Is there anything worse than a crying baby on a plane?
I wish parents would control their children. It’s so disruptive. I refuse to believe a baby cries for 10 hours. At some point this is just bad parenting, right?
Bitcoin
Historically, whenever Bitcoin has broken below the 50-week moving average, it has often signaled a deeper move toward the 200MA or even the 300-week MA.
Since 2015, one pattern has remained consistent: Bitcoin tends to treat the 200-week MA as a major cycle support area.
Price has only dipped beneath the 300-week MA only once in its history and anything below the 200MA has been short lived for the best part of cycle lows.
If we revisit those levels, and the broader market context aligns, I’d view that zone as a high-probability buying opportunity...
Unless this time is... different.... ?
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SharpLink has been steadily building a world class team for the long haul. And yes, for the near term as well.
Matt @sheffieldreport is one of the sharpest minds at the intersection of DeFi and TradFi and he is surrounded on the team by equally gifted De/Trad Fi specialists.
He is describing some aspects of what should prove to be one of the strongest rebounds our eco has experienced -- not financial advice. Cleaning out the 10/10 damage and restarting government added to reduced China risk, lowering rates and ramping up global liquidity, all against a pretty healthy business backdrop in the US should lead to ....
Either way, it is enormously valuable to pay attention to the @sheffieldreport.
$BTC Cycle
Measured Halving→Peak: signals we’re entering the final month of this bull run.
Low→High / High→High: lengthening cycles point to a potential Oct–Nov window.
However cycle tops aren’t about a date or a price!
They’re a mania state of the market. Not there yet!
ETH and Totals 2 & 3 coming into significant levels
Sustain a bid above at some point later in Q3/Q4 (give or take a correction prior) ...
And our beloved shitters might just catch a bid
Here’s what I’m thinking:
Bitcoin will hit $90-95k in next 50 days.
Reversal after September 17 will kick off last leg of the bull but the month will close red.
October & November bull peak ~$200k+.
December short altseason (bags go 5-10X)
2026 is for bears.
Who’s with me?
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I don't know where Ethereum will go but when I close this position entirely I'll be done trading crypto. Not because I think the top will be in or because I'll be bearish on crypto but because it's been a wild journey and I'd like to start spending my time on other things.
"Buy the dip on alts" they say
But theres no mention of how to action this:
So here's something relatively simple and actionable
In a recent stream, I outlined a simple yet effective approach for positioning in alts:
Mark out the July Monthly Open (M/O) on the chart.
Identify confluence with a key demand zone, this is your area of interest should they align.
Look to buy pullbacks into the M/O, using the zone as a base for entries or scaling in and pay attention to microstructure.
If alts are gaining momentum over the coming weeks, the Yearly Open becomes a clean upside target (if its higher)
From what I’ve seen across multiple alts, this setup offers 3R to 5R potential, depending on how you structure the trade.
Cheers
1/ MVRV Ratio
Market Value to Realized Value is being calculated comparing the current value of circulating supply of bitcoins with the acquisition cost of the circulating supply of bitcoins.
Just figure out coins which outperformed BTC in past 30D, 90D timeframe, check their fundamentals, sentiments - Validate those alphas with TA.
any alpha could turn out to be false signal if you choose ignorance over DYOR.
Some of the ALPHAs Screened based on Momentum 👇
I'll be leaving crypto in 2025 (and you should too).
BTC is up +600% since $15.5k bottom 763d ago.
2025: 21', 17', 13' repetition (4-year cycle).
No DT this time.
Peak: Q2/Q4.
Q3 alts 10x.
2026: midterm bear (-80%) + recession.
Targeting late Q2 25' for exit (26' I'm out).