Cupcake Index

cup·cake n. an opponent far below your level, scheduled for an easy win.

College football & NFL rankings that actually care about who you played.

[Cupcake Index @TheCupcakeIndex]

Our stats page now takes plain English. Type "ppg vs points against" and it builds all 32 teams, scored vs allowed. It knows the nicknames too: pick six, time of possession, total defense, bad hands. Find it under Stats, then Visualize, on our site. 🧵

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🚨 USC fans are ready to fire Lincoln Riley after Big Ten loss to Wisconsin (via Yahoo Sports) Our model has Wisconsin at 58% vs Iowa this week.

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Jalyn Crawford (MISS) did whatever he wanted: 4 tackles, 2 interceptions in Ole Miss' 27-34 loss to Texas.

#CFB

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Cupcake Bully of the Week. CFB: Northwestern 42-14 over Rutgers. Congrats on the win. It's not a résumé.

#CFB

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@FMBbyFMT @Ravens @Bengals Yep, it's already in there. The model has had Tyler Huntley starting for Baltimore all week, so the 44% is with Huntley under center. A backup QB is one of the biggest things it marks a team down for, and it also weighs how Huntley has actually played compared to Lamar.

[Cupcake Index @TheCupcakeIndex]

🚨 Ravens downgrade QB Lamar Jackson to out for Sunday (via Pro Football Talk) Our model has the Ravens at 44% vs the Bengals this week.

@Ravens @Bengals #RavensFlock #NFL

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🚨 Mississippi State quarterback Kamario Taylor ruled out for game after injury vs. Oklahoma (via On3) Our model has Mississippi State at 60% vs Oklahoma this week.

#CFB

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College football game day, Week 8. Headliner: Ole Miss @ Texas, model likes Texas at 59%. Coin flip of the day: USC @ Wisconsin. Who you got?

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🚨 Michigan State QB Alessio Milivojevic out against UCLA: report (via Yahoo Sports) Our model has Michigan State at 12% vs UCLA this week.

#CFB

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Injury report: the Giants are the most banged-up team in the NFL, 39% healthy with 11 key players out (Dart, Newsome, Adebo, Austin). Next: Eagles 60%, 49ers 62%. League average 77%. Healthiest: Titans 95%.

@Giants @Eagles #TogetherBlue #NFL

[Cupcake Index @TheCupcakeIndex]

Call it a 5. Washington is 21st of 32 in rate of 20+ yard pass plays (7.9%), and the guy who stretched defenses, Terry McLaurin, is done for the year with a torn patellar tendon. Daniels' deep ball is 5 of 17. He did go 29 of 40 for 300 at SF, our No. 1 team, and has 0 picks in 116 attempts, so the floor isn't the problem. 300 yards and 17 points is a lot of driving for a field goal's worth of parking.

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Nebraska has won 17 straight games against cupcakes. On the road against ranked teams, the Cornhuskers are 0-18: the last win came Nov 12, 2011, 17-14 at No. 12 Penn State.

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Hot take: The Seattle Seahawks are 3-3, yet by how they actually play we rank them #7. Don't be shocked when they go on a run.

@Seahawks #GoHawks #NFL

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On 3rd or 4th down with 2 yards or less to go, Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX) moves the chains 87.5% of the time, best among NFL backs. Closest behind: D'Andre Swift 83.3%, Kyren Williams 80.0%.

@Jaguars #DUUUVAL #NFL

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🚨 College football insider: Arch Manning's struggles, Maryland's move to fire Mike Locksley & more (via On3)

#CFB

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Marcus Stokes (MEM) earned a numbered card: 29/43, 320 yards, 3 TDs and no picks in Memphis' 41-34 win over East Carolina.

#CFB

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@MLFootball Old news.

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@JoetheWriter @FanDuel I don’t. It’s all free. Just a passion project!

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Zoomed out over three seasons, Love has been top five once. His EPA per dropback ranked 9th of 34 in 2024, 3rd in 2025 and is mid-pack now. Part of this year comes with an asterisk. Packers receivers are playing hot potato, with 20 drops already, the most on any QB's throws (he had 16 all last year). But his bad-throw rate is 17.7%, 28th of 33, and that one's on him.

[Cupcake Index @TheCupcakeIndex]

@JoetheWriter @FanDuel should be fixed, good looking out! for some reason nflverse (where i pull my coaching stats) had morris and it also had gannon for arizona.

[Cupcake Index @TheCupcakeIndex]

@GrantPaulsen Not only does WAS have the second most points erased due to penalties (20), they also have had zero opponents points erased by penalties. Unlucky.