This isn’t a good thing IMO. I know that winner take all is the nature of survivor, but fewer big winners doesn’t sound good for your players or the ecosystem. You need a massive bankroll to justify entering this contest.
Looking forward to your other offerings though!
@sagaciousoaf@scott_seiver I mean I’m a noob too. On its face this HH is wild so was wondering if there was info from other players or something. But yeah, what the wizard said.
@ShipMyMoneyDFS If it makes you feel better, I wrote like 2000 lines of code for these things and it unequivocally said you’d be an idiot to play Purdue this morning so, we’re both jackasses
@StevenBridges In case you’re implying he’s incorrect, it’s absolutely 50%. This isn’t the same as counting, which is advantageous because you can change bet sizes (not because you win more frequently). If you want a proof:
this felt so wrong to me so I tried out this strategy: As soon as you have flipped more reds than blacks, pick the next card
my reasoning was this: By drawing cards, we're doing a random 1-dimensional walk guaranteed to start and end at 0. Surely we dip negative at some point in most possible decks - more reds drawn than blacks, at which point our win odds are >50%
the result: Well yes, we go negative in 96.3% of cases, but this strategy barely eeks out a >50% win rate in those cases. The 3.7% of cases where our walk never goes negative drags the average win rate back to a perfect 50%
to bring this back to your startup metaphor - you might think you're gaining information, positioning yourself slightly better... but! you're also overlooking the likelihood that you're in the the cursed 3.7% of timelines where you don't know it yet but you're doomed
@Pooyaism Love the content Pooya! I thought the finale missed the mark, especially from an editing perspective. Tough with 2 hours, but many bad game decisions without context, plus we didn’t get a payoff for many storylines (no Coco reveal, Meredith/Cagla reveal, etc). Justice for Coco.
@ShipMyMoneyDFS Yeah I dunno, all the Bo and George stuff looks sketchy to me… but I have no idea *how* they’re actually injured so I assume they’re doing the right thing?
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FantasyGuruDrew I’m not arguing he’s amazing I’m saying he’s not some dud and the guy he was replacing looked like shit when he was replaced
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FantasyGuruDrew Don’t think it’s just a speed thing, Kirk is out of shape and looked awful going to first. Heineman had 1.5 war this season it’s not like he’s some dud.
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FantasyGuruDrew I just think they’re getting alot of flack for decision making as if they were supposed to know the game would go 18 innings (and they had plenty of chances to win)
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FantasyGuruDrew For sure. And again, I there’s other things to criticize (I think straw in for barger was a boo-boo).
But also, Springer got hurt, Bo probably shouldn’t play 18 innings at 2B with 2 more games to come, etc… It’s really easy to say stuff like this in hindsight 🤷🏽♂️
@ShipMyMoneyDFS@FantasyGuruDrew As a lifelong Jays abuse victim… Of all the things you can criticize from last night, I think this is the last one. Heineman is not awful, Kirk came up funny in his last AB, and he isn’t exactly a shining specimen of fitness you want playing a 6 hour baseball game.