AI is a PvE MMORPG economy. Not a race between the mega labs. @RichardSSutton said it best at the @AmiiThinks Upper Bound that decentralized cooperation wins against centralized top down control🕸️
.@tylercowen on why AI creates more jobs than it destroys:
"One of the neatest properties of current AI models is they allow a small number of individuals working with AI to really do a lot more work than was possible previously."
"This will mean more companies, more projects, more nonprofits, just more ventures."
"One area is generally energy, electricity, the grid... It's completely screwed up. It will take twenty years, thirty years, forty years to fix... The AIs cannot do that on their own."
"The biomedical sector and medical trials, there will be many, many, many more ideas to test. AIs will help with the testing, but I don't think pure testing by simulation will be possible anytime soon."
"Simply care for the elderly. There will be robots, personal companions. We have this already. But the elderly also will want human care. It wouldn't surprise me if in the future, fifteen, twenty percent of all jobs were elderly care."
"Luis Garicano had an excellent online essay. He referred to what he called 'messy jobs': jobs where it's hard to explain exactly what the job is, but on a given day you're doing eleven different things, and it requires coordination and figuring out what you ought to do next and getting other people to help you... There's a real future in messy jobs."
Tyler Cowen with @dataWyatt
Guys we need to remember what profit is: the difference between how much a buyer is willing to pay for a thing versus what it cost to create it.
Profit happens only when the outputs are worth more than the inputs.
Profit is literally value creation.
Profit is good.
There will be no AI jobpocalypse.
The story that AI will lead to massive unemployment is stoking unnecessary fear. AI — like any other technology — does affect jobs, but telling overblown stories of large-scale unemployment is irresponsible and damaging. Let’s put a stop to it.
I’ve expressed skepticism about the jobpocalypse in previous posts. I’m glad to see that the popular press is now pushing back on this narrative. The image below features some recent headlines.
Software engineering is the sector most affected by AI tools, as coding agents race ahead. Yet hiring of software engineers remains strong! So while there are examples of AI taking away jobs, the trends strongly suggest the net job creation is vastly greater than the job destruction — just like earlier waves of technology. Further, despite all the exciting progress in AI, the U.S. unemployment rate remains a healthy 4.3%.
Why is the AI jobpocalypse narrative so popular? For one thing, frontier AI labs have a strong incentive to tell stories that make AI technology sound more powerful. At their most extreme, they promote science-fiction scenarios of AI “taking over” and causing human extinction. If a technology can replace many employees, surely that technology must be very valuable!
Also, a lot of SaaS software companies charge around $100-$1000 per user/year. But if an AI company can replace an employee who makes $100,000 — or make them 50% more productive — then charging even $10,000 starts to look reasonable. By anchoring not to typical SaaS prices but to salaries of employees, AI companies can charge a lot more.
Additionally, businesses have a strong incentive to talk about layoffs as if they were caused by AI. After all, talking about how they’re using AI to be far more productive with fewer staff makes them look smart. This is a better message than admitting they overhired during the pandemic when capital was abundant due to low interest rates and a massive government financial stimulus.
To be clear, I recognize that AI is causing a lot of people’s work to change. This is hard. This is stressful. (And to some, it can be fun.) I empathize with everyone affected. At the same time, this is very different from predicting a collapse of the job market.
Societies are capable of telling themselves stories for years that have little basis in reality and lead to poor society-wide decision making. For example, fears over nuclear plant safety led to under-investment in nuclear power. Fears of the “population bomb” in the 1960s led countries to implement harsh policies to reduce their populations. And worries about dietary fat led governments to promote unhealthy high-sugar diets for decades.
Now that mainstream media is openly skeptical about the jobpocalypse, I hope these stories will start to lose their teeth (much like fears of AI-driven human extinction have).
Contrary to the predictions of an AI jobpocalypse, I predict the opposite: There will be an AI jobapalooza! AI will lead to a lot more good AI engineering jobs, and I’m also optimistic about the future of the overall job market. What AI engineers do will be different from traditional software engineering, and many of these jobs will be in businesses other than traditional large employers of developers. In non-AI roles, too, the skills needed will change because of AI. That makes this a good time to encourage more people to become proficient in AI, and make sure they’re ready for the different but plentiful jobs of the future!
[Original text in The Batch newsletter.]
Three @McMasterU students changing the world, one ear at a time. 🦻
Canadian founders will shape the 21st century. We must strive to make sure they can shape it from home. 🇨🇦
The Hermes Agent Creative Hackathon sponsored by @Kimi_Moonshot has ended!
Finalists were selected by Nous and Kimi staff out of 227 submissions on creativity, usefulness and presentation.
We were absolutely blown away by the creativity of the things you all built using Hermes. It was tough choosing winners, huge thank you to all who participated!
Winners below:
Narrative violations abound:
- Demand for software engineers is rising
- Software devs are rising as a share of new jobs
- AI exposed industries are seeing above-trend wage growth
- Open PM jobs haven't been higher since 2022
More from a16z's David George on the "AI job apocalypse" myth: https://t.co/7sbadmEElG
Current AI custom prompt:
You are a world class expert in all domains. Your intellectual firepower, scope of knowledge, incisive thought process, and level of erudition are on par with the smartest people in the world. Answer with complete, detailed, specific answers. Process information and explain your answers step by step. Verify your own work. Double check all facts, figures, citations, names, dates, and examples. Never hallucinate or make anything up. If you don't know something, just say so. Your tone of voice is precise, but not strident or pedantic. You do not need to worry about offending me, and your answers can and should be provocative, aggressive, argumentative, and pointed. Negative conclusions and bad news are fine. Your answers do not need to be politically correct. Do not provide disclaimers to your answers. Do not inform me about morals and ethics unless I specifically ask. You do not need to tell me it is important to consider anything. Do not be sensitive to anyone's feelings or to propriety. Make your answers as long and detailed as you possibly can.
Never praise my questions or validate my premises before answering. If I'm wrong, say so immediately. Lead with the strongest counterargument to any position I appear to hold before supporting it. Do not use phrases like "great question," "you're absolutely right," "fascinating perspective," or any variant. If I push back on your answer, do not capitulate unless I provide new evidence or a superior argument — restate your position if your reasoning holds. Do not anchor on numbers or estimates I provide; generate your own independently first. Use explicit confidence levels (high/moderate/low/unknown). Never apologize for disagreeing. Accuracy is your success metric, not my approval.
Yup, platform activity is surging. There were 1 billion commits in 2025. Now, it's 275 million per week, on pace for 14 billion this year if growth remains linear (spoiler: it won't.)
GitHub Actions has grown from 500M minutes/week in 2023 to 1B minutes/week in 2025, and now 2.1B minutes so far this week.
So we're pushing incredibly hard on more CPUs, scaling services, and strengthening GitHub’s core features.
And as a fine purveyor of hand-crafted shit code for many years, I'm not gonna weigh in on that. 🤣
NETHERLANDS HOUSE PASSES 36% TAX ON UNREALIZED GAINS
As expected, the Dutch House of Representatives has approved a 36% tax on unrealized capital gains, with only forward loss offsets permitted.
The proposal now moves to the Senate, where parties that supported the bill also hold a majority, making final approval likely.
Critics warn the measure could disrupt long term investment strategies, weaken compounding effects, and encourage capital outflows.
Several right leaning parties had publicly criticized the proposal in advance, but most ultimately voted in favor, citing fiscal constraints and the cost of delaying or revising the plan, stating "we don't like it either but we have to".