Observer

put BayesiaN reasoning into crypto
have been here before a sec

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@bobbilee more coming 👨‍💻

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@samconnerone build project's architect with a low model and give the main finish with a high endmodel

[Observer @0bserver_here]

JUST JOINED @arc's Architect Program

😊 let's see how it goes

👨‍💻 building somthing around ERC-8183 and ERC 8400

🚀soon revealing it

build on @arc

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@Cryptowithkhan They changed the rules after the event 😂, pure rug pull

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@Hec_77 It was never decentralized, bruh. currently, the final outcome is in the hands of $UMA token holders by voting "YES" or "NO". The majority vote will be considered the final and irreversible outcome.

fun: 20–30 wallets hold 84% of the total voting weight.

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@Polymarket @mustafap0ly I was on "NO" before the news. After the news came out, I exited, and I believe it's going to resolve as "YES".

But I was unaware that:
"we also need to predict future rules."

[Observer @0bserver_here]

🚨 PURE SCAM BY @Polymarket

stop predicting the future because they will change the statements and rules

❌it's no more a fair prediction market
@mustafap0ly

https://t.co/s7k50j1doy

[willo2 @willo2_Poly]

I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket.

I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st".

Here's what happened:

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@TheGreekTrader @willo2_Poly $69 Henchman read the rules.

$BTC can't be moved without onchain for sell

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@MazinoTower @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket How do you know $UMA trying to resolve it to "NO". Voting confidential my bruh.

Both parties are partially correct

[Observer @0bserver_here]

currently in this market question both parties are partially correct.

still people are experimenting
"A Delayed Choice Quantum Eraser"

now it's more like a luck based contest rather than predicted action. all are now watching UMA holders for no reason as action has been in past

[Observer @0bserver_here]

hey @mustafap0ly please fix these markets

solution:
set crystal-clear rules and conditions in detail, and provide a separate UI container for them. present them as bullet points instead of long, mixed unnecessary paragraphs.

https://t.co/XIuAWXbzYO

[mazino.patron @MazinoTower]

Polymarket traders are starting to get scared

Today it became known that MicroStrategy sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31

The market rules say nothing about when the sale information has to become public

only whether the sale happened

And the sale happened in May

So traders started buying YES on the May 31 outcome

and honestly, they’re right

the data is there

But for some reason UMA is trying to resolve it as NO

The dispute was already opened twice

and now traders are leaving the market because they’re afraid UMA still resolves NO

The only argument for NO is:

> news came out in June
> sale happened in May

but that rule doesn’t exist

Because of this, large players are selling at a loss

Not because the trade is wrong

but because they don’t trust the resolution anymore

@Polymarket can you oversee this market resolution?

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@BTCBeliever21 will strategy sell more incoming days ? or it was testing for future sells?

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@BTCBeliever21 @Cointelegraph Goat 🫡

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@Crypto_SunnyS Saylor ignited the next bottom

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@k2sbhai margin: $5 🤡

[Observer @0bserver_here]

@cryptorover Pure luck

[Observer @0bserver_here]

hey $POLY farmers rate my trades

current status:
net pnl $26
portfolio $423

@Polymarket next gen

[Observer @0bserver_here]

farm the edges not the entire market 🚀

[Observer @0bserver_here]

If there was a valid case against the proposed outcome, it should have been challenged immediately after the outcome was proposed(70 mins before).

[Observer @0bserver_here]

this morning was a volume-farming market with a confirmed 3% up

in the ss, only Apple was in the dispute phase with a proposed NO outcome and just 47 minutes left

either Google or Apple had to be the 2nd-largest tech company. In the end, Google won

@Polymarket game of trenches