$CL chart from 06.10.2026 anticipated sellers at 93.96–91.43.
As expected they stepped in, allowing shorts to run risk‑free @ https://t.co/m32Lpb6ujJ
Trade the Blue box. High Frequency areas.
#trading#Elliottwave
TRUMP WARNS IRAN DEAL FAILURE COULD RESTART CONFLICT
Donald Trump said he is open to resuming hostilities against Iran if a planned agreement fails. As both sides prepare to sign a deal opening 60 days of negotiations, Trump warned the U.S. could restart military action but expressed confidence Iran wants an agreement and a return to normal relations.
LATEST: 🇺🇸 Senator Cynthia Lummis says self-custody "is the difference between owning your wealth and asking permission from the government to access it."
BREAKING: US–IRAN DRAFT DEAL FRAMEWORK REVEALED
• IRAN AGREES NOT TO DEVELOP OR ACQUIRE NUCLEAR WEAPONS
• US AND IRAN AGREE TO HALT HOSTILITIES ACROSS THE REGION, INCLUDING IN LEBANON
• IRAN TO GUARANTEE FREE AND SAFE COMMERCIAL SHIPPING THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ FOR 60 DAYS
• US TO RELEASE FROZEN IRANIAN ASSETS ONCE THE AGREEMENT TAKES EFFECT
• US TO GRANT TEMPORARY SANCTIONS WAIVERS ALLOWING IRAN TO EXPORT OIL DURING NEGOTIATIONS
• IRAN TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT NUCLEAR PROGRAM WHILE TALKS CONTINUE
• BOTH SIDES TO ADDRESS IRAN'S ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKPILE IN FUTURE NEGOTIATIONS
• US TO AVOID NEW SANCTIONS AND MAJOR MILITARY BUILDUPS IN THE REGION DURING TALKS
• 60 DAYS OF NEGOTIATIONS PLANNED TO REACH A FINAL AGREEMENT
• OMAN AND GULF STATES TO PARTICIPATE IN TALKS ON MARITIME SECURITY AND SHIPPING ARRANGEMENTS
• FINAL DEAL COULD SEE THE US WITHDRAW ITS FORCES WITHIN 30 DAYS
• FINAL DEAL COULD RESULT IN THE LIFTING OF ALL US SANCTIONS ON IRAN
• PROPOSED FINAL AGREEMENT INCLUDES A $300 BILLION RECONSTRUCTION FUND FOR IRAN
• POTENTIAL DEAL WOULD REPRESENT ONE OF THE MOST SIGNIFICANT US–IRAN DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGHS IN DECADES
SOURCE: N12 NEWS
The US keeps an emergency oil buffer stockpiles + its Strategic Petroleum Reserve measured in "days of supply."
How many days it could survive if imports stopped tomorrow.
The long run average: 65 days
Right now: 50 days
The lowest since 1982.
America entered the Hormuz crisis with the thinnest oil cushion in 40 years.
It peaked at 93 days in 2020 when Covid killed demand and oil had nowhere to go.
Since then it's been draining slowly, then fast.
The US doesn't need Hormuz directly, but when Asia scrambles for alternative oil because their Hormuz supply is cut, global prices spike and when prices spike, a thin buffer means you feel the pain faster and harder.
Think of it like going into winter with 3 weeks of food instead of 2 months.
You're not starving yet but you have no room for error.
if you want to understand what's is going to happen based on the latest do not miss my latest article.
Link in the below comments👇
🚢Hormuz "reopened"
🚨Here's what the data actually shows.
Between June 10-14, MarineTraffic recorded just 29 vessel crossings through the strait.
Before the conflict: 150 transits per day.
That's not a reopening, that's a trickle.
It gets worse:
→ 23 ships went west to east (into the Gulf)
→ Only 6 came out the other side with cargo
→ 62% of crossings classified as "Dark or Unknown Route" ships hiding their position
→ 2 sanctioned vessels spotted
Ships are creeping through with their trackers off.
That's fear.
The strait is going to be technically open.
The trade flow right now is not back to normal, not even close.
And the IEA still projects an oil deficit through Q4 2026.
The market wants to believe the crisis is over.
The ships don't.
Full analysis in my latest article.
Link in the comments 👇
video source: MarineTraffic
The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete. Congratulations to all! I hereby fully authorize the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and, simultaneously herewith, authorize the immediate removal of the United States Naval blockade. Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Trump: “This is the deal. It’s a great deal, and it’s time to end this war.”
A senior U.S. official said Netanyahu “didn’t push back hard or argue much” and appeared to accept he “could not stop Trump from signing it.”
$SPX pullback from the peak reached the 🔵 Blue Box area, offering a swing buying opportunity. Allowed longs to secure risk‑free positions. #Elliottwave#Trading#SPY
Multiple floors of the Pentagon are locked down and being evacuated due to a "hazardous materials incident," sources and local fire department say https://t.co/Un8JlbEvXk