in some of the groups im in. I've noticed a really common theme lately where people just hold onto a bad trade wayyyy too long. they just can't let it go. they can't accept the loss, so the loss grows
they commit to a position based on what they have already lost. Instead of focusing on forward looking expected value. their decisions are based on the past losses vs future opportunities. which is basically just the sunk cost fallacy
Rationally. You are suppose to allocate capital to the best risk adjusted places regardless of where prices currently sit. the market doesn't know or care what we paid for something.
one has been in eth since last year. he has known he can get better returns since then, but has been frozen. there is obviously a financial cost to it, but there is an emotional cost as well, and then the opportunity cost. all 3 can be very expensive.
a lot of that is also just a result of thesis drift where the original thesis gets invalidated and then a new thesis arrives on why the trade should continue
if you think there is a better opportunity elsewhere, and have something to support it then i think its better to make the jump. its a big reason why i mainly switched to stocks over a year ago. you could see the bubble brewing.
its part of a mental framework we all have to work on, and constantly improve on.
@trader1sz@kingbtc One of the ugliest scandals I have ever witnessed started because a cousin of mine asked for 20€ back. The person in question felt offended😅🤢
No one is born homosexual, or born like anything.
We were all born with no understanding of how we should live.
Thats why the Bible is there as God’s will, and guidance for our lives. It’s our choice to follow to optimum or not.
E clar ca nu am avut si nici nu vom avea legaturi prea stranse, dar problema apare cand toti scapa de responsabilitate invinuind Rusia. Cozile de topor trebuie demascate, dar si cei care conduc si nu-si fac treaba. Probabil ne-ar fi mai bine daca ne-am apara tara in loc sa aparam Rusia sau UE, asa nu ne-am mai afla in tabere mereu.
$HYPE The 70-75 range....
These were my observations from the last week or so, logged in my journal alongside recordings, screenshots, tape, flow recordings, and charts.
'From a DOM and orderflow perspective, this was no longer reading as clean initiative buying. It looked more like forced buy-side flow being absorbed.
Each push higher was likely triggering short-covering, adding market buy pressure, but the response on the ladder was poor. Price was no longer lifting efficiently. Passive sellers were reloading the offer and absorbing into the buy flow.
Sellers appeared to be waiting for the market to trade higher before distributing size. The push into 70-75 gave them the prices they needed, and from there the question was whether the bid could keep accepting the supply.
At the same time, spot remained heavy on sell delta, pointing to spot-side distribution, while perps continued driving price into the asks. That divergence made the move look increasingly fragile.
If the buy flow started to fade and those offers remained in control, the structure was vulnerable to a shift lower. Late buyers would be trapped, shorts had already covered, and the market would no longer have the same forced bid underneath it.
Sharing if anyone finds it useful... theres some decent info in there to pick apart...
Bună dimineața ! ☕️
7 zile pana la cel mai mare IPO din istorie ! SpaceXai ! 🚨
O companie care in 2024 pe vremea cand era doar SpaceX avea un profit anual de 791 milioane $. Dupa comasarea ei cu XAi in 2025 a inregistrat pierderi de 4.94 miliarde $. Apoi in primele 3 luni din 2026 a mai pierdut inca 4.28 miliarde. Cea mai profitabila componenta a SpaceXAi fiind starlink.
Daca ne uitam la S1 document (document public obligatoriu pt IPO) vedem la TAM(Total Addressable Market) ca aceasta companie are următoarele valori pe 3 segmente de piața diferite :
• Space: 370 miliarde
• Connectivity: 1.6 trilioane
• AI: 26.5 trilioane
Deci valoarea companie astăzi prezentata in S1 filling cu SEC-ul este bazata pe acest TAM unde sectoarele Space (rachete) si Connectivity (starlink) reprezintă doar 7% din total. Problema majora este ca doar aceste 2 sectoare sunt profitabile. 93% din valoarea companiei fiind momentan doar fictiva intr-un sector f competitiv care momentan generează doar pierderi.
Dovada este profitul companiei din 2024 +791 milioane s-a transformat in - 4980 milioane din 2024 in 2025. Apoi doar in primele 3 ale acestui an s-au mai pierdut inca 4280 milioane.
IPO-ul SpaceXAi aloca pt retail 30%. De 3 ori mai mult fata de media tech ipo-urilor. Apoi Fidelity a scăzut suma minima obligatorie a conturilor care pot investi in acest IPO de la 500.000 $ la 2000$.
Eu doar va prezint cifrele si voi puteți sa trageți singuri concluzia. Cui i se adresează acest IPO care la o valoare de 2 trilioane ar înseamnă x100 revenue?
Daca va gândiți la retailul sărac si prost informat, bingo ! Aveți rsp si dc crypto este in cădere libera in ultima săptămână. Tot ei vand in panica btc la 60-70k pentru ca au pierdut mișcarea bullish din tech stocks si cred ca SpaceXai este salvarea lor. Daca la 100-120k nu au vrut sa vândă, ies acum ca fraierii sa ia o teapa si mai mare. V-am zis de sapt trecuta ca aceste trilioane pentru Ipo-urile scumpe din AI trebuie sa vina de undeva. Si tocmai si-au gasit clientii perfecti ! Crypto bros ! 💪😂👍
Azi la 15:30 avem NFP si rata somaj ! Va doresc o zi minunată! ☀️ like/share ! Mulțumesc
The world wants you to see chaos. God wants you to see the gift.
Every morning, they try to sell you fear, division, decline, and hopelessness.
But beneath all that noise is something they cannot manufacture:
God gave you another day. Another chance. Another breath.
The greatest thank-you you can give Him is how you live it.
Work with purpose. Love hard. Grow through the struggle. Do not let their lies shrink your spirit or their chaos drown out your calling.
God gave you breath. Give Him your effort.
One concept that has helped me significantly on higher timeframe trades is using light, "pilot" positions.
A pilot position lets me get a feel for the rhythm of a market before committing size.
It gives me exposure, feedback, and emotional alignment without forcing full conviction too early.
I'm sure many traders wait for “confirmation” before entering, usually a reclaim, a breakdown, deviation, or some clean level-to-level trigger. I used to think the same way... But from experience the problem is that by the time confirmation is obvious, I'm giving up asymmetry...
For me, confirmation is not always the reason to start a position, more often, it is the reason to add.
The pilot is the probe.
Confirmation is my permission to size with dynamic risk.
@eftimie@ClaudiuNasui 🙃na, daca vrei asa, atata timp cat angajatul negociaza un salariu brut, el plateste prin retinere la sursa. Practic ar fi foarte complicat de colectat individual.