As promised, the full Article is here.
I've spent years running clinical trials. I own zero pharma stocks.
Phases, patent cliffs, windfalls, politics, and the quiet AI revolution in drug discovery. Plus the few I'd consider ๐ https://t.co/Ta1aMUzVFk
$SCHD hit a new all-time high this week.
The ETF people called "dead money" for years.
No AI story. No capex debate.
Just companies that keep raising their dividends.
Still boring. Still buying.
@dividendology Cheaper on P/E. More expensive vs bonds.
Earnings yield (1 / P/E):
2022: 4.7% vs 1.6% Treasury โ stocks paid 3.1% more
2026: 5.3% vs 4.9% Treasury โ stocks pay 0.4% more
In 2022 you got paid well to take stock risk. Today you barely do.
@Bearlovesbull As a Microsoft holder, I like this setup. Microsoft gets the capacity without carrying the full capex, and IREN carries the build-out risk. That $3B gap is IREN's problem, not Microsoft's.
We have entered -FCF territory. Meta (and others) are now spending massive amounts on AI infrastructure without clear proof of when it will turn into meaningful cash flow. This raises the risk. The core ad business is still very strong, but this is no longer the low-risk investment it was 2โ3 years ago.
@slava_invests ๐ฏ right. Most people your age only realize this later. The time you have now is really your biggest advantage โ just keep investing and learning without big mistakes. Thatโs the formula.