile ⬇️ is 🔥
• His best AVG is vs groundball pitchers like PHI LH Sanchez
• +135 odds are good to stab at here
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James Paxton (BOS) OVER 17.5 outs -110 (Fliff)
• Cleared the mark in L3
• CHW is mid offense vs LHP & see the 2nd least amount of pitches per PA
• CHW w/8 RH in lineup — Paxton w/reverse splits: .228 AVG vs RH vs .280 AVG vs LH in career
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Chase Anderson (COL) OVER 5.5 hits allowed -105 (Fliff)
• only 3-4 on the mark this year, but had a regression start last game & should continue to regress
• Bottom 18th % in xAVG + LAA offense has been good lately + Coors Field
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