Too many poly positions to comment individually
Still getting a feel here but my initial hunch is the markets are softer? Perhaps just because there is a bigger selection? More liquidity and volume?
Its still early and we don't have as much data accumulated as we do Kalshi, but our forecast model beats the polymarkets on a whole; and many cities significantly
stay tuned
Nice Asia session
Looking through the Americas and Kalshi markets now
Kalshi weekend can be hit or miss; sometimes an abundance of opportunities, other times none
I havent looked at the numbers, but I assume its bc of lower liquidity
Current Kalshi positions. Adding in a NO on the 82-83 in NY. Position and temperature are moving in my favorite. I think its a good practice of adding into winning positions
Nice Asia session
Looking through the Americas and Kalshi markets now
Kalshi weekend can be hit or miss; sometimes an abundance of opportunities, other times none
I havent looked at the numbers, but I assume its bc of lower liquidity
Nice Asia session
Looking through the Americas and Kalshi markets now
Kalshi weekend can be hit or miss; sometimes an abundance of opportunities, other times none
I havent looked at the numbers, but I assume its bc of lower liquidity
Expanding to polymarket surely has been interesting; especially the international markets
Surely there are some adjustments to make on single number betting vs. 2 degree brackets. Thinking on how to make system adjustments
@NexusDataLabs@Kalshi@Polymarket@dschwarz26 I skimmed the article, and I can only speak to weather and sports: but the market is damn accurate. Why do you think there are so few winners? Surely, that's worth more that 3.5%