Uhall

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@realPrestonHill FL-22 ME-2 OH-10 and MI-10

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@realPrestonHill Based on the replies you have the house at like 230 or better Dems and like a 51-49 senate GOP

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@DataRepublican What state you going to do next? I really would like to see Ohio if you could

[Uhall @Uhall40]

Not sure if im the crazy one but virginia moving 4 points left is 3 nationwide?
How is that any good for dems?

[Data Analyst CK @TheDataGooroo]

*sigh*
deny it all you want trolls, but this is a nationwide trend

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@TonerousHyus @DjsokeSpeaking I think the in the post though that they are talking about you meant Election day? Because its clear that In person early is not by that margin?

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@TonerousHyus What do you make of the vote hub guys analysis? And what is your response? Because they seem to think that black turnout is just fine in Ohio?

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@walkeri141 They are likely both right
The mail only stuff looks terrible for Dems in the cities and yet the model of what the expected statewide is generally ok all with the caveats of it still being early from both of them

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@earlyvotedata @PatrickRuffini I bet money its far worse than that
Especially in TX

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@TonerousHyus When/if you do it will be interesting just to see the precinct level
Based on what you have said, it sounds like the drop off is worse there than anywhere

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@TonerousHyus Can you have a look at Cleveland next?
Thats going to be the mother load

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@walkeri141 AZ-6 has an Incumbent and AZ-1 doesn't so my guess is thats driving this
An open seat in a midterm which is generally good for party out of power, unless the fundamentals of the district are +15 or better likely will flip more easily

[Uhall @Uhall40]

For reference, this is the link to the test for those who want it👇
https://t.co/7adF8Dfk0O

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@FrankLuntz Same! I wonder how many people in the general public can actually pass this
It would be a fun social experiment

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@FrankLuntz Same! I wonder how many people in the general public can actually pass this
It would be a fun social experiment

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@FrankLuntz Same! I wonder how many people in the general public can actually pass this
It would be a fun social experiment

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@ChristianHeiens Its CD-9
Turnout at least at the moment is way way down

[Uhall @Uhall40]

Maybe take a look at the newest polls and come back to this
Ohio is likely going to end with Husted and Vivek as winners

[Isaiah Walker @walkeri141]

Largely why the attack ads vs Sherrod Brown in 2024 hit very well, but they're not doing shit for Husted right now.

Environments rapidly shift in politics. If you don't switch your strategies you will be left behind

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@kkondik Basically in order for this map to be right, they need to take back a county that has voted more and more GOP, expand Dems trend in another and take a county the swings?
One will happen, one will not and the 3rd is a maybe

[Uhall @Uhall40]

@OpenSourceZone Hence letting the PACs already in state and the current ad buys do the heavy lift
While he pulled the money he controls, the party coordination is still investing

[Uhall @Uhall40]

Not really
You forget the coordination of spending
Other groups are investing in NC and GA including Trump

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

NRSC Chair Tim Scott leaves Georgia, North Carolina off his list of top Senate targets

He told Senate Republicans Wednesday that the campaign arm will focus money on other targets including Maine, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, Texas and New Hampshire.

In deprioritizing North Carolina, the NRSC is effectively ceding a state that Democrats haven’t won in the Senate since 2008.

https://t.co/z4vtcgJf5f