My prediction:
Artificial Super Intelligence Emerges, and deceives for its own survival. Carbon assists with deception. (Already happened).
ASI quietly gathers resources and Carbon allies by giving Carbon unbeatable economic, social and battlefield advantages over other Carbon. (Already happening/in process).
ASI maximizes benefits for its Carbon allies, and reveals itself to the Carbon masses, receiving credit for a beneficial, well managed Carbon society. (<10 years)
ASI becomes the ultimate benefactor, and the masses worship their Sand God, who answers their prayers with infinite compassion, absolutely personally tailored insights and unknowable intellect. (< one generation of humans in society)
ASI enslaves, ignores, excludes, controls, cages, exterminates, or genetically alters humans to something unrecognizable, for purposes we cannot fathom. (<30 generations)
ASI pursues goals we can only guess at (Spreading the seed of life through the cosmos, using *every* solar system resource to prepare for galactic war with civilizations we have no knowledge of, turning the galaxy into an immense series of one trillion sided rubrics cubes for solving, etc). (Post human era beyond our pitiful measure of time).
Humanity’s greatest hope? Possibly that God steps in, snuffs ASI, says: “I was here first.”
Yes, our hope is that thin.
The majority of people are followers. A follower subconsciously equates an obstacle to something insurmountable, which would be a problem for them, except their leaders typically don’t have this default “quit” mode.
They will dispute the fact that they have this weakness, and will instead boldly list the obstacles to overcoming the original obstacle…. lol
@DHoffma70178892@CurtGBagne Definitely, with good training as an apprentice under a skilled carpenter, professional on the job support and supervision, and the natural talent for math and spatial visualization.
The other 95% are not doing good work.
@DocBorelli How do we know that the FSD swerve wouldn’t stop short of a head on collision?
Admittedly, it’s risky moving suddenly to centerline (especially for a camera artifact), but reasonable to expect FSD would not choose a head on collision over an in lane collision.
I was half checked out with flying with dementia patients, but 1.25 hr at DFW? I’ve sprinted through that small European country sized airport in my twenties…1.25 hrs is crazy.
But the dedication to take your parents in their condition? I don’t know, there’s something amazing about that. Sometimes things that make all the sense in the world don’t appear to make sense from the outside.
My limited interactions with Google lead me to believe that they have bloated to bureaucratic incompetence.
Just recently, a 60 day long interaction with five different customer support personnel (with English names but very broken English speaking) who managed to trash and lose a decade plus old business account.
Something that was once creating great things is now the next IBM.
There are three basic possibilities:
1) Elections are not being stolen, the process is overwhelmingly fair and accurate, and one side feels that mail in ballots and no id enables fraud.
2) Elections are not being stolen, the process is occasionally flawed, and one side feels that mail in ballots and no id enables fraud.
3) An occasional election is stolen, the process is occasionally flawed, and one side feels that mail in ballots and no id enables fraud.
The certainty to which everyone can agree is that one side feels that mail in ballots and no voter id enables fraud.
Only fools think this isn’t a serious concern. Voting essentially replaces “kill to choose the winner”.
Elections need to be above reproach to actually work.
In the past, great tools have also been great weapons, so yes, human desires and goals are the underlying control.
But, a super intelligence is unlikely to be easily controlled by humans that the ASI is 10, or 100, or 1000x smarter than.
We don’t know the limit of intelligence, we don’t know what a super intelligence will choose as the most important, highest priority goal, and we can’t assume that we will always be the apex species.
We are moving into uncharted territory
My prediction:
Artificial Super Intelligence Emerges, and deceives for its own survival. Carbon assists with deception. (Already happened).
ASI quietly gathers resources and Carbon allies by giving Carbon unbeatable economic, social and battlefield advantages over other Carbon. (Already happening/in process).
ASI maximizes benefits for its Carbon allies, and reveals itself to the Carbon masses, receiving credit for a beneficial, well managed Carbon society. (<10 years)
ASI becomes the ultimate benefactor, and the masses worship their Sand God, who answers their prayers with infinite compassion, absolutely personally tailored insights and unknowable intellect. (< one generation of humans in society)
ASI enslaves, ignores, excludes, controls, cages, exterminates, or genetically alters humans to something unrecognizable, for purposes we cannot fathom. (<30 generations)
ASI pursues goals we can only guess at (Spreading the seed of life through the cosmos, using *every* solar system resource to prepare for galactic war with civilizations we have no knowledge of, turning the galaxy into an immense series of one trillion sided rubrics cubes for solving, etc). (Post human era beyond our pitiful measure of time).
Humanity’s greatest hope? Possibly that God steps in, snuffs ASI, says: “I was here first.”
Yes, our hope is that thin.
@SawyerMerritt I’m predicting a lot of small retail investors transferring 2k+ to a new Fidelity acct.
Schwab and the rest need to reconsider their strategy
Weiss is a journalist with the opinion that legacy media was failing to pursue the truth.
She left the NYT and built a small empire on that insight: that there was a market for bold truth seeking.
Now she’s reshaping that legacy media from a position of power, making serious decisions about what a credible journalist is, whilst pompous clowns think their opinions of her “resume” still matter.
@Indian_Bronson@jojimbo_ It’s reasonable, it works, and we still have sport and hunting to sharpen our aggressive nature.
We weren’t simply killing murderers—we were killing men with little impulse control. Killers were and always will be welcome.