Toast

Time Travel Future is in the Past

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

#lastjudgement 1435 Stefan Lochner

History and future will collect and collide, separating the good and evil. Will Fear, Greed, Jealousy and lust prevail?

#CivilDisobedienceMovement

Why?

[Elite Swing Traders @1ChartMaster]

Elite Trading Framework (Structural Momentum & HVE Systems)

This master blueprint outlines my execution ready trading methodology. It is engineered to capture explosive moves in high velocity growth stocks by combining supreme institutional urgency, structural price compression, and flawless mathematical risk management relying strictly on clean daily and weekly price action for entry and invalidation.

Strategy 1: The Core Structural Swing System
This strategy focuses on trading elite relative strength and structural chart compression directly against key moving averages on the daily and weekly timeframes.

Phase 1: Screening & Selection
Elite Relative Strength (RS): You target market leaders actively outperforming the broader indexes ($SPY/$QQQ). You prioritize vehicles pushing into "blue sky" all-time high territory or tightly consolidating directly under lifetime resistance, proving they are immune to market selling pressure.

True Fundamental Engines: Setups must be backed by undeniable institutional drivers, such as recent "beat and raise" earnings reports or powerful secular trends (e.g., AI data center infrastructure and next-gen semiconductor components).

Phase 2: The Setup & Volatility Compression
You never buy extended, chasing stocks away from support. You patiently wait for the near term supply to dry up and the moving averages to catch up to the price.

High Tight Flags (HTFs): High velocity moves that flag sideways, refusing to retrace deeply, proving that institutions are aggressively defending the shares.

The "Squat" Pattern: The stock "squats down" tightly into its key dynamic moving averages using the 8w eek EMA on the weekly chart as your ultimate reference point for pullbacks to determine if it is ready to move immediately or needs more time, or the 21 EMA on the daily chart.

Inside Days & Volume Dry Up (VDU): You look for tight daily candles trading entirely within the prior day's range. As the stock sits in the squat, volume must completely disappear, proving that floating supply has been completely absorbed.

Phase 3: Absolute Daily Execution & Invalidation
The Trigger: Entry is executed on a clean breakout past the immediate daily consolidation pivot level (e.g., the high of the inside day, the high of the flag, or down-trend resistance).

The Stop Loss: Your risk is pegged strictly and mathematically to the structural low of the consolidation setup typically placed right under the low of the "squat" candle, the inside day low, or the key supporting 8 week EMA. If the stock triggers the breakout but immediately reverses through this low, the squat isn't ready. You cut the trade instantly with zero hesitation.

Strategy 2: The HVE (Highest Volume Ever) Breakout Strategy
This is your specialized, ultra high conviction strategy reserved exclusively for historic corporate milestones and absolute institutional urgency.

The Setup: You scan for a stock printing its Highest Volume Ever Traded, typically accompanied by a massive, violent gap up or breakout past all time highs or out of a multi month institutional base.

The Psychology: This represents a permanent structural regime shift. Massive mutual funds and institutions are trapped in a state of extreme urgency, scrambling to build positions all at once. This historic volume signature permanently changes the character of the stock.

Execution & The First Pullback: * Day of Print Entry: Entering directly on the breakout daily candle if it clears a clean key level with a defined structural daily low stop.

The First Pullback (The High Probability Play): If the initial HVE gap is too extended to manage risk safely on a daily chart, you place the ticker on a high priority watchlist. You wait to buy the very first orderly pullback or "squat" back to a key technical level or the 8-week EMA, knowing institutions will heavily step in to defend the baseline of the highest volume day in the company's history.

System Mathematics: Asymmetric Expectancy
The ultimate engine of both strategies is pure mathematical expectancy. Because you buy right at the exact inflection point of a tight daily/weekly flag or a structural squat, your risk from entry to your daily stop loss is remarkably small (frequently only 1% to 3%).

The Reward: When a high RS leader or an HVE catalyst stock successfully clears its daily pivot and unlocks its next major momentum expansion leg, it can easily surge 10% to 15% or more in a matter of days.

The Ratio: This creates a clean 1:5 risk to reward ratio (risking $1 to make $5).

The Expectancy: Under this mathematical profile, you do not need a high win rate to compound capital rapidly. Even with a modest 25% to 30% win rate, your outsized winners will heavily multiply your small, tightly controlled losses, guaranteeing consistent, geometric account growth over a large sample size of trades.

[Jason Bassler @JasonBassler1]

A new bipartisan bill was just proposed forcing every operating system: Apple, Google, Microsoft, to verify age before being able to set up or use a device.

Not just for kids. For everyone.
Today it’s age verification.
Tomorrow it’s a Digital ID.

Reject it before it starts.

[Wim Hof @Iceman_Hof]

Every morning you have a choice.

You can wake up carrying your bags from yesterday. Dragging all the days before it. Already tired from the weight of what you know, what you've done, what you have to do.

Or you can wake up new.

I choose new.

I wake up and start every day as if it is my first day. Not a single past failure clouds my mind. Musings and worries of the future are completely absent. This is not denial. This is not forgetting. This is creating space.

Space to paint a new canvas with the originality of the moment.

Without this space, life becomes repetitive. The same thoughts loop. The same feelings return. The same patterns play out again and again. You become a machine running old programs.

Conformity thrives on this repetition.

But freshness breaks the pattern.

When you approach each day as your first day, you're not bound by who you were yesterday or limited by what failed last week. You're not trapped in the story you've been telling yourself.

You are simply here. Now. Relaxed.

Show up as you are. Raw and real and present.

Nature will meet you there. The cold will meet you there. Your true self will meet you there.

This is celebration. Not of achievement or success or arriving somewhere but a celebration of life itself. Of being here and feeling everything.

Start with a deep breath. Right now.

-Wim Hof

[10Δ @_10delta_]

3 weeks ago I argued the US goal in Iran is to seize the global oil spigot. Venezuela in January -> Iran in February.

Neutralize every supply channel outside the dollar system within 90 days. Achieve a compliant successor government and complete energy dominance.

The oil thesis was the obvious layer. However, when you zoom out & view the last four years as a single sequence rather than isolated geopolitical events, the architecture of the grander US plan becomes visible.

1st was Europe, which laid the groundwork.

The Ukraine conflict provided the justification for sanctions that collapsed Russian pipeline gas from 150 billion cubic meters to 40.

Then Nordstream was destroyed, which rewired the entire European energy system permanently. The US went from supplying 28% of Europe's LNG in 2021 to 58% by 2025, exporting a record 111 million MTs, the 1st country in history to break 100 MT.

Europe was transformed from a customer with options into a captive market now purchasing its survival in USD.

2nd was Syria.

The fall of Assad severed the critical node connecting China's Belt & Road Initiative to the Mediterranean.

The trilateral railway linking Iran, Iraq & Syria, designed to bypass Western maritime chokepoints, was completely destroyed.

This isolated Iran geographically & cleared the path for what came next.

3rd was Venezuela.

In January the US effectively took control of the world's largest heavy crude reserves. The US Gulf Coast has the most advanced refining complex on earth, specifically built for heavy sour crude. Phillips 66, Valero & the rest are now positioned to process hundreds of thousands of barrels of Venezuelan crude daily.

The US captured a massive strategic reserve & solidified its position as the dominant exporter of refined petroleum products, an industry worth $110 billion in 2025 alone.

Venezuela & Iran were the two major oil supply channels that existed outside the dollar system. Both produce heavy crude sold primarily to China & evaded US financial supervision. Both now being neutralized within 90 days, which leads us to..

4th is Iran & the Middle East energy shock.

Israel struck Iran's South Pars gas field, the world's largest natural gas reservoir. Iran retaliated against Qatar's Ras Laffan, the single largest LNG facility on earth, responsible for a fifth of global supply. QatarEnergy's own assessment is that 17% of export capacity is gone and recovery will take up to 5 years. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. European gas prices spiked 70%. Asian spot prices doubled.

The only remaining scaled supplier? The United States.

If Iran falls & a successor government is installed that the US controls or influences (the Delcy model described weeks ago) then roughly 40 to 45 million barrels per day of global production out of 103 million is effectively under US control. OPEC becomes irrelevant because the US coalition is now the marginal producer. Now add the gas dimension & it goes beyond oil.

This war is solidifying the petrodollar system as it evolves into a hybrid petro/LNG-dollar. The old system was built on Saudi crude priced in USD. The new system is built on American crude plus American gas from the Gulf Coast, with no alternative supplier of comparable scale. The dependency is deeper because LNG infrastructure requires long term contracts & regasification terminals that lock buyers into supply relationships for decades. Europe & the Pacific allies (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, etc.) cannot pivot away as there is nowhere left to pivot to. They're now locked into the US energy system.

The market confirms this. DXY went from 96 to 101. Gold down ~20% from its January all time high. Bitcoin down 20% on the year. Brent above $100. European & Asian institutions are liquidating precious metals and crypto to buy dollars because they need dollars to buy the only remaining scaled energy supply. The world is selling its gold to buy American energy in American currency. The dollar is now being weaponized through energy dependency.

The structural repricing is happening regardless of how the conflict resolves.

But the US grand strategy goes deeper..

Artificial intelligence is a physical industry. It runs on power and chips. Data centers require massive uninterrupted baseload electricity, primarily provided by natural gas. Semiconductor fabrication requires helium & rare earths.

By choking the Strait of Hormuz & crippling Middle Eastern LNG & helium production, the US is systematically degrading China's ability to power its data centers & fabricate semiconductors at scale.

The US is energy self sufficient, especially with newly captured Venezuelan reserves & expanding Gulf Coast capacity running on domestic gas.

On the other hand, China is import dependent & every joule it imports effectively now transits chokepoints the US Navy controls..

Iran was the Belt & Road's overland energy bypass, the corridor that allowed China to mitigate the Malacca Trap. With Iran neutralized that corridor is severed. China faces a world where its compute infrastructure competes for scraps on a depleted global LNG market, while American data centers run at full capacity on domestic energy.

Russia is next in the sequence. A post-war Iran reopening under US influence competes directly with Russia for the same refineries in China & India at lower cost. Iran's production costs are lower. Russia loses its last structural advantage in heavy crude & its economic lifeline. Additionally, under the Iran war cover, Ukraine has been opportunistically destroying Russian energy infrastructure & all signs point towards Russia being at the end of the line. The message from Washington becomes very simple: we dismantled two regimes in three months, your economy is about to get crushed, sign the Ukraine deal.

Then Trump sits down with Xi holding every card. Complete energy dominance. The hybrid petro/LNG-dollar fortified, Iran cleared, Russia cornered, & China facing the Malacca Trap fully closed with no remaining energy bypass.

Israel & the GCC are absorbing the kinetic cost of a conflict whose primary beneficiary, counter to the mainstream narrative, is actually America (First). Qatar offline for 5 years reprices the entire global gas market in favor of US exporters for the remainder of the decade. The Gulf states face years of rebuilding. Europe faces its 2nd energy crisis in four years.

Sure, the average American might face temporary moderate inflation & higher gas prices. But if you are the architect of the US empire & you view the rise of China & Chinese ASI as an existential winner takes all scenario, the collateral damage is acceptable cost.

Whoever controls the energy corridors controls the monetary system. Whoever controls the monetary system & the energy supply simultaneously controls the compute infrastructure that determines which civilization builds ASI first.

The US is seizing all 3.

[Uju Anya @UjuAnya]

Re: ICE mobilized to US airports

I’ve been discussing (since 2021) how the US will eventually close borders “from the inside” and restrict people from leaving this country. Allowing ICE to patrol borders (international airports are borders) is a step towards that goal. 1/5

[Jamie Bonkiewicz @JamieBonkiewicz]

Before you head to the airport:
Print your boarding pass
Turn off Face ID / fingerprint unlock
Delete your social media apps
Airplane mode
Turn your phone off and put it away

[henryhiccups ☮️ @henryhiccups1]

@Spiro_Ghost Good synopsis here too

[RealtimeREDneck @RealtimeREDneck]

THE NEBRASKA FIRE THAT-NO-NEWS-IS-REPORTING IS NOW HEADING TOWARDS A MILLION ACRES: Getting word from Nebraskans that the motive behind this Lahaina-like fire-event in their state might be burning out swathes of farmland and cattle ranches and seizing access to water. Not just any water. But an entire massive aquifer that undergirds much of the state. So what takes that amount of water? Umm...could it be data centers? FOUR are slated for Nebraska. What say you, Nebraskans?

[Wall Street Mav @WallStreetMav]

Interesting thoughts on using cash versus debit/credit cards.

Maybe we should all switch back to cash economy.

🤨

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

$GME

Is he guna do it?
Gamestop broker?
@ryancohen

[Oluwatimileyin✨🦋 @Timmysofine]

1. Our skeletons are wet.
2. your nose is ALWAYS in your line of sight, but your brain ignores it
3. When you receive a donated kidney, they don’t take out the bad one. They just add the good one in.
4. Your immune system doesn't know you have eyes. Otherwise, it would attack them and make you blind. injuring one eye can introduce eye bits to the bloodstream and basically give your immune system the knowledge of having eyes. then it might decide it really fucking hates that and attack your non-injured eye.

5. The quality of the male sperm is responsible for morning sickness, preeclampsia, baby’s gender and almost every single pregnancy related issue.
6. You breathe through one nostril at a time. Don’t believe me? Put your finger below your nose and try.
7. The brain itself has no nerve endings, so it can’t feel pain. That’s why patients can be wide awake during brain surgery and made to perform certain actions.
8. That ringing in silence isn’t silence
When everything is quiet and you hear a faint ringing?
That’s your brain listening to its own nervous system.
You are hearing yourself functioning.
9. You will never experience your own death.
You only experience approaching it… Then nothing.
Everyone else gets closure, stories, funerals, and memories.
You don’t.
You never know you’ve become a memory.
From your perspective, the story just stops mid-sentence.

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

$FCX

Chart for new year

[The General @1776General_]

🚨Great clip on the GOLD STANDARD.

Show this to everyone you know.

[Elite Swing Traders @1ChartMaster]

I try to not pay attention much on what others are doing intraday. Always throws me off and gives me bad energy. Doing the work before the market opens so I'm ready to go come game time is a critical part of my success.

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

@Terri1618 @Terri1618

Nice work as always, I have been stalking this for some time too. Alot to like going forward!

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

$SOUN

Will $12.81 roll over?

[Za @ZaStocks]

I don’t see enough talk about mental capital.

Being in the right headspace is the most important part of trading. And the most underrated too.

You can have the best strategy or plan in the world but if your mindset is off, your execution and overall decision making will severely suffer. If you have things going on in your life that are distracting from your ability to think clearly, you definitely won’t be able to trade.

Subtle things like stress, lack of sleep, relationship problems, etc. can quietly impact your trading. Even if you think you’re managing fine.

Be real with yourself and protect your mental capital like you protect your fiscal capital.

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

RT @RoyLMattox: In a classic contrary setup, we are taking a pilot position in Alibaba $Baba. With the rhetoric at a hysteric level, buying…

[Toast @Xrisstoss]

$NFLX Hounds Out

The action you expect and prices move in the opposite direction. A head-and-shoulders pattern indicates that the uptrend is over. If prices continue to rise,
they give the

Hound of the Baskervilles signal

Trading For A Living
Dr. Alexander Elder