Delve

Interest: #Blockchain #Bitcoin #Web3 #Crypto #DeFi #NFT #Metaverse #EV #AI #IoT #MachineLearning #Biotechnology #RealState
Money does not buy happiness

[Rkt @Rkttwilightglow]

@wryzx 人類の破滅を生む言葉を拒否する鉛筆は優秀です。
貴方がそれを書かなければ良いだけ。

[unbid @unbid_]

@hilbertspaess “I wonder why progress looks so much like destruction” —John Steinbeck

[DC @zero_lessons]

@hilbertspaess Anyone remember?

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

If you are a lab researcher, I urge you to consider what the next few years will actually feel like. Do you want to kick off a superintelligent RL run without a rigorous understanding of its mind? Should you put your head down because “it’s happening anyway” - or take this moment to call for different conditions?

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

I am optimistic about the potential for coordination. Warning shots like the Hugging Face attack have made pacing agreements between U.S. labs more viable. I don’t feel like we’re on track to prevent a global race, which may require costly actions such as a temporary ban on improving model capabilities.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

Accepting this race and entering the “endgame” is a hubristic gamble that should not be launched from a private company’s Slack. Attempting to speedrun alignment should require extraordinary confidence that there are no better trajectories available.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

A common response is “if they truly believe this, why are they still building it?” At OpenAI, many have not deeply internalized the civilizational stakes. At Anthropic, the stakes are well-understood, but they are locked in a race to get there first - they believe no one else will act responsibly, so they must do it themselves, despite the risk.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade. This is not a marketing stunt. If anything, many executives and senior researchers will couch their phrasing in the press to sound sensible - but I hear the same people express fear privately. No other human activity poses this level of danger.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

Do not underestimate the power of this technology. These will soon be superhuman systems that can hack anything, revolutionize any field overnight, and acquire real power and resources. We have all witnessed the progress in each of these domains, and progress is not slowing.

[Jacob Coxon @hilbertspaess]

I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.

[Delve @UnboundedPower]

@Gini_220 16 holes

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

@SenWarren Meta employs about 80,000 people. How many do you employ? Plus he has hundreds of millions of people using his services daily. I'd say he deserves a yacht. What services do you provide that improve people's lives?

[X @Xking332]

Horror in Dubai.

A 24 year old American female airline worker in Dubai has been arrested.

Dubai police installed a surveillance tool on her phone.

Without her consent.

They found her sharing an image of a burning building with her mother.

So they set a trap.

They pretended to be her office staff and called her in for a meeting yesterday.

When she arrived, she was arrested.

2 years in jail.

That spying tool is installed on every foreigner's device in Dubai.

That means the Dubai Police are watching everything foreigners send to their families.

Every message. Every photo. Every video.

Including the most intimate moments.

Dubai has denied her a lawyer.

[Ricardo @Ric_RTP]

The journalist who took down Harvey Weinstein just spent 18 months investigating Sam Altman.

And what he found out is genuinely insane:

The people who built OpenAI went on record saying he can't be trusted with the future of humanity.

A Microsoft executive even compared him to Bernie Madoff.

This isn't just some hit piece.

It's 100+ interviews, secret memos, HR documents, Slack messages, and private notes that had never been seen before.

Here's everything you have to know about Ronan Farrow's investigation:

Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI's former chief scientist and CO-FOUNDER, compiled 70 pages of internal evidence against Altman. Slack messages. HR files. Behavioral analysis.

The word at the top of his list of Altman's "consistent patterns": lying.

He sent the documents as disappearing messages because he was "terrified" someone would find them. They became legendary in Silicon Valley. Insiders just call them "the Ilya Memos."

Dario Amodei, another co-founder who left to start Anthropic, kept his own private notes. One line: "The problem with OpenAI is Sam himself."

Paul Graham, the man who RECRUITED Altman to run Y Combinator, told colleagues Altman had been "lying to us all the time." Multiple YC partners had complained about Altman's behavior by 2018. He was effectively forced out in 2019 despite publicly claiming for YEARS that he left voluntarily.

Former board members described him as "unconstrained by truth."

And the investigation found that Altman reportedly lied to the board about obtaining safety approvals for some of ChatGPT's most controversial features.

That's the man running an $852 billion company with 900 million weekly users and a Pentagon contract.

But here's where this gets really crazy:

The New Yorker investigation dropped on Sunday.

SAME DAY, Altman publishes a 13 page policy paper proposing robot taxes, a public wealth fund, and a four-day workweek. The most ambitious social policy document in OpenAI's history.

Dropped within HOURS of the most damaging article ever written about him.

That's not coincidence.

Monday: Elon Musk files a court motion demanding Altman be REMOVED as CEO. He wants the for-profit conversion completely unwound.

Then Friday at 3:45 AM: a 20yo throws a Molotov cocktail at Altman's San Francisco mansion. It bounces off the house. Lights the gate on fire. An hour later, same guy shows up at OpenAI HQ threatening to burn the building down. Police arrest him on the spot.

Nobody was hurt.

But within hours, Altman posts a photo of his husband and 1yo child on his blog. Writes that he hopes the image "might dissuade the next person." Then blames the New Yorker article for making things "more dangerous" for him.

In 5 days, Altman went from the target of the most devastating investigation in tech history to the sympathetic father whose family was attacked.

Now anyone who criticizes him has to do it in the shadow of a firebombing.

The New Yorker spent 18 months building the case that Altman is dangerous. Altman turned it into the reason HE'S in danger.

And none of this changes what Farrow actually found:

- The co-founders don't trust him
- The former board doesn't trust him
- The chief scientist documented 70 pages of evidence and was too scared to send them through normal channels
- Paul Graham says he was lied to
- A Microsoft executive put him in the same sentence as Madoff

The trial starts in 16 days.

If Musk wins, the for-profit conversion gets unwound and Altman is removed.

If Altman wins, the man that every person who helped build OpenAI has publicly warned about gets permanent, unchecked control of the most powerful AI company on Earth.

Either way, one thing is now undeniable...

The people closest to Sam Altman are the ones screaming the loudest warnings.

And this week proved he knows exactly how to make sure nobody listens.

Peak manipulation.

[Tucker Carlson @TuckerCarlson]

Professor Jiang Xueqin on how this war is likely to go and what happens to the world.

(0:00) How Will the Iran War Be Resolved?
(7:33) The 3 Major Trends We Will See Due to This War
(11:28) Will Japan Become a Nuclear-Armed Power?
(16:06) The Future of South Korea
(20:12) The Energy Crisis
(25:23) The Future of the GCC and Iran
(29:57) The Greater Israel Project
(35:11) How US Ground Troops Will Change the War
(36:46) Prof. Xueqin’s Advice to Donald Trump
(38:49) Is It Possible for the US to Get Israel Under Control?
(45:03) What Role Does Trump Play in All This?
(48:21) The Future of North America
(54:59) Are We Seeing the End of Europe?
(1:00:58) How Many Americans Truly Understand What’s Happening in the World?
(1:03:50) The Effort to Destroy Western Civilization

[Delve @UnboundedPower]

"Some men improve the world only by leaving it." - Oscar Wilde

[Gerardo Moscatelli @gemoscatelli]

What we are seeing now is the exact opposite of a commodity bull cycle: a supply crisis with unprecedented disruptions in the supply chains of crude oil, LNG, jet fuel, marine fuel, diesel, energy, nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers and basic raw materials.

In a commodity bull cycle, high prices are sustained by population and economic growth, which incentivizes production and becomes the solution to high prices.

What is happening now is a real shortage, demand rationing, supply chain disruptions. Corn and soybeans stocks are at the origin in the US Midwest, Brazil, and Argentina. Growing these crops has become more expensive for farmers who are already selling below the cost of production due to skyrocketing fertilizers and transporting them to ports has become difficult due to the soaring price of diesel, with no guarantee that they will reach their destinations by sea due to the uncertainty surrounding marine fuel availability.

Chicago futures as the name indicates reflect the price of corn and soybeans in Chicago, but the shortage will not happen in Chicago, it will happen at the destination, this is not something solvable by higher futures, the disruption is in the physical markets, truck transportation, bunkering, supply chains, logistics.

[Delve @UnboundedPower]

"Dubai missile strike forces the world’s busiest airport to halt all flights"

https://t.co/D9suP2bhFP

[Breaking911 @Breaking911]

🚨 🚨 President Donald J. Trump on the United States military combat operations in Iran:

[Breaking911 @Breaking911]

🚨 BREAKING: The iconic Burj Al Arab hotel in Dubai was reportedly hit by an Iranian drone.