@Sssebi Yes. In crypto where the asset's value is partly social, internal cohesion has influence on the price.
Cardano's a perfect case study in how visible conflict suppresses the cohort that drives long-term price discovery
Behavioural economics calls this "rational in context"
The choice that looks emotional from outside is often the optimal choice given the information the person had at decision time 🤷
Most people lose money in crypto for one reason: emotions.
When the market dumps, fear takes over.
When the market pumps, greed takes over.
That’s exactly what the Fear & Greed Index measures.
📉 0–24 = Extreme Fear
→ Panic selling
→ Negative sentiment
→ Potential accumulation zone
📈 75–100 = Extreme Greed
→ FOMO kicks in
→ Everyone wants in
→ Higher correction risk
The smartest investors don’t follow the crowd.
They pay attention when everyone is fearful and stay cautious when everyone is greedy.
Remember:
Fear creates opportunities.
Greed creates risks.
The Fear & Greed Index isn’t a buy or sell signal—but it helps you understand the market’s emotional state before making decisions.
What’s the current market sentiment: Fear or Greed? 👇
@arkham The 85% long bias is the more interesting variable.
That cohort is mostly first-cycle, mostly leveraged because they hadn't seen a wipeout yet.
There's two types of churns: passive (drift away) and active (warn others).
Liquidation events (like what we are seeing rn) generate the second kind in HIGH volume.
The downstream cost is the next cycle's onboarding, which is important for community builders to consider.
Decades of behavioral economics research is playing out in front of us right now.
Loss aversion, recency bias, capitulation, hindsight reframing... all visible on the same feed, sometimes even in the same thread.
Crypto cycle = behavioural lab?
@princeNFA@SerenaBlez@PatAscend Most scams in web3 follow the same three-step process researchers have documented in cold-call fraud since the 80s.
Cadence match, context build, attack.
The tech is just the wrapper, as mods and community builders we need to keep an eye out for such abnormalities.
The reason crypto teaches market analysis better than any business school is the same reason combat teaches strategy better than war games:
The cost is real and the feedback is immediate.
@pmitu this list will work because of the "my product is not perfect, help me build it better" approach
lots of marketers will go into random subreddits and pretend a product is amazing and good when its not - hence the high ban rate.
@frankdegods the narrative that gets BTC from 7k to 126k and the narrative that holds it there are usually different ones.
The hedge story did the first half, I don't think it's needed for the second