Uncle Under

Analytical sports bettor and die hard Chicago sports fan. Nerdy enough to spend hours modeling NFL games; sporty enough to kick your ass for calling me nerdy.

[Uncle Under @UncleUnderPlanZ]

@betricsio @actionrob

[Uncle Under @UncleUnderPlanZ]

NFL Week 14 Teaser of the Week
JAX +7.5 @ CLE
BAL -1.5 vs LAR

These fit our Wong Teaser legs as they cross the key numbers of 3 and 7. Totals of 41 or less hit at about 80% in these spotsover the last 10-15 years which equates to a +17% EV. And it just feels right... giddyup.

[Uncle Under @UncleUnderPlanZ]

PHI +3 vs SF
57.2% simulation cover

Not buying the narrative of fading a “lucky” Philly team. Plan Z team ratings do rate SF higher, but laying 3 on the road implies that they are ~5 points better- that is just too much. Siding with the sportsbooks on this one. @actionrob