Thilo Pohl

18yo Futures Trader💰
Road to 1 Million in Payouts!

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@ImMmxm @I_Am_The_ICT Oh no he can blur the number, I wanna see % return, that can be it. I am not a pocket watcher

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

ALSO there isnt 30 trdng days in a month

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

This is exactly the problem. Someone has a shower thought, does some basic arithmetic, and presents it as if achieving these statistics were trivial.

Actual math ⬇️

[The Honest Trader @TheH0n3stTrader]

A 40% win rate can make you disgustingly rich.

Math doesn't lie.

Win rate: 40%.
R:R ratio: 1:2.
Trades per month: 30.
Risk per trade: 1%.

You have a $100K funded account.

Losses per month: 18 (-$18,000).

Wins per month: 12 (+$24,000).

Net monthly income: +$6,000.

And... you can scale a lot more from there...

To $200K, $500K, and even $1M in funded accounts.

Trading is brutal, but it makes you fucking rich.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

Over a sufficiently large sample, that is a substantial trading edge.

The difficult part isn’t calculating 12 × $2,000 − 18 × $1,000.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

Trading is not easy. You’re competing in one of the most competitive markets in the world. Stop treating a hypothetical expectancy calculation as evidence that making money is easy.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

Posts like this make trading look like a simple equation where you just choose a 40% win rate and 2R. You don’t. Those are the outputs of an edge, not inputs you get to select.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

The difficult part is actually producing a stable 40% win rate at 2R over hundreds or thousands of trades.

Especially in discretionary trading, you cannot simply assume those statistics will persist indefinitely.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

At a 2R reward-to-risk ratio, your theoretical break-even win rate is 33.33%. In reality, it’s slightly higher after commissions, fees and slippage.

A 40% win rate at 2R produces an expectancy of +0.20R per trade before costs.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

So please do not fall for stuff like this.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

with a discretionary approach over a long time. Claims like these are what is making everyone today so damn blinded by the industry. TRADING IS NOT EASY. You are competing with the best of the best that on top of that have way better data then you.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@TheH0n3stTrader Didnt know we have 30 trading days in a month

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

1.33 RR trading.
A quantitatively researched strategy.
Proud of these results.

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@Fun_Trades1 U got the right slogan : ) Keep it up love to see it

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@I_Am_The_ICT Lets see a broker statement

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

Ill tattoo "ICT" on my body if you actually show us a proper broker statement from a regulated broker (no photoshopping yk what I mean. And Ill priase ur concepts to eternity

[The Inner Circle Trader @I_Am_The_ICT]

@Thilo_trades Show me your pay stub

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@FunkyRedDevil 4 lol

[Thilo Pohl @Thilo_trades]

@FPX500 @Topstep Cammycapital not being on there hurts me