Sam The Model Man

Sports prediction modeling

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

NFL model goes 15-1 on spreads in week 2 of tracking

It’s all free

https://t.co/GyziISST29

Please check it out

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

Lots of people didn’t love the model being on the buccaneers tonight

Always remember, numbers don’t lie, the cowboys suck

Good Thursday night winner. Any love from people who tailed this one? That was a fun one 👏🏼

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

Lots of work to do for me to be able to trust this thing. Hopefully feel comfortable this weekend but a big TBD. Will keep you all updated on it

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

I have been heads down for hours trying to get the first td aspect of the model in a good place

I don’t think it’s fully ready and still needs plenty of work Friday and Saturday to be good to go for Sunday. That being said this model isn’t meant to give you the obvious “Derrick Henry is best bet for first td”

The way this is built is looking for an edge against Vegas. Biggest delta based on statistical backing.

Like I said, this model doesn’t feel ready yet at all. But for the people begging for a pick, it keeps coming back to Sean Tucker at +2200 as a great edge over Vegas tonight. Do not take this bet. It’s for tracking purposes and to tell you where I am in this process. Updates to come

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

For those that haven’t seen, check out my projection for the TNF game below

Some questions asked so far i can answer:

YES the model knows Mayfield is out
YES I know the Bucs suck
NO I don’t have a first td model (that’s ready. I have one ive been testing if you want that) 🏴��☠️

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

This is when the modeling gets really fun. Doesn’t always happen but almost exact score here for some Wednesday football

Anyone catch this? Appreciate the support

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

You guys are amazing. I didn’t expect so many people to want the futures parlay

Going to share it here as I’m getting very behind on answering DMs

If you like this let me know, I can share the modeling behind this if people are interested

Thanks all. Let’s hit this one

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

I was trying to find my cash out slip but FanDuel wouldn’t let me scroll back far enough. This was right before i cashed out

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

Im a basketball JUNKIE. I truly can’t wait for nba and cbb.

Every year i model out every teams schedule and I build a future to make the playoffs parlay in the nba and a future conference winner for cbb based on my models. Last year I (almost) hit the NBA, but cashed out for under 50% of the amount as I had no faith in the hornets. My cbb future was not this close…

I know you guys only care about my models. But happy to share these futures

I’m a firm believer in not throwing lotto parlays if you want to make money gambling. But futures are fun. I won’t flood everyone’s feed with future parlays. So if you want my playoff parlay this year just retweet reply and dm me I’ll send your way

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

First, for those brave enough to bet Tuesday night football, congrats on a sweat free Troy -9.5 win!

More importantly, I’m getting lots of DMs asking about seeing past results. If you click on the record under any sport, it will take you to a page where it shows every past result for that sport

I’m always open to suggestions and improvements on the website so please always give me your guys thoughts on what you would like to see

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@IonaGuyF Cbb? Yes

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

Week 5 NFL projections are live

Big underdogs week it looks like. I don’t expect to go back to back weeks of 15-1. But would love to do so

Let me know your thoughts and I greatly appreciate the new support.

NBA and CBB models week 1 will be up shortly!

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@DaveSPX Thanks. Assuming Lamar is likely to get ruled out. Definitely changes the data. I’ll look once an official ruling happens.

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

Yesterday I had 10 followers today I have almost 4K. So for everyone that’s new (all of you), here’s a breakdown:

I’ve been sports data modeling for years (about 10) and have a good grasp on how this works I would like to think. All my models work differently and take into account different data sets. My best sports over the years have been:

1. College basketball
2. NFL/NBA tie
3. NCAAF

I just started NCAAF more recent (two years ago) and I’m looking to dial in the data over time

I know a 15-1 week is not normal and everyone else should know that as well. That’s unrealistic. Beating Vegas is HARD and only few can do it successfully over time, I’d like to think I’m one of them. Parlays and lottery tickets are a losing game that everyone should stay away from.

I love all your DMs and will get to everyone. Excited to get you NFL week 5 model and hope for another successful week 👍

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@ThatGamblerGuy Me and you both.

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

NFL model goes 15-1 on spreads in week 2 of tracking

It’s all free

https://t.co/GyziISST29

Please check it out

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@BenjyCroft Week 1 was under 50. This past week was better. Interesting to see week 3. My nfl modeling has always been better admittedly

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

I’m not sure how to get the right people to see this - 14-1 on the week NFL ATS

24-6-1 overall

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@CaliTrader8 In my bio

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@4QAST Thank you

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@MrWinnaPicks How is this a lie?

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@ChillyBets How do I get peoples attention on this

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

NFL model goes 15-1 on spreads in week 2 of tracking

It’s all free

https://t.co/GyziISST29

Please check it out

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

@cookitup31 I really need the right people to see this

[Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam]

NFL model goes 15-1 on spreads in week 2 of tracking

It’s all free

https://t.co/GyziISST29

Please check it out