Things that I do feel bummed out about combo:
- I missed the auction match
- I missed the melty blood shock collar match
- I didnt get to pet the doggo...
@brandonbaskin You're assuming Earth is unique in the relevant way, but that’s the very thing under debate. You don’t get to assume uniqueness to prove uniqueness. Especially as we observe and learn that the conditions here on Earth ARE NOT that unique.
@brandonbaskin This argument is, at best, misleading because in the analogy you’re implicitly setting the dye probability to essentially one-time-only. Only one grain got dyed by construction. It’s not modeling life emerges from chemistry, it’s modeling a special mark applied once.
@brandonbaskin Vastness doesn’t guarantee anything, but vastness can make at least one instance very probable given a nonzero rate and we are that one instance. We are literally what makes this argument not a fallacy. Your claim of life being SO COMPLEX it can't happen elsewhere is the fallacy.
@brandonbaskin Because not only is this basic logic clearly not what we are saying, you're arguing with people about incorrect assumptions. I am not claiming the ONLY reason life exists is because of vastness. I am claiming it makes your claim of "highly unlikely" the exact opposite of true.
@brandonbaskin There are an estimated 200–400 billion stars in the Milky Way and 70 sextillion in the observable universe. Even if intelligent life occurs on only a minuscule percentage of planets around these stars, there might still be a great number of extant civilizations.