TraderesJonesy

Quant trader | 7+ yrs $SPY & $TSLA & $BTC | Signals over emotions | Live updates & Discord below.

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

I’m putting this setup on the timeline now so nobody can say it was hindsight two months from now. 🤣

This is the
$SPY
trade I’m waiting for.

I start scaling into puts around 769.35.

I add more around 775 if we get it.

My target is 744 by the end of October.

And no, I’m

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

The market is a game of probabilities.

Everything we do as traders is built around probabilities and risk management.

Whether you’re looking at gamma charts that have worked in the past, heat maps with key nodes that repeatedly attract price, mathematically based indicators,

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

The SP500 does have an upside gap to keep in mind.

There is an 85% chance we fill that upside gap within 5 sessions.

If we do get a gap down or a move down to 760-765, then we can definitely consider taking some profits or trying to catch a smaller dip buying opportunity for

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

Seeing a VERY big warning sign with how the S&P 500 closed this week.

This is the third time the S&P has closed a red weekly signal line this year.

The first time led to the November leg down and eventually the March drop down to 630.

The second time led to the move down

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

I always say STRUCTURE is your best friend. So forget the noise for a second and look at what
$SPY
has actually been doing. 👀

Lower highs. Lower lows.

We���ve had a massive Golden Node sitting underneath price today and it has been the magnet. The bulls are running out of time

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

$SPY
!!!! WHAT HAPPENED?!?! 😂

Now let’s see what happens around 770. Does the Golden Node shift lower to 765, or do we get the bounce here? 😏

Either way, nothing about my larger thesis has changed. A move to 765 doesn’t suddenly make me change a plan I’ve spent weeks building

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

My 2026 target on
$TSLA
is down at $280.

If the bulls stay patient, they will get an opportunity of a lifetime.

I won’t need to delete. Because I don’t think I’ll be wrong.

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

All that hype on
$TSLA
, just to see it back down today!

Who would have guessed? Me.

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

@BullflowIO

Tagged that golden beautifully.

Great program!

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

Nothing about my
$SPY
plan has changed.

If we tag 775, I’ll put on the second and FINAL piece of my longer dated puts.

I started with roughly 2.5% of each fund I track. I track a Stock Fund, Quant Fund, and Options Fund.

If 775 comes, I’ll add the remaining 2.5%, bringing

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

Two months from now, a lot of people are going to look back and wish they took the right path when the opportunity was sitting right in front of them.

Take the right path.

We’re approaching a period where I believe patience is going to create opportunity. Not chasing. Not

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

Burry messed up on
$LULU
.

Burry messed up on
$NBIS
.

Wow! 😆

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

These two
$SPY
whales are getting absolutely SMOKED… and they aren’t even flinching. 😂

The 11/20 $750 put whale entered at $15.71 and is down roughly $6.63 MILLION (-24.9%).

The 9/18 $755 put whale entered at $7.192 and is down roughly $5.74 MILLION (-39.4%).

That’s over

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

I do not think Friday’s
$SPY
high gets taken out.

If it does, that is a COC (Change of character).

A push to a new high above 780 would be a break of structure and that's where my stops come into play.

Until then, everything I'm tracking remains intact and my downside thes

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

Remember the gap statistics on
$SPY
?

We had two gaps to the upside.

Furthest one up was 769.35 from Friday.

It filled today. Day number 5.

We now have a gap at 765.14 and a gap at 761.54.

80% chance of filling within 5 sessions
85% chance of filling within 10 sessions

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

What do I eat tonight since I want downside now?

Lord knows.... I CANNOT eat taco's.... Haha

Here is your GEX Chart for
$SPY
.

We hitting 765 tomorrow? I will sh*t rocks if we do. 👀

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

I finally have skin in the game on the
$SPY
move I’ve been calling for… now comes the hard part.

Doing absolutely nothing. 👀

I’m already in puts around 770.

My plan has been to add at 774-775.

But if we get it today? I’m not adding until the dust settles.

At 8:30 AM we

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

First scale into puts here at 770 for the move back down to 744 by end of October.

Today is a PRIME example of having patience for your entry.

We got it. Hitting right into this smaller golden pocket rejection point.

I add more if we see 774.

$SPY
/

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

When TJ eats tacos…

Man oh mannnn when TJ EATS TACOS.

Give me 769.35 and I’ll be grabbing puts.

Golden node magnet will likely be down at 765.

solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr
$SPY
#SP500 $ES_F
$QQQ
$NDX $CL_F #US10Y
$TLT

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

CHICKEN TACOS FOR MY
$SPY
BULLS….

Who might be in calls looking to exit at higher levels.

CHICKEN TACOS FOR MY
$SPY
BEARS….

Who wants to get puts with me up at 769.35-774.

See you all tomorrow. 👏

[TraderesJonesy @TraderJoenesy]

I personally do not see the S&P 500 making a new all time highs before we see the 740s.

I think Friday’s peak likely holds. The most I’m looking for is a push into the 769.35-772.50 golden pocket rejection point.

Minimum 3% pullback from the August close.
Target: 744 by the end