Null Ptr

Investor, trader, dev

Timing and cycle analysis

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin has come up to the 67k area, now to see if it pulls back from here or keeps heading up to the next resisttance area at 69k-71k.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin coming into another timing date around the 15th. Volume not looking that strong so watching for a potential swing top around 65k-67k going into this date.

If not then next timing date is at the solstice.

Key prices to the upside until 100k:

63.9k - Want to see weekly close above here, fib
extention 50%

71k - cycle 50%

75k - close to some prior swing lows and swing tops

83k-85k - Current rally high at around 83k

92.7k - 50% from ATH to 59k

98k - low of the range in 2025

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin coming into another timing date around the 15th. Volume not looking that strong so watching for a potential swing top around 65k-67k going into this date.

If not then next timing date is at the solstice.

Key prices to the upside until 100k:

63.9k - Want to see weekly close above here, fib
extention 50%

71k - cycle 50%

75k - close to some prior swing lows and swing tops

83k-85k - Current rally high at around 83k

92.7k - 50% from ATH to 59k

98k - low of the range in 2025

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Most people aren't aware of the larger cycles in play, actually quite a few lining up this decade but with the RE cycle and K-wave cycle being the most prominent. Very possible we see a multi year bear for bitcoin and no new ATH.

Also could see another sideways/lost decade for the stock market.

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

TSLA at a timing date after breaking down from the trendline (4th time break on the weekly). See if it gives a bounce here and if it develops into something more. Otherwise could see more downside back to around 350-360.

#TSLA #stocks

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

S&P coming into the first support area, would want to see it bounce from here. Failing to get back above the breakdown area around 7355 and it probably comes back down to the 7000-7100 area.

#spx #stockmarket

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

#SPX futures showing a rejection off of 50%. Also have 3 touches at the same price area around the next 50% level. This could lead to a 4th time test and higher chance of a breakdown from there.

Breaking the range lows and could see price fall back down to the blue box where the old highs and a couple significant 50% levels line up.

#stocks #stockmarket

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

The June 5th date gave the swing low I was watching for, now to see where the next swing high comes in at.

A lower high under 63.9k and a weekly close below there would be a strong signal for eventually reaching that 45k target.

For now Bitcoin is trying to get back above the 63k 50% level (50% from 0 -> ATH).

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

#SPX 3 days down from the ATH. This is the second time this signal has fired from an ATH. After the first one from the May 14 ATH we bounced back up and have gone up another ~1%.

This could signal a larger correction. Let's see where the next swing top comes in at.

#stockmarket #stocks

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Stock market putting in a swing top right at a timing date. See if this marks a local top or something more significant, or just another swing top on the way up...

#stocks #spx

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Some key fib levels on the trend based fib extension. A clean break below the .5 and 45k starts looking much more likely.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin coming into a couple of major 50% levels which are very close together and right at a full moon. Also you can see the trendline from the 60K low which is also at these 50% levels.

Let's see if btc bounces from here or if it breaks through and continues down. 69k - 71k is the support area, below there and it's probably back down to 65k.

Next timing dates are June 5th-7th. So thinking maybe bounce into those dates or maybe a low around those dates, have to see what happens here at this support level.

There is also a timing date around June 15th and then we have the solstice.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Looks like Bitcoin is coming down to test the 71k area. Should see some support come in around there.

Also at a timing date today so perhaps a swing low formed around there.

Stock market is also near a timing date tomorrow.

#bitcoin #btc #stockmarket

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin with another lower high and rejection at the marked trendline. Daily trend still down and needs to get back above 79k or 71k is looking likely.

Next dates I'm watching on Bitcoin:

May 28th
June 4th-6th
June 15th
June 21st-22nd

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin put in another lower high on the 21st timing date, which originally I thought might be a swing low but turned out to be another lower high. That lower high, especially on the timing date, gave a signal I was watching for to bring BTC back down to test 75k area.

Now Bitcoin has gone down to test some old swing highs around 74k and bounced from there. Bitcoin needs to get back above 79k otherwise I expect it to eventually come back down to test 71k.

Above 79k and 85k is back in the picture as the next resistance above 83k.

Below 71k I expect a retest of the 60k-65k area and probably one more push down for a new low.

So 71k is the key level of support for Bitcoin to hold above.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

$hype has been strong of late but it is pushing up on low volume. If it fails to hold the breakout and falls back into range I would expect lower prices to be tested.

I also have some timing analysis pointing to may 21.

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Next date i'm watching on Bitcoin is 20th-22nd. This is not a major timing date and with the current daily in a downtrend and 4 days into a down swing it probably would just mark a local swing bottom.

There should be some support around 75k-76k but the bigger support area and more important level to hold for the bulls is 71k. Lose that and probably will see the low 60s - 65k area retested.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Bitcoin just put in a swing top on the weekly after a 100% repeat in time (6 weeks) and almost in price (16k vs 17.580k) from the previous weekly upswing.

Bitcoin is also at a key time in weekly bars from the bear market low.

Currently trading below the 79k 50% level coming into the weekly close. Losing 79k support will mark another signal for potential further downside (along with the timing dates and daily down trend).

Next support at around 75k followed by the 50% of the bull cycle range at ~71k.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

The swing top on the May 6 timing date still holding sa the top with a lower high on the 10th.

A break below around 79,181 will put Bitcoin in a daily downtrend.

79k still important support level and could see a bounce from there. Holding above this level and Bitcoin still in a strong position, lose this level and I think it heads back to low 70s/60s.

#bitcoin #btc

[Null Ptr @0xnull_p]

Next timing dates I'm watching this month:

14th and 21st/22nd

14th just happens to be the scheduled meeting on the Clarity Act.

#bitcoin #btc