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A Polymarket trader I’m tracking is still holding $17.2K on Sara Bejlek to beat Madison Keys at the Cincinnati Open.
Bejlek is priced at 43¢. The position is already up +$6K after he got in around 18.5¢.
What makes it interesting is the track record: up $85.5K over the last 30 days, and across 27 resolved bets he’s consistently gotten in well before the market caught up.
Could be another one worth watching.
Looks like my first call yesterday of Polymarket trader Flawfence worked out pretty well after BTC pumped just after that.
Insider? probably not lol. Could’ve just been very good timing.
Now another Polymarket trader, FaceShot, has $5.1K on YES for Bitcoin hitting the target in August. That outcome is still only priced at 52.2¢.
He’s up $88.2K over the last 30 days and beat market prices by 30 points across 12 resolved bets.
Current position is already up $4.9K. Market looks undecided. He doesnt...
Flawfence is up $118K in the last 30 days and just put $68.8K on one Bitcoin market.
He’s backing NO on BTC hitting $50K in August, a side already trading at 99¢.
Boring trade? Maybe... but profitable traders often size up where they think the market is still underestimating certainty.
Started a new anon account for the prediction market flows I've been tracking.
Just smart money, wallet movements, weird pricing, and trades that deserve a second look.
Starting from 0 followers. Let's see where this goes.