Some of you are still on the sidelines, waiting, and probably many of you will be FOMOing, looking for the next one that is gonna pop.
Here is one fact to remember
There is no second-fast horse.
The first mover after six months of chop will make every market participant focus on the same thing that already popped, leading to new narratives as the price goes up, there is no second-best.
Chasing the second-best horse will probably make you miss the dip on the fastest one.
Stick to what you think is "too high to buy"—unless there's a mind-blowing narrative change.
We’re in the early stages of the bull market resuming. Use more leverage in the beginning, and ease off as we fly and things start getting irrational.
We’re not even close to that "stupid" phase yet
-just look at the funding-
Try to see the forest, not just the trees.
Missing the initial 30-60% move is fine as long as you ride the right product.
Don’t focus on lagging products unless you have high conviction.
Build your own conviction and stick to it if it plays out. Don’t change halfway through just because CT says something different, verify yourself.
If you agree with the narrative and fundamentals, great—if not, don’t chase. Find your edge and stick to it.
The market will always compensate those who pursue their own edge in the long run.
Keep it simple and stupid. KISS.
3x on size on $CAT (+$1,000,000)
with CZ being released in two weeks, $BNB outperforming $SOL, and macro looking juicy
i think much higher, risk manage accordingly
i may not be the richest, the smartest, or the best sniper in @TroupeFTM
but am proud to be called Chrollo🕷️💫
It has been over 6 months since this post
In the midst of its so over, we want to cycle & invite 2 new recruits to join Fantom Troupe
Leave a comment below on why you deserve the chance to grind with Troupe
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~144 hours🕷️
my biggest on chain lessons
1) sometimes less is more - when trading, its easy to get caught up every new thing precisely as it happens. as we know, the SOL pvp trenches is one of the most competitive trenches out there. ive realized that sometimes its not about how early you get in a trade, but for how long you hold that trade. you could have aped late to MIGGLES and still printed. one mans pumpfun snipe to few milly marketcap TP is another mans buy to sell for a 100x at $100m, and there someone buys at $100m for a 10x to $1b. but not all tokens are built the same, and narratives have ceiling potentials, so locking in P is important. before my journal i was moving too loose, holding too long. at the beginning of this journal i was moving too risk adverse as i mentally wanted to see a good PnL number each day. as of now, i am able to balance between both edges of the sword, using each take profit side of the sword for each unique narrative based on macro weather condition, vol, the inherent narrative, & more. be able to access the on chain conditions and knew when to let it ride
2) the path to wealth is not linear - each reality is different, but what i can tell you is the path to wealth is not linear for most. no matter how good you are, some days on chain will just have NO cookers, black swan evens, things out of your control. then other days you will stumble upon a juicer without even knowing it and ride it up. you need to put yourself in the position to be lucky. HODL’ing comes at the sacrifice of low PnL days sometimes, but delayed gratification hits amazing for conviction plays. in other words, if you have a +EV r/r that your money is worth more USDC in a few days based of intuition, conflunce, etc. sometimes its better to ride that out than sell. i ask myself, "would i buy at this marketcap?” if yes. i hold, if no, then i look to scale out, not buy any more and be looking for next scale out vol opportunities; (listings, random big CT accounts shilling it, etc)
3) focus on main runners - alot of traders get caught up chasing the deriv path, and to each risk management, end of bull port goals, and size per reality, this answer does differ. quick flips are okay, but dont get chasing a dream on a deriv. there are alpha plays, beta plays. and deriv plays.
alpha plays are the main runner for a narrative
beta plays are plays that are exponentially correlated to the alpha runner and the macro narrative (ex. memecoins on sol) as awhole, and more more volatile upside and downside. bigger risk, bigger reward, but loosely exponentially correlated
deriv plays are plays that are in the same narrative as the alpha play, that are not unique and have less volume. things that blantantly copy the name of another project. derivs rarely work besides quick flips, and almost always see limited PnD's unless they are lucky enough to become a beta instead of deriv
see you on chain anon
i’m constantly in the state of war
comfort breeds stagnation or decline
become a small yet dominate fish in a small pond, then as that pond grows into an ocean, you evolve into a great white shark
take the risk or lose the chance