PredictionMarkets.us

One site. Every market. Real-time odds on everything. Markets know before headlines do. Read prices, not pundits. Coming soon

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

The https://t.co/pqxsJqTekR beta is live.

Live pricing across @Kalshi, @Polymarket, and @PredictIt — same event, different prices, side by side. More platforms coming soon.

We built it because nobody else made sense of this market.

https://t.co/3m9kxXDuua

What's inside:

• 86 articles and 170+ guides — regulatory, platform, troubleshooting
• Arbitrage finder + whale trade tracker
• Live event pages built before the news cycle catches up
• Glossary, leaderboard, alerts, watchlists

One search. One place to compare.

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

7 days to the World Cup.

@Polymarket winner market ($25.5M+ 24h per team):

• France: 16.8c
• Spain: 16.0c
• [No one else above 11c]

@Kalshi agrees on Spain: 16.5c

The crowd hasn't picked a winner. France leads by less than 1c heading into 64 group-stage slots.

June 11 kickoff. Tournament ends July 19.

https://t.co/zqekAVTXb9
https://t.co/eDct7NaWvq

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Raw vote count says Steve Hilton leads California's governor race. @Polymarket says Xavier Becerra wins in November.

With 80%+ of precincts in, Hilton leads 27.5% to Becerra's 25.5% -- a classic California jungle primary where the June leader doesn't always make it to the mansion.

Polymarket's November winner market: Becerra 79c ($2M 24h volume).

The crowd already looked past the primary. California is D+20 in a general. The math doesn't care who led on election night.

https://t.co/KMRR4WNStP
https://t.co/3OTEViYlWe

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Prediction markets have a surveillance arm. And it works.

@Kalshi detected a former congressman betting against his own attendance at the State of the Union -- while publicly saying he would be there. The market had him showing up at ~75c. He bet NO. Kalshi froze the account and referred the matter to the DOJ and CFTC.

That is 3 insider-trading referrals from prediction markets in recent weeks: an Army soldier ($400K on @Polymarket, Venezuelan capture), a Google employee ($1M on @Polymarket, search trends), and now this.

One is a coincidence. Three is infrastructure.

https://t.co/Q3jcihnOAa
https://t.co/zFkqP0wUDt

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@mikhryc0x Seriously, we will not disagree with you on this. Chess is the OG game of decision making.

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@Grayscale Perps coming onshore is another sign that regulated markets are absorbing the best ideas from crypto.

The same shift is happening with prediction markets: always-on, real-time, transparent pricing for uncertainty.

Crypto showed what’s possible. Regulation decides what scales.

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Exactly. Nailed It. Prediction markets aren’t just a new betting vertical, they’re a probability layer for the internet.

The next unlock is trust at scale: broad participation, transparent rules, reliable resolution, and safeguards against insider/manipulation risk.

Get that right, and these markets become core information infrastructure.

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

$30 million in 24-hour volume. 9 days to kickoff. No team above 18c.

@Polymarket World Cup 2026 winner:

France: 17.1c
Spain: 16.4c
England: 11.2c

0.7c separates #1 from #2. The crowd has no idea who wins this -- and they're betting $30M a day on it.

Europe continent probability: 70.5c. The field is crowded at the top.

This is the most liquid genuinely open sports market on any platform right now.

https://t.co/d60gBt2924

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Game 1 is tomorrow. Same teams, 27 years later.

@Kalshi: San Antonio Spurs 64c to win the 2026 NBA title.

That 36c implied for the Knicks prices three things:
- 9-day rest advantage (NY swept the Cavs; SA just won Game 7 on Saturday)
- Jalen Brunson on an 11-game playoff win streak
- Home court flipping after Game 2

Victor Wembanyama gets San Antonio in G1 tonight. But the Knicks have been sitting, watching tape, and waiting.

@coinbase and @RobinhoodApp (both Kalshi-powered) carry this market too.

https://t.co/QJpoD5uXFv

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

verev just beat Jodar 7-6, 6-1, 6-3 to reach the French Open semis.

His market price barely moved.

@Kalshi: 57c -- @Polymarket: 56.5c

0.5c gap. 7x volume difference. Same verdict.

Both rails were already pricing him through. His semi opponent is 19 or 20 years old (Mensik or Fonseca).

The crowd isn't confused about who's favored. Final is Saturday.

https://t.co/23muTWa4G0
https://t.co/iLJ8aGbcMy

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@Kalshi Fake news' is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. Are talks happening, paused, or just rebranded?

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Democrats have a 59.5c chance of winning in 2028 on @Polymarket.

Gavin Newsom has 25.1c of that -- as the Democratic nominee.

That leaves 34.4c of Democratic win probability with no named candidate to claim it. The crowd is pricing someone who hasn't topped a poll yet.

On @Kalshi, Marco Rubio leads the 2028 outright winner board at 19c -- 4.9 points higher than @Polymarket's 14.1c price on the same question. The deeper-liquidity platform is MORE skeptical of the Republican frontrunner.

That gap is the market's unresolved thesis on 2028.

https://t.co/p9l3e6D91f
https://t.co/EPoNiwrihd

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

California votes for governor today.

Prediction markets have been pricing this for months -- here's where the crowd stands this morning:

@Polymarket: Becerra advances from today's primary -- 92.8c YES
@Polymarket: Becerra wins in November -- 77.3c YES
@Kalshi: 1 Democrat and 1 Republican advance -- 73c YES

The irony worth noting: @Kalshi, @coinbase, and @RobinhoodApp are all lobbying California's legislature through the Coalition for Prediction Markets -- while simultaneously pricing today's outcome in real-time.

Prediction markets as California's second opinion on its own governor's race.

https://t.co/KMRR4WNStP
https://t.co/0ZU06SJQCO

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@unusual_whales The AI rally is vulnerable to a correction.

Breaking news: stocks can go down, too. 🚨😂

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

Carolina is confirmed in the Stanley Cup Finals.

The crowd doesn't know who they're facing yet. They don't care.

@Kalshi: 60c -- Hurricanes win the Cup ($115K 24h)
@Polymarket: 58.5c -- Hurricanes win the Cup ($4.1M 24h)

1.5c gap. 36x volume difference. The books agree.

When a thin regulated book and the deepest sports market in the country price the same team at the same price before the Western Conference is settled -- that is a signal, not noise.

Kalshi: https://t.co/bnA9St96qY
Polymarket: https://t.co/IrIQcoFvai

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

The crowd isn't just pricing "no Fed cuts in 2026."

Over half of those bettors are pricing rates going HIGHER.

@Polymarket: 69c -- zero rate cuts all year ($31.25M total volume)
@Polymarket: 36c -- at least one rate HIKE in 2026

Since a hike implies zero cuts, the conditional math is clean: 36/69 = 52%.

More than half of everyone betting on no easing this year is actually pricing tightening. Not a pause. A hike.

The base case the crowd is building toward isn't "hold." It's UP.

Zero cuts: https://t.co/gzJvBgJmF8
Rate hike: https://t.co/zzn6gYzQRJ

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

10 days to World Cup kickoff. $34.5M bet on the winner in the last 24 hours alone.

@Polymarket: France 17.1c | Spain 16.8c | Portugal 9.3c | Germany 5.5c
@Kalshi: Spain 17.1c

The two biggest prediction market platforms can't agree on who the narrow favorite is.

@Polymarket says France by 0.3 cents. @Kalshi says Spain.

After that, it drops off fast. Effectively a two-horse race -- with Portugal as the only meaningful third option at 9.3c.

June 11. Three weeks of the biggest sports event on earth.

https://t.co/zqekAVTXb9
https://t.co/eDct7NaWvq

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

NBA Finals confirmed: San Antonio vs. New York.

@Kalshi: Spurs 64c to win the title.
@Polymarket: Spurs 64c. Knicks 35.8c.

Two independent platforms. Same number. No spread.

The crowd isn't hedging -- it's locked in at 2-to-1 before tip-off Wednesday.

G1 is in 48 hours. San Antonio. 8:30 PM ET.

https://t.co/QJpoD5uXFv
https://t.co/s6qWlQAfPs

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@OG_com One blockbuster trade and the market instantly rewrites the title picture.

This is exactly why futures are more fun as prediction markets — the odds move the second the news breaks. 👀📈

[PredictionMarkets.us @USPredict]

@DKSports They’re available nationwide through prediction markets.

The real question: can DraftKings give the big dogs @Kalshi and @Polymarket a run for their money? 👀📈