Tryrex

Crypto since 2017.
Polymarket since 2026.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

$BTC

The bear market lasted 260 days.

This surge from 60 to 85k means we're now in recovery phase.

However, as always, the market is slow. There is no crazy bull run coming, there is no magic institutional money coming.

Everything takes time and will take time. And usually, bull phases last longer than bear phases.

Now I'm not surprised if we liquidate early longs with another move below 70-75k and then get the real jump past 100k in 2027.

Patience.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

$ETH

Ethereum has been ranging since 2024

It looks like we're going to break 5000$ during this cycle with a potential run to 9000$.

1500-1600$ was maybe the last opportunity to buy sub 2000$.

Now we may range for months, but in the end 5000$ will be retested sooner or later.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

$BTC

Bitcoin made a small dip this week.

Might crash until 70 000$ as profits are being taken.

Best move would be to scale in gradually over the next few weeks.

This happens after 10 months of bear market. The downtrend seems over. But of course we won't get back to ATH so quickly.

Bitcoin might take a few years. Altcoins can make much stronger moves though.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

The new year is in 3 months.

Have you made progress these last 9 months?

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

Sometimes it's hard to realize how mainstream Bitcoin has become.

A few years ago, people where like "Bitwhat?"

Today, you don't even bring up the topic and they start wondering if you're in cryptocurrency.

That's how far we are.

And this also means the "buy before everyone else" opportunity is gone. This is now a mature market.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

A good day starts with some good coffee ☕️

Good morning

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

The new TJR brainrot Tiktok videos popping up are going to make a lot of kids broke.

Trading platforms and influencers will be the real winners as the next generation gets into trading due to these dumb "get rich quick" videos

Now everyone is already copying them and hopping on the trend.

Reality is going to hit this generation hard.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

@insider__Alpha For now I quit crypto, yes

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

In life, setbacks happen.

You fail at something or didn't get the results you wanted.

And then you're frustrated, upset.

This is a SIGN that you need to CHANGE something.

Don't fall into the trap of "Okay, I must get back up and keep going"

Because otherwise you can keep failing forever with this mentality.

You take the pain and the frustration, and instead of just digesting it, you make a PLAN and change everything.

Because if everything was going fine, you wouldn't be hurt by this setback in the first place.

Always adapt.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

@chiletam356 No, not now

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

I believe the best thing about wealth isn't the house you live in, the cars, the watches,... Those are all material things.

When I see someone living in a gigantic house, I think "Wow, that's nice, that's great!" but never "I'd never be unhappy again if I lived in that house forever".

Because the human brain quickly gets used to new things when they become part of your daily life.

To me, the dream is to have the freedom to do what you love, being able to travel and explore new countries with people you like.

It's not about getting new stuff, it's about escaping the trap you're in!

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

🟢Polymarket - Brazilian presidential election 🇧🇷

Up until May, this was supposed to be a close race as both candidates sat around 40% probability of winning the presidential election on Polymarket. At this point, most polls expected a close race in the second round.

However, this all changed due to the Banco Master scandal which caused Bolsonaro to drop down to 22-23% chance on Polymarket. Meanwhile, third-party candidate Renan Santos was overestimated despite failing to cross 10% in the polls.

The market over-reacted and this was indeed a golden opportunity to bet on Bolsonaro at a cheap price.

🟢Why Bolsonaro is likely to overtake Lula soon

Because the impact of the scandal was not strongly reflected in the polls. Bolsonaro did lose a few points in May, but the race for the presidency remained tight, especially since polls tend to shift significantly during the election campaign.
And in the last few weeks, the polls have tightened and now have the candidates running neck and neck.

On top of that, many elements indicate that this will likely be a very close race:
-Strong left-right polarization
-Already a close race in 2022
-Both candidates have a similar 50% disapproval rate

🟢However, there is one point that weighs in favor of Bolsonaro, at least in the first round of the election:
-Lula is the incumbent president in a heavily polarized system. Incumbents are less likely to be re-elected in such scenarios. For example, the incumbent party lost power in the US in 2024 and Colombia in 2026. Or even France in 2012. This really reminds me of the US presidential election of 2024 with Biden being the incumbent.

🟢To sum up, as election day gets closer, the huge opportunity to buy Bolsonaro below 33% is now gone.
He'll most likely overtake Lula in the next few days and have a "honeymoon" period due to the opinion polls being more and more favorable to him.
In the end, the first-round results on October 4 will of course give the first major indication as to where this is going, as a second round is now almost guaranteed.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

Hi!
Right now I'm working on new things and having new ideas to make some money.

I haven't shared much with you so far because I wish to wait until I have solid foundations to do so.

I'm remaining focused on making money. 💸

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

This is what LESS THAN A MONTH can do to Bitcoin.
But before this big breakthrough, price had been stagnating for a few months. This move was prepared a few months before.

Low volatily never means "dead", it means something is coming.

This is what "locking in" means. Focus for a few months, silent work, preparation before making your big move.

There is a lesson in this.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

BITCOIN DID IT - AND I'M BACK ⚡️

It took a month and a half of hard-range, low volatility and me not posting for Bitcoin to finally make the big move everyone was waiting for.

It proves once again that ranges mean that both long and shorts are stacking gradually before one side totally breaks under pressure.

There's a lesson in this. It's exactly when I stop trading that everything goes back up. The reverse indicator strikes again.

Anyway, I hope we have a big altseason anytime soon (because that's where the biggest profits are made).

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

Hi everyone

It's already been half a month since I posted.

It's mainly because I shifted my focus to personal Polymarket trading.

But this doesn't mean I gave up everything.

I know that right now crypto isn't moving much. However I'm sure there will be new opportunities to make money soon.

Making money is still my priority, no matter where my focus is.

[Tryrex @Tryrexcrypto]

$BTC

Not much change in the last few days.

This structure is weak and about to break down.

We can expect Bitcoin to crash to 60,000$ once the move is complete.

As I said in my previous post, a move to 64,000$ was possible to eliminate early shorts, and it happened.

Now the market looks uncertain. But bears will certainly take over soon and confirm the breakdown.