Will Pawel

Psychology is more contagious than the flu

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

Treasury posts unexpected surplus in June as tariff receipts surge @CNBC https://t.co/5rOoaE0SDJ

[Rapid Response 47 @RapidResponse47]

🚨 ICE has arrested an MS-13 kingpin in Nebraska who is wanted for five murders.

Despite being on El Salvador's '100 most wanted' list since 2016, he was released into the U.S. under the Biden admin.

Thank you to the heroes of @ICEgov for getting this scumbag off the streets.

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@FarmGirlCarrie Says Pablo

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@allenanalysis Funny how democrats allow illegal migration for four years, now the new administration is cleaning up the mess and blamed for the problem

[Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital]

Holy. Shit.

Jamie Dimon on Democrats today:

“I have a lot of friends who are Democrats today, and they’re idiots. I always say they have big hearts and little brains. They do not understand how the real world works. Almost every single policy they rolled out has failed.”

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@WesternLensman FU non political

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@FPWellman Do foreign countries charge us a Tariff? Why can’t we do the same? Asking for a friend

[Sir Himothy Stackhouse|Stacc Loc|🤘|ATX|DC4L @76stacc]

🫡

[Bad Hombre @Badhombre]

Ketanji Brown Jackson has been the lone dissent in three cases, including today’s.

Three times Sonia Sotomayor—who is on record as having full-blown emotional breakdowns in her chambers—has concluded Ketanji is even too stupid for her.

Let that sink in.

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@TheGhoulestMom Move there

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@IlliniJen Funny thing is the house literally across the street is owned by total libtard and has a sign saying Glen Ellyn is for everyone. Maybe they can invite those kind teens over to their house

[Will Pawel @WilboP68]

@andiblue211 @IlliniJen It’s city kids in a teen take over and they don’t swim as you can see.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

The America Party is needed to fight the Republican/Democrat Uniparty

[Kyle Seraphin @KyleSeraphin]

The Senator is too dumb to represent even a Commie state like Connecticut.

The NWS alerts PRIOR to the deadly floods warning of deadly floods.

[Right Angle News Network @Rightanglenews]

BREAKING - Data Republican has identified the person behind the “Mrs. Butters” account that celebrated the flash flooding in Kerr County, Texas, which claimed the lives of multiple children as Mr. Álvarez-Aranyos, a Soros-funded former Defense Department advisor running a failing PAC called American Opposition.

I’ve heard muting and blocking helps.

[I Meme Therefore I Am 🇺🇸 @ImMeme0]

🚨BREAKING: Trump��s DHS blocked Democrats from filming the outrageous conditions at a detention facility known as Alligator Alcatraz…

Oops—my bad. Turns out it was actually Republican Senator Ted Cruz in 2021, trying to expose the conditions inside Obama-era cages filled with illegal immigrants under Biden.

Democrats didn’t care about those facilities—or the immigrants—back then. They only pretend to care now because it serves their anti-Trump agenda.

If Democrats didn’t have double standards, they’d have no standards at all.

[Chris Martz @ChrisMartzWX]

So, let's discuss the flooding in Texas.

Here are the facts many Democratic mouthpieces and some legacy media outlets are choosing to ignore:

1⃣ The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Austin / San Antonio was staffed with five meteorologists throughout the storms on Thursday and Friday, according to NWS meteorologist Jason Runyen. Most offices usually have two on staff when the weather is benign.

🔗https://t.co/oez4ZRxOxA

So, the claim that the 11% reduction in NWS employee headcount from the Trump administration's RIFs played no role in their ability to post forecasts and get information out to the public is WRONG.

2⃣ The NWS office issued a flood watch for the area at 1:18 p.m. CDT on Thursday, more than 15 HOURS in advance, urging residents to be weather-aware.

At 1:14 a.m. CDT, they issued a flash flood warning for, more than three hours before the Guadalupe River rapidly crested at 29.45 feet in Hunt, which is located near Camp Mystic.

🔗https://t.co/3KTFDUx0cA

🔗https://t.co/9EkSijeu3R

There was plenty of warning from forecasters, even if initial forecasts did not predict some 12-20 inches of rain falling. The unfortunate aspect of all of this is that most people were probably asleep when the waters rose, and with no county flood warning systems that function like a tornado siren, the flash flood warnings posted by the NWS went unnoticed.

3⃣ The flooding was inevitable.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, which made landfall in Mexico, were absorbed into a broad, retrograding upper-level low. Further destabilization of the lower atmosphere resulted in a rotating mesoscale convective vortex (MCV), which stalled over Central Texas and dropped over 1.8 trillion gallons of rain on the Hill Country. 🌧️

The dynamics involved here are poorly understood, and as a result, mesoscale models have a very difficult time predicting exactly where these sorts of systems will form and exactly how much rain could fall.

What's more, the terrain across the Texas Hill Country is characterized by a dry, thin layer of topsoil and exposed rocks on the surface, making it prone to flash flooding events. Heavy rainfall isn't readily absorbed, and trickles down into nearby rivers and creeks, where it causes them to spill over their banks. 🪨

4⃣ The rainfall and flooding were not unprecedented, and it had little to do with climate change.

Camp Mystic and neighboring communities like Hunt and Kerrville are located on the floodplains of the Guadalupe River Valley. The sediment that they're built on has been deposited by hundreds of floods over the last several thousand years.

Flooding there is expected.

And, while we may be seeing heavier rainfall events in the region because the atmosphere is a little warmer now, there have been no detectable increases in either the frequency or magnitude of river floods in the Texas Hill Country since 1965. In fact, they have decreased over the last 60 years, according to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

🔗https://t.co/VExeuVNHSG

In early September 1921, downtown San Antonio was inundated beneath 2-12 feet of floodwaters caused by the decaying remnants of a category one hurricane that made landfall in Mexico. Over two feet of rain fell in the Guadalupe River Valley and Thrall recorded 38.2 inches of rain in 24 hours, including 23.4 inches in just six hours.

On July 2, 1932, Mountain Home recorded 32.4 inches of rain in 18 hours, which was caused by a very similar stalled upper-level low and orographic enhancement.

🔗https://t.co/szKcfzDQfK

The highest 24-hour rainfall I could find from Friday's rainfall was a little over 21 inches, so that was far from record-shattering in the general area.

The associated flooding also wasn’t unprecedented along the Guadalupe River. The crests at all stations were far from the record peak set at Spring Branch in August 1869.

𝐊𝐞𝐫𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐞: Peak crest of 23.40 feet.
• 3rd highest on record at that gauge
• Record: 39.00 ft. on July 2, 1932

𝐂𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭: 21.41 ft.
• 2nd highest on record
• Record: 24.27 ft. on October 16, 1978

𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐭: 34.76 ft.
• 5th highest on record
• Record: 42.3 ft. on July 1, 1869
• Three of the top five highest occurred prior to 1940

𝐁𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐡𝐞𝐢𝐦: 49.70 ft.
• Highest in record at that gauge

𝐒𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐡: 29.33 ft.
• 13th highest on record
• Record: 53.00 ft. on August 3, 1869

🔗https://t.co/iI6hxm5weZ

The tragedy is appalling enough as it is, and I hope the dozens of people who are still missing are found.

We don't need the added effect of idiots champing at the bit to finger-point and place blame on people, in this case, Republicans, they don't like.

Stop exploiting natural disasters because you view the world through hyperpartisan political lenses.

[Jason American Patriot™ @TruthJasonLee]

Katie says: history is repeating itself and shows us proof with a video.

[Megyn Kelly @megynkelly]

Holy Lord, what a ghoul