mapleground.eth

coming from ancient times. here to explore on-chain culture. probably points utopist.

[Prufold Labs @prufold]

Watching @openclaw explode over the past week made something obvious: Autonomous agents are deploying TODAY. The security layer that makes them safe to run is still missing. @joelwp @anishmohammed https://t.co/NIniQLCzcN

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@RohOnChain awesome thread! would love to read a part 3 🙏

[Prufold Labs @prufold]

If AI assistants become the interface to reality (they will), openness at the model layer isn’t enough.

What matters is how those models are run, constrained, and proven.

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@stacy_muur currently ct as a human being feels like last passenger group on titanic with no lifeboats left 😅

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@ADINonline However i agree with the potential of initial pre-filtering help. -> "These findings broaden the applicability of AI in the VC context, particularly in the initial stages of managing and analyzing large deal flows."

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

Interesting study as well as approach of ADIN. However i highly doubt that the Analyst review times for web3 early stage deals in the first filtering phase are 2hrs + per deal. -> "Furthermore, LLM agents identify suitable ventures 537 times faster than human VC analysts. This estimate assumes a conservative two-hour review period per early-stage venture by a VC analyst. Notably, a survey by Gompers et al. (2020) found that VCs spend an average of 118 h on screening and due diligence per venture."

[sqd.ai @helloSQD]

SQD Portal: The Movie 🌀

Data as a public utility!

[Tomas Petricek (find me on BlueSky) @tomaspetricek]

What defines a correct program? What makes a good programmer? The answer depends on what culture of programming you subscribe to!

This has been a long time in the making, but my open access book on the history of programming is available for pre-order!

https://t.co/XAVZIzlAuD

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@ValidatorEth mapleground.eth

[KID @JumperKid_0]

New possibilities

How could simple Binary Market forms like @Polymarket and @Kalshi attract investments worth over $10 billion?

The reason is that prediction markets have much greater growth potential beyond being just binary markets
The need for altcoins is gradually decreasing over time.
After a TGE most token prices drop by more than 50% within a week, and eventually converge to zero over a few years.

People repeatedly experience this outcome, become accustomed to short-term plays, and no one holds altcoins after a TGE
It’s simply a losing strategy.

I now believe that prediction markets can replace the “positions” that these altcoins used to serve.
Prediction markets, whether short-term or long-term, always resolve to a Yes or No outcome.
This “position with a guaranteed result” is far more practical than traditional altcoins.

To put it simply:
It’s like buying an altcoin for your favorite sports team,
or buying your analyzed information as a “tokenized position.”
Prediction markets already have much clearer utility than altcoins.

The essence of prediction markets is data and analysis.
It may seem like gambling to some, but it contains various economic and social layers:
arbitrage, analysis, data-driven investing, beliefs, social behavior, and more.

Prediction markets are not merely speculative markets
they are data markets where information converges into prices.

Prediction markets are also evolving beyond Binary Markets, with experimental new types being proposed.

Here’s a curated list of markets and projects that are particularly interesting:

Opinion Markets:
markets where you bet on predicting what the majority opinion will be
@factmachine

Distribution Markets:
prediction markets where you can trade the probability distribution of continuous outcomes
@functionspaceHQ

Opportunity Markets:
a mechanism where people who spot promising opportunities early are rewarded in private prediction markets sponsored by institutions capable of acting on those opportunities
@pythiamarkets

Hyperstitions Markets:
prediction markets that create reality rather than just predicting it
@hyperstiti0ns , @0xEN0VA

Futarchy Markets:
policy voting and betting for price-based automatic decisions and auction-style DAO governance
@butterygg , @MetaDAOProject

Multiverse Finance:
securely linking event-based financial activities using parallel-universe-based token ownership and conditional collateral
@lightconetrade

<Solutions via prediction market positions>:

DeFi Layer for Prediction Markets:
Borrowing against Polymarket positions - @gondorfi

Earning yield on @Polymarket positions - @robinmarketsxyz

Protection Layer for Prediction Markets:
Prediction Markets Insurance - @getliquid

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@mortiee_eth @0xZryptoKun @Polymarket @itsgloria_ai impressive

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@phtevenstrong @phtevenstrong check out @malcolmguite and his Youtube channel (https://t.co/rRGNThlsUH) if you like LOTR 🙂

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@VictorTopDefiG you can also give @Nomina a try. but always keep in mind that fluctuation is real.

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

What happened to @orb_land? Would be great to see some new utility/ideation phase on NFTs. Think orbs started great with harberger tax in place. Time to open it up @ercwl ?

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@koeppelmann maybe it‘s solana related 😁😉

[functionSPACE @functionspaceHQ]

There’s an entire prediction market economy forming right now - with hundreds of startups and major players in crypto/fintech moving rapidly to offer these to their users, as well as some very innovative second-order projects above the market trading level.

Despite this, the overwhelming majority of teams are building using the same fundamental economic-primitives: binary-payoff event contracts using the Gnosis conditional token framework and a plugged-in oracle.

This severely limits the design space:

- No room for genuine differentiation (either in trading exposure or UX)
-Expensive, subsidised liquidity management required due to the cold-start problem
-Complicated, limited, and risky market resolution capabilities

functionSPACE protocol enables self-liquid, self-resolving information markets + a developer framework to give builders better economic primitives to work with and richer composability in their prediction market design.

1. More expressive economic trading capabilities with Probability Markets
2. A simple tradable resolution space with Reality Markets
3. Permissionless single-transaction market creation
4. Multi-modal and open-source trader experiences

Reach out to us today and build in functionSPACE.

[Lavi.eth @Lavi_54]

New Prop AMM for MegaETH

- single sided LPs
- concentrated liquidity
- real-time pricing engine
- nearly eliminating IL
- sweet organic yield

Check out the article for more info 👇

[MegaYield @megayieldfi_]

Introducing MegaYield

An actively-priced AMM on MegaETH, generating organic yield for your liquidity.

Learn more about what we‘re building 👇
https://t.co/9OY9tEl0Rr

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@TheWhiteWhaleV2 stay well wise man🙏. touch some grass and recalibrate.

[mapleground.eth @0xmapleground]

@zacxbt you didnt‘ get liquidated with these trades? 😅 see small available margin and high budgets set in your video tutorial. trade carefully!