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I’m not American so I didn’t get to vote in last week’s presidential election, but since American politics tends to impact the rest of the world irrespective of who’s in office, I feel entitled to offer my view of how the next four years might play out.
I’m not going to get too geopolitical, but I worry that a U.S. that’s fully committed to killing offshore wind projects in favor of ‘drill baby drill’ will see a significant slowdown in its efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change. On the flip side, Trump’s support of nuclear energy could break through America’s lingering fears of a Three Mile Island redux and reduce reliance on dirtier energy sources to power the U.S. electricity grid.
I also worry about Trump’s tariff threats and the inevitable retaliatory tariffs imposed by other nations. Certain sectors with Trump’s phone on speed-dial might be able to secure exemptions from these tariffs but overall, there will almost certainly be a global trade slowdown, something the world really doesn’t need right now.
I’m also concerned about the triumphalism surging through the U.S. ‘crypto’ sector after their unprecedented campaign finance spending elected a number of pro-crypto politicians and defeated some notable critics. The net result will be a significant turnaround in how D.C. views digital assets, with or without the first ‘crypto president’ in the White House.
https://t.co/a7Ho6HjBPb
With senior leadership at several U.S. crypto exchanges publicly claiming a key role in this political shift—and threatening other anti-crypto politicians with similar attacks in 2026 if they don’t play ball—there’s a very real sense that these operators feel the gloves are off, that they can both ask for and get nearly everything they want.
The first thing they want, and Trump has promised to do this ���on day one,’ is a new head of the Securities and Exchange Commission, someone who will end all the prosecutions and shrug when exchanges want to list utility-free tokens that are clearly unregistered securities.
The new freedom to list every new memecoin under the sun will pad the crypto casinos’ bottom line—particularly if the exchanges have a financial stake in the ‘projects’ behind these tokens—but will cost tens of thousands of customers untold millions as the value of these pointless tokens follows their traditional rapid rise and even swifter fall. Yes, freedom to choose means freedom to fail, but snake oil is snake oil, even when it’s digital.
Next will be permission to offer heavily leveraged crypto derivative products stateside, along with greater access to the traditional banking system. Their ultimate goal is having the freedom to engage in extremely risky practices that promise massive returns if successful, and the guarantee of a government backstop should their bets turn out to be losers. Think the Federal Reserve riding to the rescue of Silicon Valley Bank (and stablecoin issuer Circle) in 2023, but on a much wider scale. Privatize the profit, socialize the risk, lather, rinse, repeat.
https://t.co/zHE4U2hTvQ
Exchange execs are already tweeting FOMO-inducing stats showing renewed interest in token trading, urging retail traders to place their bets and ride this rocket all the way to the moon. Retail fees may be the exchanges’ bread-and-butter, but bread-and-butter is all these traders will be eating for a long time if they buy into these FOMO fallacies.
For people like myself, who support projects based on enterprise blockchain technology’s potential as an unparalleled data management platform, the U.S. election means an even tougher job of cutting through the ‘get rich quick’ noise. But cut through it we shall, because the future of enterprise blockchain tech doesn’t depend on any individual politician or party. When the artificial FOMO fuel is gone and the ‘crypto’ rocket crashes back to earth, enterprise blockchain will still be here, ready, willing and able.
https://t.co/XE8aZ5aapc
I’ve been something of a gym rat since I was a teenager but sometimes the best way to get your heart pumping and your brain thinking is to get out of the gym and onto a hiking trail (1/10)
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