$BTC | I sold 50%. The question is why?
First, some context: I bought my $BTC back in 2023 around $30K, and added more on the dips at $54K and $80K to maximize gains in what has remained a bull market. Having been in the market for six years, Iāve learned some hard lessonsāchief among them is that greed often leads to exiting positions too late.
With that in mind, Iād rather exit early than too late. Sure, I could miss out on some additional upside, but I refuse to stay trapped in the mindset of always calling for higher when macro indicators on the weekly and monthly timeframes are starting to shift. I fully recognize weāre in a blow-off top phase, and the market can stay irrational longer than most expect. Thatās exactly why I havenāt posted any shorts or new longsāIāve mostly been sitting on my hands, letting the remainder of my spot holdings work passively.
Last cycle, I made the mistake of trying to time everything perfectly. This cycle, Iām not aiming for perfection. Iām simply looking to exit where I believe the price is approaching a top based on macro signals. Yes, BTC could still extend toward 140ā150Kābut it could also drop 20% in a single candle. Thatās a risk Iām unwilling to take, sacrificing realized profits for what I believe would be the last marginal gains of this cycle.
Weāve had a fantastic run. But based on my analysis, people consistently underestimate the strength of the dollar. Hedge funds and investors are buying BTC in anticipation of an inevitable fiat collapse, which could eventually lead to a true supercycle. However, timing the decline of the USD is close to impossible. The pattern has been clear: prolonged periods of printing, followed by global liquidity tightening as the dollar strengthens.
At the moment, the USD is sitting on a 13-year trendline. We could still retest the 94 region in the coming months before liquidity meaningfully contracts. When that happens, it will likely have an immediate impact on BTCās price. Smart players scale out graduallyāthey donāt wait until itās too late.
From a macro perspective on the weekly and monthly charts, BTCās upside appears limited unless the USD collapses, which, again, is unpredictable. If the DXY follows the same pattern weāve seen since 2012, BTC will eventually retraceāpotentially with a 50ā60% correction.
I trade based on the information in front of me, not the speculation that āthis cycle is different.ā One day, it will beābut thatās impossible to predict with any precision.
Just because Iām cautious and slightly bearish on the HTF doesnāt mean Iām blindly shorting every move. Iām not stupid. Iāll wait for HTF shifts and confirmations before considering any swing shorts. But as you know, this is Xāpeople love to assume otherwise. When I start shorting, youāll know. Now is not that time. My priority is capital preservation above all else.
I see the dynamics gradually shifting, and thatās my cue to begin scaling out. I wonāt be a permanent bull just to drive engagement.
Hopefully this gives you a clear picture of my outlook and expectations. As always, I can be wrong and invalidatedābut most importantly, I will never deviate from my plan. Itās not bias; itās the foundation of my strategy. Every time Iāve strayed from that, Iāve lost.
If you found this post helpful, please drop a like. Took quite a while to put together this chart.
Built. Different. $BTC
Most of these X accounts post both bullish and bearish scenarios just to say they were ārightā no matter what happens.
I keep it straight. One bias. One outcome. Consistently right. Seperate the real from the fake.
If you want to learn how I predict $BTC tops & bottoms & the strategies I use...
I am opening up a Trading Academy for 3 months. DM me for more info.
I will not run another one of these until 2026.
Beware of scammers. My only handle is @KillaXBT
$KUSA is not stopping!
only at 522k mcap, i believe it can go higher, way higher.
@KusaTech has built the product which is already in Testnet.
Humans love gambling, and degens live on gambling.
KUSA aims to bring Prediction markets and casino games to the market, which is not new but, there are no VCs or kols.
it is completely bootstrapped!
CA- 0x4BFe0FDA2BE589bE51e7A9168D6652f642847E9e
[NFA.
First rule of gambling- put what you can afford to lose.]
Bought @KusaTech | $KUSA
Your gateway to future predictions and casino š just launched š«”
CA: 0x4BFe0FDA2BE589bE51e7A9168D6652f642847E9e
Almost hit $500k market cap already! Buying this $200k dip, letās see 10x at least!
https://t.co/riOpT7TDNn
Telegram: https://t.co/WHGCIoVDJC
Gambled some on $KUSA @KusaTech @ 175k$ MCAP
https://t.co/ryfQ7gi1gR
Lowcap utility play:
You'll finally be able to short/long onchain shitcoins without waiting for a CEX listing
- Decentralized platform for prediction markets and casino games
- Testnet currently live
- Deflationary revenue model + $KUSA staking to come
- Telegram bot tied to their platform
#uniswap #1000x
$Kusa is coming out of stealth.
They are building a prediction market, should do good.
No raise no pre-sale complete bootstrapped.
I m apeing some let's see how it goes.
CA - 0x4BFe0FDA2BE589bE51e7A9168D6652f642847E9e
Join their telegram - https://t.co/IRUgIckwPY