Zephyr

Crypto Enthusiast, Still chasing. Still believing

[durial @durial]

let me give a proper explanation on how this shit works because seeing a lot of fake news

when you see these insane candles happening on random tokens like LAB, RAVE, Momentum etc it’s because of a group of people do what is called “active market making”

almost all of these “active market makers” are based in China/Asia. many claim to be able to achieve results like RAVE and LAB but few can actually properly deliver

typically these AMMs will either approach projects prior to launch or after launch (if certain conditions can be met). but scammy projects also look to approach them

the deal is usually that the AMM will put up the capital needed to push the token to the insane highs you see, and in return for the project letting the AMM “crime” their token they split whatever the profits are once the crime is complete

so how does the crime work and how do the people involve profit?

the first thing you’ll notice is that all these tokens have perp listings (usually binance perps) but very few spot listings

this is intentional. the first major requirement for this crime to happen is absolute control of the spot supply of the token

by that I mean the team/insiders need to control basically the entirety of the float. RaveDAO for instance, insiders were estimated to control over 98% of the spot supply

this is vital because spot supply that isn’t controlled by insiders can be sold into the spot price being driven up by perps. to help prevent this is another reason why tokens with basically no spot listings or liquidity are chosen. if there is a lot of spot supply ready to be dumped on the AMM then it could bankrupt them, meaning the crime has failed

as it is their capital at risk, AMMs are even asking projects to put them on all the multisigs for the token supply, to ensure that nothing can be dumped while the crime is happening

so once supply is completely controlled then what?

these AMMs don’t just commit the crime from one or two binance accounts. the accounts would likely be frozen instantly. instead they have 1000s of KYC’d accounts which operate in unison to drive the perp price up

because no one has supply to sell, there isn’t any other way to drive the price back down except to short

but this is where they get you

the AMM can squeeze any short placed, as every shorter will have their breaking point. either their own tolerance or a liquidation point. every short that gets liquidated or stopped out is profit for the AMM

add onto the fire that because of huge dislocations between underlying and perp price, you get some insane funding rates. as I write this LAB is -1% an hour shorts pays longs (over 8000% a year). this makes it even harder for shorts to hold their position, plus the AMM is making bank on their long positions funding

BriskCapital is right when he says they wouldn’t have let him win with this size of a short position, especially publicly. his mistake was trying to short it in the first place, which is exactly what the AMMs want you to do. where do you think the 7 figs he lost went to?

then whenever they decide the crime is complete they pull the rug and you see the collapse candle to zero. because they are the only entity holding the bid up, they have complete control over when and how the price collapses (meaning they can also likely join in on the short)

my advice is to not touch these tokens. if you want to feel something just buy a small amount for fun. definitely do not buy anything sizeable, do not make any trades on leverage and DO NOT SHORT

you are trying to compete against an entity that has complete control over where price goes

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

market is nuking yet $HYPE is making ath after ath.. interesting

[Bold @boldleonidas]

100% of my feed is hyperliquid.

[memes extremamente horríveis (ou bons) @memes_horriveis]

kkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

How to make money on $BASE

[Whale Insider @WhaleInsider]

JUST IN: Tether conducts its largest asset freeze ever, freezing $344 million USDT on TRON, with the reason still unknown - Onchain.

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

ethereum:0xf280b16ef293d8e534e370794ef26bf312694126 going to 100M while ethereum:0x17205fab260a7a6383a81452ce6315a39370db97 is done doing PND and dropped 85% in a day. what a day LMAO

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

Bring eth vol back

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

@KillaXBT Here since 3k

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

@EconEnzo interested in this!

[Tree News @TreeNewsFeed]

IRAN'S PARLIAMENT SPEAKER SAYS 'FAKE NEWS' USED TO MANIPULATE OIL MARKETS - RTRS

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC

For the first time in 7 months, we’ve broken away from the established 14th pattern.

This was always inevitable, the algorithm shifts over time. What matters most is that we were able to capitalize on all 5 occurrences of this setup during that period.

That said, this is only a single pivot from a time based perspective, which on its own isn’t enough to invalidate my broader thesis. It doesn’t change the overall trend structure, only how price reacts around that pivot. Pivots help identify periods where directional volatility is likely to increase, and in this case, we had a consistent pattern over 7 months that provided 5 high quality opportunities.

It’s important to distinguish between time-based pivots and price-based structure. A pivot can fail or become invalid, but the underlying price structure is what ultimately matters moving forward.

With FOMC approaching, much of the narrative is already priced in, with larger players positioning ahead of the event. Currently, we’re seeing price push higher into it. CPI did not mark a local top, which leaves open the possibility that FOMC could serve as that inflection point.

That’s the key area I’m watching next.

[Autism Steam Roller (🥭) @AutismSquish]

Average copy trader of cented and cupsey

[Pump.fun @Pumpfun]

@Polymarket ok that means it’s possible to make money today

hitting the trenches rn

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

@KillaXBT Have you started bidding your shorts?

[autist @litteralyme0]

Kim Jong Un patiently waiting for one missile to hit North Korea so he can nuke the whole planet

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

@AngryBirds what do you call this meme?

[zubic @zubic_eth]

Axiom screening Broox for the senior BD position

[Zephyr @zephyrbits]

@SirCowboy_ Goated trade as always