$BTC
๏ฟฝ๏ฟฝ Update (July 31)
๐ด BTC slipped back to the range low (high $65,410, close $62,888) โ a red end to July, diverging from booming equities.
๐ Day (close-to-close): -2.92%
โก Trigger: hawkish Fed hold + Middle East tensions lifted yields & the dollar, pressuring risk assets.
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: ETF inflows plateauing & a $60k put is now the most popular options bet into August.
๐ก๏ธ Support at 62k held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 50-day EMA ~$64.9k, then $67.5k for a trend reversal.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 29)
๐ข BTC closed ~$63,984 (high $64,745) โ range-bound, choppy day into the Fed decision.
๐ Day (close-to-close): +0.11%
โก Trigger: FOMC day โ Fed held at 3.50โ3.75% (5th straight hold) but a 9โ3 vote with 3 dissenters favoring a hike kept the tone hawkish.
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: spot ETF outflows (~$50M) & renewed Middle East airstrikes weighing on risk appetite.
๐ก๏ธ Support at 62.5โ63k held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 65k, then 65.2k for a trend reversal.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 28)
๐ข BTC closed at ~$63,915, up from $63,756 โ dipped to $62,742 intraday and tapped $64.1k high before easing into the close.
๐ Day (close-to-close): +0.25%
โก Trigger: caution ahead of the two-day Fed meeting (decision Jul 29); rate-hike odds up to ~36%
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: global tech sell-off, US crypto bill delays & renewed ETF outflows (IBIT-led)
๐ก๏ธ Support at 62.7โ63k held. 64k tapped but not held โ next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 64k, then 65k for a trend reversal.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 27)
๐ด BTC slid to a $63,756 close, down from $65,400 โ tapped $65,745 intraday but sold off hard into the close (near the day low $63,606).
๐ Day (close-to-close): -2.51%
โก Trigger: risk-off caution ahead of the July 28โ29 FOMC, plus spillover from the AI/tech stock slump
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: weak buying conviction, falling futures open interest & soft ETF demand (Nansen flags $52k risk)
๐ก๏ธ Support at 63.5k held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 65.7k, then 67.3k for a trend reversal.
$BTC Weekly Update!
The previous weeks candle could have been the local top already. If we manage stay below the 67k this week we could drop towards 55k pretty soon!
2nd option would be another liquidity sweep into the 67-68k region which I think is unlikely to happen
No matter this weeks outcome we should drop into the 50s soon
Unlike the big #crypto influencers out here I dont think the bottom is in.
The arguments are easy:
- still bearmarket
- overall bias is to bullish
- 4 weeks green in a row, havnt seen 5 in a row during the entire bearmarket
- insane liquidity pools below 60k
- clarity act struggling
- BOJ could crash traditional markets
- FED this week
- green july narrative coming to an end
- seasonality showed downside during aug/sep the last years
- low spot demand, every pump is perp driven
Besides that we quickly tested the previous week golden pocket where we got rejected immediatly. There is no way we formed a bottom. This will take atleast 2-3 months from now on.
#krypto #cryptonews #bitcoin #btc #eth #trading #futures
$BTC Weekly Update!
The previous weeks candle could have been the local top already. If we manage stay below the 67k this week we could drop towards 55k pretty soon!
2nd option would be another liquidity sweep into the 67-68k region which I think is unlikely to happen
No matter this weeks outcome we should drop into the 50s soon
Unlike the big #crypto influencers out here I dont think the bottom is in.
The arguments are easy:
- still bearmarket
- overall bias is to bullish
- 4 weeks green in a row, havnt seen 5 in a row during the entire bearmarket
- insane liquidity pools below 60k
- clarity act struggling
- BOJ could crash traditional markets
- FED this week
- green july narrative coming to an end
- seasonality showed downside during aug/sep the last years
- low spot demand, every pump is perp driven
Besides that we quickly tested the previous week golden pocket where we got rejected immediatly. There is no way we formed a bottom. This will take atleast 2-3 months from now on.
#krypto #cryptonews #bitcoin #btc #eth #trading #futures
$BTC
๐ Update (July 26)
๐ข BTC closed at ~$65,400, up from $64,375 โ reclaimed $65k and tapped $65,577 intraday before stalling under the 66k cap.
๐ Day (close-to-close): +1.59%
โก Trigger: dip-buyers stepping back in ahead of the July 28โ29 Fed meeting (hold at 3.50โ3.75% expected) & steady ETF demand
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: fresh $225M ETF outflow (Jul 23), Fed uncertainty & thin summer-slumber volume
๐ก๏ธ Support in the low 64s held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ 66k, then 67.2โ68k for a trend reversal.
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$BTC
๐ Update (July 25)
๐ข BTC defended $64k (high $64,475, close $64,375) โ quiet, low-volatility grind that closed marginally green.
๐ Day (close-to-close): +0.37%
โก Trigger: steady dip-buying at the $63.7โ64k support zone
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: $225M ETF outflows & Fear & Greed at 27 (fear)
๐ก๏ธ Support at 63.7โ64k held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 64.5k, then 65.4k for a trend reversal.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 24)
๐ด BTC lost the $65k level (high $65,809, close $64,140) โ tapped $65.8k intraday before selling off into the close.
๐ Day (close-to-close): -1.47%
โก Trigger: broad risk-off as Mag 7 shed ~$797B (worst tech day since 2025) & rising Fed rate-hike odds
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: continued ETF outflows, $280M liquidations & a fresh sector bankruptcy filing
๐ก๏ธ Support at 63.5k held (low $63,740). Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 65k, then 66k for a trend continuation.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 23)
๐ด BTC closed at ~$65,099, down from $66,114 โ tapped $66.3k intraday but got sold off, stuck in a 3rd day of $64kโ$66.8k chop.
๐ Day (close-to-close): โ1.54%
โก Trigger: risk-off macro โ Nasdaq โ2%, Mag7 & AI-capex jitters, rising yields & oil
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: Clarity Act odds fading & caution into the Fed meeting
๐ก๏ธ Support at 64k held. Next hurdles: ๐ฏ reclaim 66k, then 67k for a trend reversal.
$BTC
๐ Update (July 22)
๐ด BTC eased to $66,114 (high $66,740, close $66,114) โ opened higher but lost steam, closing right on the daily pivot after two green days.
๐ Day (close-to-close): โ0.66%
โก Trigger: Clarity Act progress (Bessent: "1-yard line") sparked a brief pop but no breakout
โ ๏ธ Headwinds remain: inflation fears offset the regulatory optimism & price still ~$8k below EMA200 (~$74.4k)
๐ก๏ธ Support at 65.5k held. 67k rejected again โ next hurdles: ๐ฏ 67k, then 68k for a trend reversal.
Its been quite boring for me the last couple weeks. Im still in my short positions. We should see atleast one more sharp drop.
We will see if $BTC creates a new low then. A lot of people on X talk about the bottom is in what I dont see yet. We are in an historicaly green month. Nothing to become to excited...
Downside should form around the end of the month again. BOJ situation is important to monitor