@GustavoBolsa Si estando cortos llegamos a esos precios… hasta donde pueden levantar el precio ahora que se van a poner largos??? Lo de hoy no es normal…
@GustavoBolsa@J_CanoV5 Exacto, eso si que me cuadra, estaban muy atrapados con esas posiciones cortas, ya se lo habías comentado por algun video. Se sabe a día de hoy si ya se ha cerrado esos cortos o quedan todavía pendientes? Cuantos millones habrán movido en esta jugada JPM...
@GustavoBolsa de momento esta es la explicación que mejor explica lo que paso ayer y es algo que llevaba tiempo dandole vueltas, que te parece la idea?
#SILVER - WHAT HAPPENED TODAY?
The reason for the sharp fall was nothing more than extreme sized short positions that entered the futures market, pressuring the price down sharply. Coming to this conclusion is pretty simple by watching the futures volume, but to verify further its important to watch, and I noticed some very interesting pattern, the pattern that confirms my thesis that some shorts needed an exit. And it was given to them today in both markets, Shanghai and COMEX:
What exactly happened today? As per Shanghai, I did not see large physical silver withdrawals worth mentioning, meaning no physical silver changed hands during today’s downside move. So what happened?
First, the silver price was heavily pressured down by empty paper shorts. Even in Shanghai, the futures market is backed by paper rather than physical, something many tend to miss. SGE1!, however, is 100% backed by physical silver bars. However, NON PHYSICAL silver did change hands today: (531 tonnes) of silver contracts were traded in Shanghai. This reflects short positions being closed and transferred to new long holders, with buyers stepping in as sellers exited their shorts at lower prices 10-15% below daily open. No physical silver left vaults today, this is not a bearish sign at all. This was a paper / spot-deferred position transfer, not a physical delivery many would fear.
Again, this is active movement in the derivative market. So the structure of what happened was: first, heavy paper pressure, second, shorts used the drop to exit, third, buyers absorbed everything, and fourth very important: no confirmed physical liquidation. In my opinion, what happened today was a paper-driven shakeout with continued accumulation. The COMEX data is always published one business day later, so expect the data on Monday, while we have Shanghai report already and it speaks a clear language.
Also, it is very interesting timing to see the same manipulation repeatedly happening at month-end, just like last month on December 31, when silver dropped around 15% in one day before continuing its run. Guess what happened on that same day as well: the Standing Repo handed out record amounts of USD to banks. Again, guess what those banks are actively involved in heavy silver shorts. The data is public for everyone to see on FRED and CME. There is a strong relationship between end-of-month lending for balance-sheet purposes and the ability to enter large-sized price suppressions at month-end. This pattern is very obvious and aligns with my theory that banks are in extreme and serious trouble, not only because of tight liquidity, but because the next risk is coming from Silver. One of the major reasons for the expected financial crisis and stock market crash I am predicting and shorting since several months with great profits on several trades posted such as PLTR, NFLX, MSFT, COIN, MSTR and many more, open since several months already.. (Only posted in premium: https://t.co/TvHxOtJJRL)
Nothing changes the fact that physical silver remains very bullish and highly demanded. I am not willing to sell at $85, and I don’t know anyone who is willing to sell their rare metal at such a price. Monday will be a very interesting day for many reasons. The U.S. market closed at $84, while Shanghai closed near $122. We are talking about a historic gap of 44%. On Monday, dealers around the world will need to decide at what price they are willing to sell physical ounces. Let me remind you that physical silver was sold at $120–$130 in recent weeks, reaching $150 in Tokyo as well, and it is sold out at most dealers, so why should the dealers lower their prices if demand remains same or even higher?
Shanghai and COMEX needed a safe exit from their short positions and thats what its all about, and I believe the coming weeks will show us why. This brings me to the conclusion: the purpose of this move was clear, the market understands that silver is in a strong bull run and shorts have started to capitulate. I remain very bullish, as I was at $20. We hit my target of $100, and I personally expect $130-150 in a matter of time.
Reference for above data provided by Shanghai market: https://t.co/BGUqL1o27Z)
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE AND EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY
¿Cómo han justificado los gestores de fondos mixtos la diversificación con bonos en vez de con ORO?
Muchos de estos gestores llevan lustros despreciando al metal a pesar de vivir en un sistema de represión financiera
Un fondo 60/40 con oro ha DUPLICADO al mismo bonos con bonos
Si queréis jugar a explorar los datos de todas las licitaciones públicas en España desde 2012 (casi 5M), he subido el dataset de @Gsnchez a @graphext , está en el gallery público para cualquier cuenta gratis. Excelente oportunidad para periodistas locales con ganas de encontrar contratos sopechosos👇
Como estos de más de 2K contratos del Rectorado de Murcia con una imprenta en pocos meses del 2021. Un ordenador Acer por 9K€? (no parece que sea un lote, leyendo el contrato) O una cámara Panasonic hc-x1000 por 4K que suele costar la mitad en cualquier web? Por qué siempre se presentan sólo ellos? Igual tiene una explicación lógica, igual no. Pues como esta mil cosas más se pueden encontrar con unos pocos clicks
@GustavoBolsa Gustavo, que opinas de las mineras de plata? Teniendo en cuenta el precio actual que ya se acerca a los 100$, y los AISC de producción de una onza, el margen de beneficio a debido de aumentar mucho y puede quedar un gap por cubrir, aunque hayan subido una barbaridad en 2025 …
@decentralized_b@lunaticoin Cierto, es algo que tambien me suelo preguntar, y como encaja todo esto con el avance de la eficiencia de los ASICs, además la cotización no avanza todo lo rápido que sería necesario para cubrir el siguiente halving…
@oscar_puente_ Señor Ministro @oscar_puente_, antes de usar su cuenta para mofarse de un ciudadano, conviene leer la noticia entera y no quedarse en el clickbait. Detrás hay una historia real de esfuerzo que usted ha preferido ridiculizar. Aquí le explico la diferencia entre "magia" y realidad.
Mis two cents en el tema de AAVE.
Pensamiento preliminar: Irónico que todos quieran DAOs para descentralizar y que mala la regulación, y cuando las cosas se ponen feas, todas las propuestas vayan en la línea de "usen la ley para proteger a los token holders".
Dicho esto, como este es un problema enteramente legal, aunque no lo creais, los puntos importantes van aquí: (mini hilo)