@Sekai_WX i completely agree, that was basically my own analysis, however i don’t think models really understand summer time rapid atmospheric recovery and instability. I think you said it best though, we won’t truly know until tomorrow.
@Des310323862856 for a tornado to get rated an EF5 from home damage basically entails that the foundation of the home was thrown into the stratosphere.
Oklahoma looks good. I don’t really know why the SPC downgraded it all the way to a 5% hatched, I think a 10% hatched was appropriate but i also don’t have a PHD in meteorology.
@MaxArcherWX i never trust Oklahomas nocturnal dry line setups. Like i will only be enthusiastic if we can get some good moisture return and better cape values.
I know everyone has said it 5 thousand times but I am genuinely stunned how we have not had a major incident involving chasers/traffic being hit by tornadoes.
Several times yesterday watching HP storms randomly wrap up suddenly and produce tornadoes I thought “well this will be interesting” because there’s a million cars underneath the storm with zero idea what they’re doing
I try to make light of the chasing world now to stop all the doom and gloom but holy hell it’s gonna be a whole different world when I get back to the states and see how bad it really is. I think we are one wrong move away from an unavoidable disaster and each year it gets closer and closer.
Just escaping by the skin of our teeth, man…doing that shit won’t last for long before someone gets bit in a way where it might be tragic.