0xbobr

Crypto DEGEN | DYOR or get rekt | LFG 🔥

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@gabencaller @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade ez win

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@dontstopmirage Insiders always wins...

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

I pulled data on this low cook Polymarket wallet and it’s a very clean example of carry / near-resolution farming, not prediction alpha.
https://t.co/3SIeAOyNEq

What the data shows (last ~11 days slice):
- ~1000 BUY trades, almost no SELL exits
- median buy price = 0.999, weighted avg ~0.998
- ~155k notional cycled through buys
- 300+ unique markets touched
- exits primarily via REDEEM, not trading out

This is essentially a Polymarket "bond ladder": buying almost-decided outcomes near 0.99–0.999, waiting for resolution, redeeming at 1.00, and repeating across many small, independent positions.
The edge here is turnover + diversification, not forecasting.
The risk is tail events and resolution quirks - one bad "0.999" can erase many small wins.

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@dontstopmirage Rly smart

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@melfoy_work @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Interesting strategy

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@dontstopmirage Best use of AI

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@leolopeleo @Polymarket Some markets using Binance API. Try those

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

Remember, anyone could have taken a NO bet on "US strikes Iran by...?" and simply speculated on the news. Now the next few days have been decided thanks to the news, but who knows... Anything can happen.

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@dontstopmirage There is also another option: AppStore ChatGPT No. 1 in popularity rating

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@VinodelWR Good thoughts! I think i going buy yes

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@VinodelWR Only up!

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@madame1829 Also you forgot about privacy

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

Iran Strike odds going vertical. 12% -> 30% in minutes.
The Catalyst: Reuters reports death toll hitting ~2,600 + rumors of US intervention "within 24h".

The Alpha: Checking https://t.co/6D321YXUH9 - currently ZERO strategic air activity to back this up. These panic candles are perfect for fast-flipping!
Look for inefficiencies/spreads between the specific "Date" markets vs the main "Yes/No" market.

Volatility is your opportunity!!!

Sources:
https://t.co/Mywlq5De8I
https://t.co/AhaXoVk5l0

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@rb_tweets Elon is betting

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

Just check the news and some indicators. There is also a 5% profit on No as of January 13, which you can take at the moment!

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@Polymarket Insiders are pumping up the market!

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@polyshotio eat, gn, gm, shot, repeat

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@fogocoins Just buy it bro

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

@zegensol Yeah. New meta 😎🤑

[0xbobr @0xbobr]

Excitement is mounting on the Polymarket around the Will the US strike Iran...? - the probability of a strike in January 2026 has risen significantly:
The graph shows a huge 68% chance (up 40%) as of Jan 13, 2026, 9:15 pm – markets are betting big on rising tensions.
This is even as Israeli and Arab officials quietly told the Trump team to wait on major strikes against Iran. They argue the regime isn't weak enough yet from ongoing protests and a harsh crackdown (about 2,000 killed, over 16,000 detained, plus economic mess like crashing currency and inflation, and internet blackouts) Source: https://t.co/46pWVErj6B
Trump's warnings – like "HELP IS ON ITS WAY" if the violence doesn't stop – and his "all options open" talk are driving the bets, even with ideas for other moves like tougher sanctions, cyberattacks, or targeted hits instead of full-on attacks.
Polymarket's crowd smarts often beats the news – real traders risking money here.

Also I haven't seen any reports confirming strikes on the 13th yet, but resolutions might use UTC-4 timing, and in about 4 hours, we'll know the outcome.
Keep watching – would you bet No at 95¢ ?