Every morning tells on you.
Not by what you say you want.
By what you actually get up and do.
Everybody has big dreams when they’re comfortable.
The truth shows up when the alarm goes off, when the bed feels good, when nobody is watching, and when you could easily tell yourself you’ll start tomorrow.
That’s usually the moment that separates a dream from a real plan.
You either keep thinking about the life you want…
or you get up and put one brick on it.
It took 3 months for the main idea mentioned in the video to play out.
As you can see, the inflection point we had identified between the high $70Ks and low $80Ks led to a redistribution phase that took very little time to unfold.
This is largely in line with what we had been saying all along, as well as with the idea that at least the $60K range would be the minimum downside target.
It’s always very complicated from a mental perspective to stay “loyal” to your plan as long as it’s being respected, especially during retracements to the upside that seem to scream “this time is different”.
However, the macro targets remain the ones I mentioned in the video linked on my account.
When I intend to start accumulating BTC again, I will say so publicly, but in my opinion, it is not the right time yet.
✍️ AMT rules I use for my trades:
• Acceptance above VAL/below VAH price will likely migrate toward the opposite boundary of volume (VAH/VAL) using the POC as “reload” area for continuation
• Acceptance above VAH usually signals repricing and continuation, rejection above VAH usually leads back into value because the auction failed to establish higher prices as fair value
• Failed auctions at distribution extremes often lead to aggressive rotations back through the profile (with high statistical probability) -> the bigger the extremes, the higher the probability
• Rejection from low volume areas usually brings price back toward high volume and fair value because low volume zones represent price levels where the market previously found little acceptance
• If the market cannot build acceptance above a level, the breakout is often just trapped inventory created by late buyers entering into poor auction locations
• A POC that keeps attracting price during trend usually confirms the “true business” and accumulation rather than exhaustion
• The longer the market balances inside value, the more meaningful the eventual expansion becomes once acceptance is established outside the range
• Consecutive higher value areas and higher POCs often reveal institutional acceptance of higher prices before trend continuation becomes obvious on the chart
• Alignment with COT makes the AMT trade/setup more reliable giving it a +1
Your terrible job is the dream of the unemployed.
Your house is the dream of the homeless.
Your smile is the dream of the depressed.
Your health is the dream of the ill.
Don't let difficult times make you forget your blessings.
@IamZeroIka I realized this evening after pondering what type of trader I want to be:
Someone who enters a trade, lets it play out, and goes about their day.
OR
Someone who focuses 1–2 hours a day, trades an opportunity, and gets out for the day.
I chose the latter.
What I wish I’d understood earlier in my trading journey is that studying the market is only one part of the work.
Years can be spent learning technicals, psychology, and strategy, but real progress begins when that same level of attention is turned inward - yourself.
In trading, habits, impulses, emotional patterns, and execution errors can become either the edge or the liability.
From experience, the most valuable investment is not another service, course, or book in isolation, its the process, journaling, honest review, consistent reflection, and measurable self-correction that helps you push forward
No mentor, book, or paid service can do that work on a trader’s behalf - zero.
Okay. I'm ready to talk about this.
It was the worst month of my life. Also ironically the greatest blessing god has ever given me.
Last month I was held in the Cayman Islands facing 15 years in prison.
The charge: illegal firearm importation. Here's what happened. More importantly what I learned.
Short answer: no. I haven't been smuggling guns.
In the States I legally carry a gun on me at almost all times for self defense. Part of this is ensuring I am trained.
Hence why I routinely go to the range to shoot. When I do I pack the firearm I intend to use in in a backpack.
Last month I was in a giant rush to make a private flight and didn't fully check my backpack before leaving. In it was a small firearm I missed.
It was discovered when I went through immigration.
At first I assumed I'd just be sent home.
Then my wife did some quick research. She pointed out the minimum sentence for importing a gun is 15 years. The police who showed up confirmed it.
To say I nearly pissed my pants is an understatement.
This was completely my fault. I'm an idiot. The point of this post isn't to blame or complain about anything. The laws there are fair. I'm a grown man capable of checking his bag before flying.
The point is: for three weeks on the island (on bail), I got to take a long hard look at my life.
I've built a high net worth and a company I love, with people I love working with. I have a beautiful wife who is my best friend. I do whatever I want all day every day. My parents are alive and I get to see them almost every week.
Still, despite all this, I often wake up annoyed I haven't done enough with my life. Asking myself "is this it?" In fact I'm pissed half the time, feeling I can do better.
Which is ironic. I made $20,000 a year in the military. If you'd told me then I'd achieve a 9 figure net worth and all the above, I would've assumed I'd consider my life a dream.
The twist truly hit me on the island as I watched everything I worked hard for in my life held at "gunpoint". Pun intended. Everything I worked so hard to get — poof. Didn't matter for shit.
The way the law works there are simple : if you can't prove it was an accident, the minimum is 15 years.
It became glaringly obvious. Not only was I an absolute idiot who couldn't pack his own bag. I'd also become a fool who couldn't enjoy the blessings I already had.
I'd taken all the people in my life and the success totally for granted. Blind. Blind. Blind.
Nothing like a 20-year potential sentence to make you realize: waking up with fun stuff to work on, then chilling on the couch reading with your wife at the end of the day — that's about as good as it gets.
I should be euphoric 24/7.
To go from having it all, to potentially not even having the option to piss and shit when you want — that's a wake up call if there ever was one.
Luckily, the Caymans is a fair place. I was found under exceptional circumstances during my trial. AKA the judge and the courts reviewed the case and agreed it was an accident.
I still love the island. It's probably my favorite place to vacation. Just check your luggage before you go. Ha.
My point is this: be present. Enjoy your life. One day something could happen — even by complete accident — and yoink it all away.
I have so many friends who'll read this and by all definition live a "dream life" — and yet are dissatisfied just like I was. If anything this is the default for most successful men. Not the exception.
I'm writing this to help you stop.
It took god slapping me across the face with my own ignorance to see it. It was painful and scary. Dark.
But honestly, it was the greatest blessing I've ever received. I'm writing this from my office at home, giddy as absolute fuck about my life and everything I have the option to do today.
If anything, I'm sad about how much time I wasted feeling otherwise.
Don't be ignorant and stupid like me. You might not get the blessing of a 15-year prison threat in a foreign country to wake you up.
Wake up. Appreciate what you have now.
The Most Important Realization for a Technical Trader is this
If you get this one truth, your entire trading career changes overnight.
Technical analysis doesn’t predict the market, it frames your behavior within it.
Most traders spend years trying to use charts to forecast the future. They draw levels, patterns, fibs, and divergences thinking they’ll “know” what comes next.
But the market isn’t a puzzle to be solved, it’s a dynamic auction that constantly reprices information.
The true power of technical analysis is not prediction, it’s context. It helps you define:
Where your thesis is valid or invalid.
Where risk and opportunity are asymmetrical.
Where others are trapped and where you can act objectively.
Once you realize this, your charts stop being prophecy tools and become decision frameworks.
Your trades stop being about being right and start being about executing your edge
The shift looks like this…
From “What will happen?” to “What will I do if it happens?”
From “I think price will go up.” to “If this level reclaims, I’ll look for confirmation and risk 1R.”
From prediction to probability.
The moment a trader stops using charts to predict and starts using them to prepare, is the moment they cross from amateur to professional.
Most crypto traders ignore the US Dollar Index (DXY)
With a near perfect -0.9 correlation, it's basically telling you how Bitcoin is going to trade
Full guide here. Read it ↓