Surfing The Capital Flow

Crypto Analysis through an Institutional lens. Identifying high-probability setups on $BTC & Altcoins. Pure Price Action. No noise.

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[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

...then we need to watch how the current Weekly candle closes, which the start of next week will show. A close of the next candle BODY also above the level would signify acceptance above it and a high-probability move according to the Second Scenario. (3/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

$BTC GLOBAL UPDATE: The week started with price definitely "seeing" the 78.6% global Fib and Weekly OB. They paused the decline. The Weekly candle BODY closed above this level, meaning it has held. (1/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

But it is too early to talk about a reversal. No bullish order flow has formed on the lower timeframe yet, and price will still be dropping below the level during this week. However, if the drop does not continue to the final support at $74,500... (2/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

If the Weekly candle closes BELOW the 78.6% level, the probability of a drop to the final support ($74,500) increases significantly. I am in observation mode until next week's open. No rush. (3/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

$BTC GLOBAL UPDATE: The 78.6% Fib & Weekly OB have been tagged. Price has dropped into the major support zone I've been tracking. Since this is a global HTF level, intraday noise doesn't matter. We need to watch the candle closes. (1/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

The decisive moment will be the WEEKLY candle close. We need to see if the current weekly body closes ABOVE the 78.6% level. If it does, the level holds. Then (and only then) will I start looking for bullish order flow on the 1H-4H timeframes for a long entry. (2/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

The only thing that saves this current structure is if we get a Weekly candle close back ABOVE the 61.8% level (without making a new low this week). Until then, I am in observation mode. (3/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

$BTC UPDATE: The global 61.8% Fib is officially broken on the Daily timeframe. It paused the drop briefly, but no bullish Order Flow formed on the LTF. Price has now closed a Daily candle body BELOW the level. (1/3)

[Surfing The Capital Flow @TheCryptoSurf]

With this level lost, the probability now favors a continuation of the drop to the next major support: the 78.6% Fib level. I am shifting back to my global outlook to watch for a reaction there. (2/3)